gravitylover Posted June 1, 2018 Share Posted June 1, 2018 It seems to me that over the last 20 years or so a lot of the record average warmth is due more to higher minimums than higher maximums. Is that the reality or just my perception? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 1, 2018 Share Posted June 1, 2018 16 minutes ago, gravitylover said: It seems to me that over the last 20 years or so a lot of the record average warmth is due more to higher minimums than higher maximums. Is that the reality or just my perception? It depends on the month. But the maxes in May were slightly more impressive than the mins were for NYC. All the days with clouds and measurable rain created the perception of it being a cooler month. The +13 first week really launched us into the top 10. NYC May 2018.....max 75.5....norm....70.8...+4.7......min....58.3.....norm.....54.0....+4.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 1, 2018 Share Posted June 1, 2018 73/71 Comfortably humid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 1, 2018 Author Share Posted June 1, 2018 Current temp 82/DP 72/RH 66% Picked up 0.27" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 1, 2018 Share Posted June 1, 2018 2 hours ago, doncat said: Still tough to get a read on how much rain will actually fall next few days... The models have been all over the place with the track of the nor'easter on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted June 1, 2018 Share Posted June 1, 2018 1 minute ago, bluewave said: The models have been all over the place with the track of the nor'easter on Monday. Are we really getting a nor'easter in June? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 1, 2018 Author Share Posted June 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, bluewave said: The models have been all over the place with the track of the nor'easter on Monday. Yeah, the models have been pretty atrocious with trying to nail down any potential rainfall over the next few days IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 1, 2018 Share Posted June 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Yeah, the models have been pretty atrocious with trying to nail down any potential rainfall over the next few days IMO. Maybe I would give LI the edge for the heavier rain potential since it's forecast to be closer to the track. But the interaction with the closed low over the Great Lakes could be the wild card. Models may not settle down until tonight or tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 1, 2018 Author Share Posted June 1, 2018 Just now, bluewave said: Maybe I would give LI the edge for the heavier rain potential since it's forecast to be closer to the track. But the interaction with the closed low over the Great Lakes could be the wild card. Models may not settle down until tonight or tomorrow. Outside of the nor'easter I am not even sure the models have a good handle on any potential rainfall we may see before that. Obviously trying pin down any convection is always a crapshoot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 1, 2018 Share Posted June 1, 2018 12 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Outside of the nor'easter I am not even sure the models have a good handle on any potential rainfall we may see before that. Obviously trying pin down any convection is always a crapshoot. We get the upper trough to start June while the big heat dome sets up over the Rockies and Plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted June 1, 2018 Share Posted June 1, 2018 1 hour ago, bluewave said: It depends on the month. But the maxes in May were slightly more impressive than the mins were for NYC. All the days with clouds and measurable rain created the perception of it being a cooler month. The +13 first week really launched us into the top 10. NYC May 2018.....max 75.5....norm....70.8...+4.7......min....58.3.....norm.....54.0....+4.3 I was thinking more long term rather than just last month. I feel like a lot of winter warm records are because the nights haven't been as cold. I definitely remember reaching, and going below, 0 a lot more often than we do now. Even just reaching single digits and low teens were more common accounting for a couple of degrees difference each month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 1, 2018 Author Share Posted June 1, 2018 It is really tropical out there. Temp 83/DP 73/RH 64% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 1, 2018 Share Posted June 1, 2018 1 hour ago, gravitylover said: I was thinking more long term rather than just last month. I feel like a lot of winter warm records are because the nights haven't been as cold. I definitely remember reaching, and going below, 0 a lot more often than we do now. Even just reaching single digits and low teens were more common accounting for a couple of degrees difference each month. I ran the numbers for Albany since 1980. The mins have been rising faster than the maxes during the summer. But the winter has seen a even rise. LGA exhibits a similar warming pattern. ALB...DJF....max....+0.9F/decade.....min.....+0.9.........JJA......max....+0.6.....min....+1.0 LGA...DJF....max...+0.8F/decade.......min....+0.8..........JJA.....max....+0.5.....min....+0.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 1, 2018 Share Posted June 1, 2018 2 hours ago, Rtd208 said: Yeah, the models have been pretty atrocious with trying to nail down any potential rainfall over the next few days IMO. We may see very little the next 3 days. They took out any mention of rain for Sunday now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 1, 2018 Share Posted June 1, 2018 10 minutes ago, bluewave said: I worked out the numbers for Albany since 1980. The mins have been rising faster than the maxes for the summer. But the winter has seen a even rise. LGA exhibits a similar warming pattern. ALB...DJF....max....+0.9F/decade.....min.....+0.9.........JJA......max....+0.6.......min+1.0 LGA...DJF...max...+0.8F/decade....min....+0.8..........JJA.....max....0.5.....min....+0.8 probably has to do with rising moisture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 1, 2018 Share Posted June 1, 2018 43 minutes ago, forkyfork said: probably has to do with rising moisture Yeah, that’s what it looks like. Those dew points during August 2016 were off the charts. Probably the most interesting summer event not related to a storm since the July 2013 WAR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted June 1, 2018 Share Posted June 1, 2018 1 hour ago, bluewave said: I ran the numbers for Albany since 1980. The mins have been rising faster than the maxes during the summer. But the winter has seen a even rise. LGA exhibits a similar warming pattern. ALB...DJF....max....+0.9F/decade.....min.....+0.9.........JJA......max....+0.6.....min....+1.0 LGA...DJF....max...+0.8F/decade.......min....+0.8..........JJA.....max....+0.5.....min....+0.8 So my perception wasn't too far off, that's good to know. 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: probably has to do with rising moisture That makes sense. Is there a way to see the RH or DP stats going back for the same time period? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 2, 2018 Author Share Posted June 2, 2018 Picked up 0.27" of rain for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 Nice downpour with thunder and lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 2, 2018 Author Share Posted June 2, 2018 11 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Nice downpour with thunder and lightning Same here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 Next 8 days averaging 68degs., a little BN. For reference, the warmest June is 76.2 (1943), or +4.8. Oh, in case we go the other way: Coolest June is 64.2 1903(-7.2). Hey, we can go Top Ten Cool with a mere -3.6. The EURO Weeklies do not look very warm in June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 Today looks like one of those sneaky warm offshore flow days right down to the South Shore. FRG and Wantagh are already 75 at 8 am with a warm N wind. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/meteogram/link.shtml?choice=KFRG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 79/72 here. This area usually isn’t one of the warmest spots on the island, but it is right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 2, 2018 Author Share Posted June 2, 2018 Current temp 76/DP 70/RH 76% Picked up 0.25" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 Dew points will start to lower significantly later tonight...meanwhile today looking very warm and humid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 81/73... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 First 80 by 9:30 am of the season for Wantagh. http://www.nysmesonet.org/mesonow#?stid=WANT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 2, 2018 Author Share Posted June 2, 2018 1 minute ago, bluewave said: First 80 by 9:30 am of the season for Wantagh. http://www.nysmesonet.org/mesonow#?stid=WANT Temp already up to 80 here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 20 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Temp already up to 80 here as well. Gilgo Beach is the local warm spot at 84 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 2, 2018 Author Share Posted June 2, 2018 Looks like areas just off to our south will be getting hit hard again today/tonight with heavy rain/storms/flooding but I certainly wouldn't rule that out in areas further north, just a better chance south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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