rimetree Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Just dumping here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 3, 2018 Author Share Posted August 3, 2018 Does anyone here have Bufkit and wouldn’t mind posting a screen shot of hodograph with the CAPE values from whatever the latest HRRR run is for BDL at 12z tomorrow? Not at a computer for a while. Would be much apprecciated! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Thats like 10 miles from Brian right @dendrite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 I don't think I've even had a t-storm this year. I can't wait for this craptastic weather to be over with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 21 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Thats like 10 miles from Brian right @dendrite Just east. Not surprised. If not tornado then could have been wet micro. But very well may have been a spinner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 17 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I don't think I've even had a t-storm this year. I can't wait for this craptastic weather to be over with. We ridge death. Not even marine stability excuse. Just ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 31 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We ridge death. Not even marine stability excuse. Just ridge. Yup. If I lived near a beach or pool and didn’t work so much, I’d love this weather but alas I don’t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 No report from Hippy in Greenfield, they got smoked with rain today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 Watch the mesolow/warm front tomorrow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Watch the mesolow/warm front tomorrow.... Models are showing a fantastic chance for rain showers and thunderstorms tomorrow late morning into the early afternoon hours. Possible chance at a tornado as well as potential for damaging winds, over 58mph. Even the models show convective wind bursts near 5omph in a line of storms that develop south of Long Island around 8am tomorrow morning. They develop into SNE and head into Cape Cod with damaging wind potential. If I was the SPC I would highlight a slight risk for SNE, especially east of a Hartford, CT to Springfield, MA line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ct_yankee Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 4 hours ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Models are showing a fantastic chance for rain showers and thunderstorms tomorrow late morning into the early afternoon hours. Possible chance at a tornado as well as potential for damaging winds, over 58mph. Even the models show convective wind bursts near 5omph in a line of storms that develop south of Long Island around 8am tomorrow morning. They develop into SNE and head into Cape Cod with damaging wind potential. If I was the SPC I would highlight a slight risk for SNE, especially east of a Hartford, CT to Springfield, MA line. No Slight as yet, but they did highlight that area for Marginal wind/tor risk. Still might get upgrade to Slight in the morning, definitely possible... But I think I agree with leaving things at Marginal til morning, it avoids any chance of having to do a messy backtrack/downgrade if tomorrow starts looking, well, marginal again. Personally I've hardly had the time tonight to look at models for myself, so I must defer to your and their better judgement... We'll see what tomorrow brings. We don't often get these kind of multiple-day streaks of successive severe weather threats here in southern NE, but this was actually hinted at quite well by the GFS well over a week ago. I remember thinking I was seeing an awful lot of chances for Northeast severe showing up, most of them at the very end of its range, past the time we normally consider the Goofus to be useful, but damned if that hasn't panned out as advertised... Maybe not in the specifics, but definitely as a trend and pattern. Bring it on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 7 hours ago, CT Rain said: Watch the mesolow/warm front tomorrow.... We tor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 Meh. Just been threw one. It’s all fun n games until your neighbor says he was home with his 6 month old, hid in a closet, and feared for their lives as trees came crashing down all around, one on his roof. I’m just getting the time to cut the maple that fell in the front, today. Unnecessary stress and work for a few minutes of a weather weenie rub n tug. But I get it, I still rub a few out to hurricanes. The power of these things is surreal up close though. Seeing videos or pics doesn’t even do it justice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 Tornadoes are quite scary, I personally have never seen one, and only plan on seeing them in the Plains. But today looks bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 Maybe worth watching a few of these little cells popping up in southern CT ahead of the main batch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 32 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Meh. Just been threw one. It’s all fun n games until your neighbor says he was home with his 6 month old, hid in a closet, and feared for their lives as trees came crashing down all around, one on his roof. I’m just getting the time to cut the maple that fell in the front, today. Unnecessary stress and work for a few minutes of a weather weenie rub n tug. But I get it, I still rub a few out to hurricanes. The power of these things is surreal up close though. Seeing videos or pics doesn’t even do it justice. Was there a confirmed tornado in CT yesterday? i know some of the cells were close...haven’t yet checked BOX info I want nothing to do with them. I have no idea how people can live in an area where they are common. I would lose it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 9 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: No report from Hippy in Greenfield, they got smoked with rain today The brunt of it luckily split E and W of here. Only .50" total. Raining now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 83F in Manomet right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 17 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Was there a confirmed tornado in CT yesterday? i know some of the cells were close...haven’t yet checked BOX info I want nothing to do with them. I have no idea how people can live in an area where they are common. I would lose it. Not sure, was speaking about the May 15 Southbury to Oxford CT tornado that went right overhead. I prob had a better chance of winning Mega Millions...safe to say I will never experience that again living here. As weather nerds, we appreciate the awe of fascinating events, but sometimes lives are lost. Like the guy in Danbury who was mowing his lawn and for some reason didn’t seek shelter in time so he hid in his truck....then a tree fell on it, killing him. I think that’s one advantage I/we have being a weather hobbyist. I can warn the wife to not leave work with severe approaching or to leave a bit earlier in the morning if snow incoming, etc, just being more pinpoint on details then the average guy. I mean, it has to have an advantage, otherwise the wife would think all this posting is pointless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 The low might give the south coast s better chance at something today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 4, 2018 Author Share Posted August 4, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: The low might give the south coast s better chance at something today. Yeah looks more like maybe RI and SE MA may have the best shot at anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 Flash flood watch here in the tropical rain forest. Heavy rain falling. 1.42" on Friday, 0.56" on Saturday and 1.66" so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 Power is out here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 A significant low is developing over NJ and PA this morning seen on visible satellite imagery. This will enhance low-level turning in the atmosphere and allow the potential for destabilization across the region east of the I95 corridor. Tornado and damaging winds seem likely threats, while tornadoes are a less likely threat at this time, but winds could be strong to damaging as low enhances low-level jet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 I tell you what, there have been some really interesting cloud features down here this morning. I watched a few suspicious lowerings out over the Sound from the top of East Rock, and when I came home a very pregnant black cloud came right over me with an impressive area of vertical motion and a tight cyclonic motion. Didn't drop anything, but probably a good thing we didn't get more destabilization this morning. Sky actually reminded me a lot of the Revere tornado when it went over my office. I still remember seeing that thing come down for about twenty seconds before disappearing into the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Hoth said: I tell you what, there have been some really interesting cloud features down here this morning. I watched a few suspicious lowerings out over the Sound from the top of East Rock, and when I came home a very pregnant black cloud came right over me with an impressive area of vertical motion and a tight cyclonic motion. Didn't drop anything, but probably a good thing we didn't get more destabilization this morning. Stay safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 Rotating cell on Ma/ct border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 4, 2018 Author Share Posted August 4, 2018 Warning out. Been watching that for a bit. Really tightened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 4, 2018 Share Posted August 4, 2018 Did that storm have rotation at all in Enfield it definitely looked like some rotation here even showed my girlfriend.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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