CT Rain Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 It's amazing how similar the CAMs look for tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 This is a pretty telling picture. Strong agreement among the CAMs like you said. Widespread severe event looks likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Lol Wiz is chasing 5% tor and 30% hatched wind on 0600z SPC day 1 OTLK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Big day ahead folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Lovely. When Sam posts we’re fooked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Sooo we bang? Tight tight tight! Been waiting for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 So, will Ryan post pics of the ever-telling castellanus this morning? Murky/fog in my hood atm. Let's get these clouds out of here and fully destabilize! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 On 5/15/2018 at 10:55 AM, Hoth said: So, will Ryan post pics of the ever-telling castellanus this morning? Murky/fog in my hood atm. Let's get these clouds out of here and fully destabilize! Expand Already sunny here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 On 5/15/2018 at 10:55 AM, Hoth said: So, will Ryan post pics of the ever-telling castellanus this morning? Murky/fog in my hood atm. Let's get these clouds out of here and fully destabilize! Expand Telling, gravity wave mornings in SNE followed by clearing. Heads up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 satellite looking good indeed. Going to be a fun day ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Heart of the EML appears to be in PA and WV at the moment and heading this way. Things lining up so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
All Wet Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Southern Maine is clearing--does that mean there's a chance the fun will extend up here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 On 5/15/2018 at 9:35 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Big day ahead folks for NE PA and SE NY as clusters of supercells take advantage of instability/mechanics early ... and fan their exhaust and light rain and gentle thunder over areas of CT/MA/RI.. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Significant Tornado Ingredients Increased as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 If there are any discrete cells today we can't totally rule out a strong tornado somewhere. LCL's are on the high side, however, which could limit that a bit but some of the forecast hodographs are quite impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 On 5/15/2018 at 5:46 AM, OKpowdah said: This is a pretty telling picture. Strong agreement among the CAMs like you said. Widespread severe event looks likely. Expand Curious what the interpretation of this product is ...I have no familiarization with it. It appears to be outlining probability (contouring) with embedded modeled supercell production? If so ... that HRW NSSL long tracked SC right down the Mass Turnpike is a hoot riot! I mean, Great Barrington over Springfield to over Worcester to over downtown Boston ...that's like the Monson event on steroids.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 A bit surprised they didn't go moderate with the 13z outlook. Wouldn't be shocked if we saw it with the 1630z outlook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Enhanced risk expanded to include most of CT and alot of MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 4-9PM seems to be the biggest window as per BOX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 A little late to the party, but today does look legit. Thinking about shelf-cloud hunting in Mass when I get out of work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Any similarities to 6/26/2016? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 On 5/15/2018 at 1:22 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Any similarities to 6/26/2016? Expand Was that the day that featured the awesome hail in Boston? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 On 5/15/2018 at 1:36 PM, Hoth said: Was that the day that featured the awesome hail in Boston? Expand I think that was August 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 On 5/15/2018 at 1:37 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: I think that was August 2015 Expand Cool, thanks. Anyway, fog has lifted here and sun is starting to peek through the thin cloud deck. Let the games begin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 PIT sounding from 12z launch. My mom always said never to look at porn this early but... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 cluster of activity racing through NYS will probably clip NW zones of SNE and impact S VT ...western NH toward noon (or even prior). These elements are really hauling arse! An early ominous indicator for mid level tropospheric momentum and organizing winds in down-bursts aggregation - I could almost see that overwhelming the discrete cellular in lieu of macro-bursting... Otherwise... watch for a S propagating outflow from this early transgressor because that might move out some 20 or 30 miles from the transit axis and serve as a trigger perhaps ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 On 5/15/2018 at 1:46 PM, weatherwiz said: PIT sounding from 12z launch. My mom always said never to look at porn this early but... Expand Wow. GOES16 shows unbroken sun all the way back through PA. EML is moving in, sun is coming out. The lid is on the pot, the pot is in the fire, only a matter of time until we boil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Enjoy it W of here. Threat looks minimal here now with flow more out of the SW which won't cut it. Also, its only 61F with DP of 57F and overcast skies. Would need some solid clearing and daytime heating to kick things into gear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 Derecho! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 15, 2018 Share Posted May 15, 2018 On 5/15/2018 at 1:49 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Derecho! Expand Sick!!! Didn't even see that tweet. Just got in from cutting grass. I want me a derecho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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