weatherwiz Posted August 3, 2018 Author Share Posted August 3, 2018 Certainly need to watch eastern NY near the VT border, southern VT, and southern NH later today. Can't rule out a tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1222.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 40% chance of issuance, Tough call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 3, 2018 Author Share Posted August 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: 40% chance of issuance, Tough call. Guess they're worried about expected coverage of activity. Considering the past few days though I think coverage should certainly be there. Ingredients may not be as favorable as the past few days 9CAPE or shear not as high) but still sufficient. Still around 40+ knots of 0-6km shear which favors supercell structures. Also some pretty solid 0-3km MLCape values as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Guess they're worried about expected coverage of activity. Considering the past few days though I think coverage should certainly be there. Ingredients may not be as favorable as the past few days 9CAPE or shear not as high) but still sufficient. Still around 40+ knots of 0-6km shear which favors supercell structures. Also some pretty solid 0-3km MLCape values as well. Big wind looks like it would be the highest factor, But can't rule out a spin up as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Very cool around noon laying in my pool watching a storm develop over my head, now going towards Boston . There is a lot of shear in the clouds today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 picked up ~1/4" of rain in under 10 mins .. Can't say I've ever seen it absolutely pouring while the sun was out most of the time - definitely unusual but very cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoalaBeer Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Everything pretty far west for the most part today. I wonder if anything gets going in southern NH soon as the conditions are pretty good in this area. Doesn't look like SPC is going with a watch unless things change. Going to grab a flight at a brewery in Londonderry and hoping by the time I'm done there's some photogenic storms as I'll be bringing my cameras with me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Tornado warning in Southwest New Hampshire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Tor north of Keene. Rotation in the storm getting close to here. Do not need a tornado. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Tor north of Keene. Rotation in the storm getting close to here. Do not need a tornado. Thanks. Brian, is it a dopplar indicated or confirmed. Just some light/moderate rain here some distant rumbles. Wonder if I can get through the summer without a bonafide T storm. Noticed FFWatch for C/N NH. This line formed too far south for me but wonder if the thinking is the stuff way down south moves up here later for some heavier rain. Chestnut saplings keep needing drinks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Multiple sketchy cells there. Trying to pick up chicken poop as fast as possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ct_yankee Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 That NAM NEST helicity track that Wiz posted earlier seems to have really nailed it perfectly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Multiple sketchy cells there. Trying to pick up chicken poop as fast as possible New tornado warning right over the Chicken coop! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Yikes, That cell near Brian, Another one in the cell back SW looks like a possibility too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Dammit. Just south of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 4 minutes ago, ct_yankee said: That NAM NEST helicity track that Wiz posted earlier seems to have really nailed it perfectly. Leading edge of that along diff heating boundary was primed. I’m just north in Moultonborough and wind went from wnw to south earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Gah that is nasty. Tor warn here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 SPC ... I give them credit for upgrading to Slght ... not having a watch is inexcusable with what's taken place throughout the day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Last scan looks to be weakening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: SPC ... I give them credit for upgrading to Slght ... not having a watch is inexcusable with what's taken place throughout the day... They suck out loud. Just an isolated gust and meh everything. Look at radar with the warnings. Isolated huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 They effed up yesterday in the MA and then had nothing in GA. Not everything goes by the Plains checklist for severe. Get off the spreadsheets and actually take into account regional climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Maybe Brian just north of couplet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Gah nasty CGs. Like right on top of us. In basement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 3, 2018 Author Share Posted August 3, 2018 Just now, dendrite said: Gah nasty CGs. Like right on top of us. In basement Be safe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Just now, dendrite said: Gah nasty CGs. Like right on top of us. In basement Radar is impressive for NH nice call by Wiz Stay safe chickens! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Wow, a cell is actually developing instead of weakening just to my SW. Could be the first "good" one of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Gah hail. Scoot is right. Rotation looks a hair south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 How many total NH warnings today? 4? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: Gah nasty CGs. Like right on top of us. In basement Not prolific but lucky you, a few right on top. Jelly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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