dendrite Posted May 21, 2018 Share Posted May 21, 2018 19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Glad we don’t live there Afternoon low 60s on Memorial Day...man we wish we lived there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 Looks like it’s going to be hard to pin down a beach day. Sat looks warm, but may be crappy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 Euro delivers a hot Saturday and then brings front way south with 75+ Sun Monday . We’ll take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Euro delivers a hot Saturday and then brings front way south with 75+ Sun Monday . We’ll take lol...look again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 56 minutes ago, dendrite said: lol...look again Looked like front was pushed south with any showers up over you in NNE and dry SNE on Sunday. Monday still up in air. Not that this gives much confidence..but it's certainly possible with Euro We'll see what the weenie shakes out Consider the GFS which also feeds Gulf moisture up the coast while the ECMWF keeps it well to our south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 2 hours ago, dendrite said: lol...look again Euro is an epic disaster for the holiday, figures. Saturdays a hot one but gets cloudy, GFS is hot Sat then cooler Sun Mon with the front through . I hope the GFS is right to save the holiday, which everyone cares about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 22, 2018 Author Share Posted May 22, 2018 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Looked like front was pushed south with any showers up over you in NNE and dry SNE on Sunday. Monday still up in air. Not that this gives much confidence..but it's certainly possible with Euro We'll see what the weenie shakes out Consider the GFS which also feeds Gulf moisture up the coast while the ECMWF keeps it well to our south. you got to be kidding, right - Dude, you're drilling E winds past Albany in that look, wth an air mass passing over almost 900 nautical miles not 5 or 6 weeks past the deepest oceanic cold of the season, and that's consistent in every model - period. Can it change...sure... but as it stands now, this weekend is wholly and fairly characterized as savagely porked Sunday and Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 19 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: you got to be kidding, right - Dude, you're drilling E winds past Albany in that look, wth an air mass passing over almost 900 nautical miles not 5 or 6 weeks past the deepest oceanic cold of the season, and that's consistent in every model - period. Can it change...sure... but as it stands now, this weekend is wholly and fairly characterized as savagely porked Sunday and Monday. As long as its not raining I consider that a win. Good time to get some outdoor projects done before real summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 Saturday looks like the pool or beach day. Looks crappy Sunday and Monday unless front is so far south we feed dry air from Tamarack's fanny. Questionable though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 51 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: you got to be kidding, right - Dude, you're drilling E winds past Albany in that look, wth an air mass passing over almost 900 nautical miles not 5 or 6 weeks past the deepest oceanic cold of the season, and that's consistent in every model - period. Can it change...sure... but as it stands now, this weekend is wholly and fairly characterized as savagely porked Sunday and Monday. Lol. You’re acting like it’s 50’s and rain. It’s not a cold east wind setup . Maybe NNE is cooler but south of 90 would be 70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 20 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lol. You’re acting like it’s 50’s and rain. It’s not a cold east wind setup . Maybe NNE is cooler but south of 90 would be 70 Why do you do this to yourself? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 People are wishing it to be cool and rainy for the Holiday weekend. This is Un-American...sad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: Why do you do this to yourself? 65-70 and clouds on that model. Nothing wrong there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 65-70 and clouds on that model. Nothing wrong there Look again dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 Lol.. you guys are too easy. Anyway.. we get it. The last 2 days of long weekend are rained out and cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 22, 2018 Author Share Posted May 22, 2018 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lol. You’re acting like it’s 50’s and rain. It’s not a cold east wind setup . Maybe NNE is cooler but south of 90 would be 70 This exposes a stark misconception and/or complete ignorance about the principles of both operational Meteorology but the science its self - not sure what else to say... You are not getting 70 F on a 'fresh' ENE trajectory at this time of year from a new polar high arrival on the backside of a BD passage - If 70 occurs it won't be because of what you saw in these runs since last night; it will be because they changed/altered toward a different paradigm entirely - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: People are wishing it to be cool and rainy for the Holiday weekend. This is Un-American...sad! Maybe they are Russian trolls or bots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lol.. you guys are too easy. Anyway.. we get it. The last 2 days of long weekend are rained out and cold Ha good to know you aren't that numb how not to look at the maps. Hope and post for the best is the MO right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Ha good to know you aren't that numb how not to look at the maps. Hope and post for the best is the MO right? If he's going to admit to being disingenuous with most of his posts then I'm not sure what his contribution to the forum is besides maybe creating some discussion during dull times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: If he's going to admit to being disingenuous with most of his posts then I'm not sure what his contribution to the forum is besides maybe creating some discussion during dull times. I mean its been well known that the model analysis is interpreted quite differently than most people when actual runs are quoted and just factually wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 I think he's saying that you guys are too easily convinced by the models that it's going to be rainy and cold, meteorology not modelology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 1 hour ago, dendrite said: If he's going to admit to being disingenuous with most of his posts then I'm not sure what his contribution to the forum is besides maybe creating some discussion during dull times. Different interpretations of things is part of life. Different strokes for different folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Different interpretations of things is part of life. Different strokes for different folks We had TWC in the 90s. Now we have TWZ. All hype and clicks. Even Tippy has had to somewhat adapt to the tl;dr times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: We had TWC in the 90s. Now we have TWZ. All hype and clicks. Even Tippy has had to somewhat adapt to the tl;dr times. Did you mean TMZ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 2 minutes ago, MetHerb said: Did you mean TMZ? I was hoping everyone would see what I did there with the italicized "Z". lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: I was hoping everyone would see what I did there with the italicized "Z". lol We are here to help and please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 22, 2018 Author Share Posted May 22, 2018 Euro did back off on the BD a goodly bit... Not enough to save Brian's misery, no, but... 12z Sunday it's really only over NE Massachusetts... A pretty far NE position compared to nearing NYC on the previous cycle. So, fwiw - it has shallowed out... It's not even clear if it is getting farther SW of there by 12z Monday ... ON THIS RUN.. I don't/wouldn't trust any of it however ... the bottom line is that the flow is NW through eastern Canada, that is inherently dangerous to temperature and dew point enthusiasts... summer folk. The Euro was buckin for a flatter flow/ break-down of the +NAO flow through eastern Canada up through early yesterday... backed off... now attempts something similar. Unstable.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 21 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: anyway, there are semblance of that finally breaking down... Probably, we slosh the hemisphere over-compensating back the other way... then neutralize summer after some ER visits... after the 4th ... I'm thinking June may be hot this time after what - 5 years in a row of cool ones. ... not sure of the '5 years in row' but it f'n seems that way - jesus It's not just you. At my place, Junes 1998-2008 averaged 61.4° and since then 59.1°. No other month has remotely close to that negative trend for those periods. Oddly, May is just the opposite, such that Junes 98-08 have run 10.1° warmer than Mays, but only 6.0° warmer 2009 on. Euro did back off on the BD a goodly bit... Not enough to save Brian's misery, no, but... 12z Sunday it's really only over NE Massachusetts... A pretty far NE position compared to nearing NYC on the previous cycle. Still gets us up here, and gfs looks even worse - solid clouds from Friday sunset thru Tuesday noon and Sun-Mon 40s-50s misery mist and light RA. Hoping for something better... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Different interpretations of things is part of life. Different strokes for different folks It's true, sometimes when the Euro shows a high of 84F at BDL and 79F in the hills, it is interpreted as upper 80s to near 90F for all during the +KFS modes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 Hoping we can somehow only get one meh day out of this (preferably Sunday). Also the latest GFS has the tropical storm east of Jacksonville while every other model has it in the LA/Mobile area lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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