Bosswx Posted May 13, 2018 Share Posted May 13, 2018 Rain!Any thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted May 13, 2018 Share Posted May 13, 2018 2 hours ago, Bosswx said: Rain!Any thoughts? I’d be thrilled to see that verify. At this point I’d love to see a repeat of early May 2016. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted May 13, 2018 Share Posted May 13, 2018 The end of the gfs run have a interesting looking low coming up the coast from the south. The entire run looked wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted May 16, 2018 Share Posted May 16, 2018 Rainy period correlates to next Winter -NAO at like 57/43 and general Summer El Nino Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted May 16, 2018 Share Posted May 16, 2018 SE Atlantic Tropical ridge has really flared up on models shorter term. I've been watching it, the 588 circle now trends northwest and holds strong longer. Quite a trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 00z Euro is the last thing we need. Luckily it's day10, but it's not the only model showing a subslopical storm along the NE Gulf coast. 12z GFS likes the idea. GGEM takes it OTS, which hopefully is what verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 I'm just not feeling a tropical system at all in this pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 On 5/13/2018 at 11:02 AM, Bosswx said: Rain!Any thoughts? I want this! I want it BAD! Wow, 6 more inches of rain? I LOVE RAIN! Let's DO This!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 Looks like things may be lining up for an excessive /hvy rain event for someone between the OH valley and the east coast.Berm high pumping tropical air northward combined with a slow moving front inthe area is a recipe for hvy rain alone... Add in a possible tropical system. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G920A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 13 hours ago, poolz1 said: Looks like things may be lining up for an excessive /hvy rain event for someone between the OH valley and the east coast. Berm high pumping tropical air northward combined with a slow moving front inthe area is a recipe for hvy rain alone... Add in a possible tropical system. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G920A using Tapatalk Just thinking about this hitting the central Mid Atlantic, makes me feel as though I just won a 2 billion dollar Powerball --- and the govt just informed me - don't even worry about taxes on it, just kick wayyy back, and enjoy ALL of the cash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 21, 2018 Author Share Posted May 21, 2018 22 hours ago, poolz1 said: Looks like things may be lining up for an excessive /hvy rain event for someone between the OH valley and the east coast. Berm high pumping tropical air northward combined with a slow moving front inthe area is a recipe for hvy rain alone... Add in a possible tropical system. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G920A using Tapatalk Yea saw that. Definitely has my interest, especially because we've erased any rainfall deficit and with streamflow being high, flooding would be a bigger concern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted May 23, 2018 Share Posted May 23, 2018 About what you'd expect.. these are recent analogs to warm May nationwide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted May 29, 2018 Share Posted May 29, 2018 This is a really surprising pattern in the North Pacific. We have an El Nino developing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted May 29, 2018 Share Posted May 29, 2018 On 5/23/2018 at 3:10 PM, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: About what you'd expect.. these are recent analogs to warm May nationwide I'd take that and run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted June 1, 2018 Share Posted June 1, 2018 On 5/29/2018 at 4:12 PM, EastCoast NPZ said: I'd take that and run. Already showing up at Day 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 It looks like the pattern starts to move a bit in 5-6 days on models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 On 5/29/2018 at 7:12 PM, EastCoast NPZ said: I'd take that and run. Looks like June and early July in the East is locked under a trough that varies location a bit each week, while the West sizzles , well more like Texas sizzles , and another trough off the West Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 2, 2018 Share Posted June 2, 2018 1 hour ago, frd said: Looks like June and early July in the East is locked under a trough that varies location a bit each week, while the West sizzles , well more like Texas sizzles , and another trough off the West Coast. Sounds great. Headed out to CO beginning of July, to a house in Estes park without AC, hope no ridge in place out there then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted June 7, 2018 Share Posted June 7, 2018 Definitely looking like a hot west/cooler east Summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted June 8, 2018 Share Posted June 8, 2018 Did you know May was the warmest on record for US, and the highest +height anomalies at 850mb for April-May in the Hemisphere were south of 40N! https://imgur.com/a/J1qMjvP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 We could have a very hot, near record, July and August I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 I can see this leading to a big +PNA in Winter http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSHGTAVGNH_18z/ensloopmref.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted July 13, 2018 Share Posted July 13, 2018 Looks like the hottest weather relative to averages after this weekend and next Monday and Tuesday is about over. Also, it appears a trend in greater rainfall near the East Coast developing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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