yoda Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 95 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 145 PM EDT Tue May 15 2018 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southern Connecticut Northern Delaware Northeast Maryland New Jersey Southeast New York Eastern Pennsylvania Coastal Waters * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 145 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Widespread damaging winds expected with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A line of strong to severe storms will continue east from central Pennsylvania. Embedded bowing structures should result in widespread damaging winds. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles north northwest of Wilmington DE to 45 miles east southeast of Islip NY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Will it be a blue box or a red box? http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0425.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 A SVR was just dropped on the cell headed toward Columbia County. That narrow corridor extending to the WSW has been blossoming... CI must have partially eroded through there at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 FWIW - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Cell west of Hunter NY is splitting... watch the southern component ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 That storm SW of Hunter is getting its business together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Definitely looks like the Capital District will be spared, north of that outflow boundary from the earlier storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yester Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 18 minutes ago, yoda said: Will it be a blue box or a red box? http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0425.html You honestly think they would do a tornado watch in that entire area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 They went with a tornado watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 No link, but it looks like the tor watch has been expanded eastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 yay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 That cell near Saugerties has some low-level rotation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 TOR watch! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 81/61 even up here. Lubed and primed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Tornado watch into central Mass and NE Conn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Wow,... 87/65 here CAPE must be high - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 7 minutes ago, JC-CT said: yay Memorable day on tap....one we will tell our grandchildren about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Tornado warning issued for the cell around Saugerties, NY. Things will get wild in Great Barrington in a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 And severe watch for the rest of SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
w1pf Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 84/66 and partly cloudy here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Wow,... 87/65 here CAPE must be high - 1000 J/kg across most of SNE with 2000 J/kg over western CT. There's a 3000 J/kg lolli near NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Mesoscale Discussion 0427 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 PM CDT Tue May 15 2018 Areas affected...Northeast Pennsylvania...southern New York...southwest New England Concerning...Tornado Watch 94...96... Valid 151838Z - 152045Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 94, 96 continues. SUMMARY...The severe threat is increasing across the tornado watch area, with large, damaging hail, severe wind gusts and a threat of a few tornadoes. DISCUSSION...Storms oriented along the old outflow boundary have increased markedly in the last hour, with a few hail cores now exceeding 2.00". Cells were initially splitting per 18Z observed ALB straight line hodograph, but the southern cells are becoming dominant. Southwesterly low-level winds will continue feeding these cells with unstable air, and they may increasingly take on supercell characteristics over the next few hours. Any deviant motion of these cells to the south will likely result in strengthening mesocyclones, and perhaps a few tornadoes. Wind driven, damaging hail is also likely. ..Jewell.. 05/15/2018 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...BGM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Tornado Tuesday underway... three warned cells that look legit gated on velocity channels... Watch the NW Mass line it's just taking off... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 6 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Curious what the interpretation of this product is ...I have no familiarization with it. It appears to be outlining probability (contouring) with embedded modeled supercell production? If so ... that HRW NSSL long tracked SC right down the Mass Turnpike is a hoot riot! I mean, Great Barrington over Springfield to over Worcester to over downtown Boston ...that's like the Monson event on steroids.. Contours are probability of (in this case) updraft helicity greater than 75 m2/s2. With the individual model swaths of 75 plus shown. A good discriminator for supercell structure. The same product for 150 m2/s2 is fairly impressive too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Webcam on Litchfield High School in n/w Connecticut as an FYI https://www.weatherbug.com/weather-camera/?cam=LITCH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 BGM issued TORNADO WARNING for Southern Delaware/Northern Sullivan counties and stated that is has hail to size of tennis balls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 The Worcester tornado happened on a Tuesday too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 That ENY storm will drop a TOR in CT where winds are backed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Spiking 75 dbz on some of those! Big hail for sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Binghamton NY 244 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2018 NYC105-151900- /O.CON.KBGM.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180515T1900Z/ Sullivan NY- 244 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2018 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM EDT FOR NORTHERN SULLIVAN COUNTY... At 243 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Livingston Manor, or near Liberty, moving east at 55 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and tennis ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This dangerous storm will be near... Willowemoc around 250 PM EDT. Neversink, Loch Sheldrake and Woodbourne around 255 PM EDT. Grahamsville around 300 PM EDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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