Ginx snewx Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: If you look at it closely that line falls apart as it approaches the marine layer though. It does have a Meso/supercell? that starts in the Berks and travels to ORH county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 8 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I'm hanging out with this girl today and I told her about the elevated mixed-layer and how we're going to get nasty storms and she is down to go and watch them come in!!! keeper maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: If you look at it closely that line falls apart as it approaches the marine layer though. It does have a Meso/supercell? that starts in the Berks and travels to ORH county Yeah... I must have been looking at the 06z earlier...def falls apart more on the 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 10 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I'm hanging out with this girl today and I told her about the elevated mixed-layer and how we're going to get nasty storms and she is down to go and watch them come in!!! Wiz, what do you think for timing here in We Ha area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 1 minute ago, CTWeatherFreak said: Wiz, what do you think for timing here in We Ha area? 5:00 PM to 8:00 PM for the line. Can't rule out some discrete stuff though that may pop as early as 2-3 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Wiz really should start a thread. CT, W MA, RI, S ORH county under the gun for some good thunderstors, possible hail, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Good God Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 I'm wondering per present rad evolution if this early activity rapidly sweeping E that's just west of the Capital District of eastern NY may not make it much farther then NW zone before it becomes a residual band of mid level debris... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 59 minutes ago, Hoth said: Sam L is apparently not happy with SPC's choice of the "d" word. what's the big deal (assuming it is a big deal to the severe weenies). 90+% of the general public has no clue what a derecho even is, including myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Let's hope this produces. My best thunderstorm in years came with that March paste job. I deserve better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Well ...anywho...if that activity holds together, you can wack the top 1/3 or so of that hashed enhanced S ... Sweeping an atmospheric processing cluster of convective rains through between 11 and 1pm is precisely and perfectly wrong - SPC even mentioned that actually ... Lot of people left holding hope-hardons on this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Hope this produces down south. I'm all geared up for some heavy rain, a few rumbles, and light wind here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Could use recommendations for a good viewing spot anywhere east of downtown Worcester for photography... if that's possible lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsx ma Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Hey guys...what would be a safe zone for today? To AVOID the action? Manchester, NH? Salisbury, MA? Once the T word gets thrown around, I'm out. Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 I always thought foggy morning drives to work with clearing skies during the day leads to good storms. Lets pray for Wiz and his sex life this does not dissapoint....he may not get another chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 11 minutes ago, WxBlue said: Could use recommendations for a good viewing spot anywhere east of downtown Worcester for photography... if that's possible lol. BWW in Shrewsbury off of rt.9 has good views to the west pm me if you have any questions man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Will have to see if a rain cooled outflow boundary might kick out of the ongoing convection as it skirts probably just north of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 7 minutes ago, ma blizzard said: BWW in Shrewsbury off of rt.9 has good views to the west pm me if you have any questions man Looking on Google Streetview, that's a great view! The only question is whether or not I can make it in time as it's a hour and half drive from here. I might end up further east even though line should be stronger further west just because I can't leave until 4:30-5 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 12 minutes ago, mdsx ma said: Hey guys...what would be a safe zone for today? To AVOID the action? Manchester, NH? Salisbury, MA? Once the T word gets thrown around, I'm out. Thank you! Harwich, Cape Cod, Massachusetts 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Sun been out the last hour here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 That line that came across the Berkshires fell apart over Franklin County. Got about three minutes of moderate rain in downtown Greenfield, sprinkle at my house. No thunder, no lightning, no wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 24 minutes ago, WxBlue said: Could use recommendations for a good viewing spot anywhere east of downtown Worcester for photography... if that's possible lol. Route 9 E toward/thru Shrewsbury has rolling hills ...the top of which have parking lots that pan the western horizon - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: That line that came across the Berkshires fell apart over Franklin County. Got about three minutes of moderate rain in downtown Greenfield, sprinkle at my house. No thunder, no lightning, no wind. I mentioned it may fall apart a 1/2 hour ago ...and it really needs to continue to do so or it could 86 folks for the Pike N... It's also moving fast and sat has it clearing abruptly afterward so it may be 'overcome -able' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Mesoscale Discussion 0423 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1043 AM CDT Tue May 15 2018 Areas affected...Central and northern Pennsylvania into southern New York and southwest New England Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 151543Z - 151815Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Severe storms are likely to develop over the next several hours from central and northern Pennsylvania into southern New York, continuing into southern New England by late afternoon. Severe wind and hail are likely across all areas, with a few tornadoes possible mainly from northeast Pennsylvania into southern New England. As such, one or more severe and/or tornado watches will be needed today. DISCUSSION...Surface analysis shows a cold front across northwest PA into OH, with a pre-frontal trough across central NY into central PA. A progressive area of early-day thunderstorms has produced outflow across much of southern NY to near the northern PA border. Satellite imagery shows strong heating is occurring across the warm sector, with a plume of mid to upper 60s F dewpoints spreading north across PA and NJ, and likely into southern NY later today. In addition, the aforementioned outflow will continue to modify, while likely maintaining some degree of enhanced low-level wind shear this afternoon. Thunderstorms currently exist along the cold front from western PA into western NY, and should continue a gradual increase in intensity as the air mass destabilizes to the east. In addition to these storms, other storms are expected to form near the surface trough, and perhaps atop the old outflow boundary. Deep-layer shear will favor cellular activity away from the cold front, while a mixed storm mode including bows or embedded supercells are possible along the front. Strong heating and steep lapse rates aloft will favor large hail, with an increasing damaging wind by the time storms organize into a line. Any cellular activity will be capable of large hail, perhaps very large, along with a few tornadoes where low-level shear is maximized. ..Jewell/Grams.. 05/15/2018 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...CTP... PBZ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 I wonder if they'll upgrade to moderate. Perhaps not b/c sometimes they'll issue an MCD or state within an MCD whether they'll upgrade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 18 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I mentioned it may fall apart a 1/2 hour ago ...and it really needs to continue to do so or it could 86 folks for the Pike N... It's also moving fast and sat has it clearing abruptly afterward so it may be 'overcome -able' Yeah...this is the turd in the punchbowl if you are looking for severe N of the pike. Destructive sun this morning is really fooking it up. Maybe it clears out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 52 minutes ago, WxBlue said: Could use recommendations for a good viewing spot anywhere east of downtown Worcester for photography... if that's possible lol. Buffalo Wild Wings Shrewsberry . I might see you there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 yikes. That's BDL from this mornings NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 1 minute ago, kdxken said: Buffalo Wild Wings Shrewsberry . I might see you there Faces towards Worcester from a hilltop with huge windows that open . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: yikes. That's BDL from this mornings NAM Look at that helicity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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