bluewave Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Wonder what's been causing that persistent cold pool south of Greenland? Melting ice? Yeah, that's what the recent studies are focusing on. That cold-warm SST couplet became really pronounced after the record summer Arctic melt in 2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 11 minutes ago, bluewave said: The cold-warm North Atlantic SST differential is off the charts. The only thing preventing all out record warmth is the more -EPO. since we're in the era of repeating patterns i'm sure that ridge will eventually give us a week+ heat wave with dews over 75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 1 hour ago, bluewave said: The cold-warm North Atlantic SST differential is off the charts. The only thing preventing all out record warmth is the -EPO and +PMM. This is pretty significant. I know there was a real Earth pattern change in 2013 and since then every Winter has been +NAO. High chance it's the same next year, it's a definite global pattern(dimension?) that is like "flat". Is arctic ice melt really this far along? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 27 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: This is pretty significant. I know there was a real Earth pattern change in 2013 and since then every Winter has been +NAO. High chance it's the same next year, it's a definite global pattern(dimension?) that is like "flat". Is arctic ice melt really this far along? The Atlantic reversal in 2013 was in sync with the historic +PDO shift. Linkages between the Atlantic and Pacific would make an interesting study. The historic summer Arctic melt in 2012 was extreme. http://nsidc.org/greenland-today/2013/02/greenland-melting-2012-in-review/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 I'm not sure the decadal PDO is positive, it's shift to negative was pretty recently (1998), and most negative around 2012-2013. 4 hours ago, bluewave said: The Atlantic reversal in 2013 was in sync with the historic +PDO shift. Linkages between the Atlantic and Pacific would make an interesting study. The historic summer Arctic melt in 2012 was extreme. http://nsidc.org/greenland-today/2013/02/greenland-melting-2012-in-review/ It's a whole Hemisphere pattern change, although you don't see it over Asia which is weird. In an organic change, it would be everywhere. I think it's a "spill over" shift versus "something new", because actual change would be more convective-flare up everywhere. progression vs regression Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 Next 8 days averaging 67degs., or about 1deg. AN. Month to date is +5.1. Should be +3.8 by the 27th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 19, 2018 Author Share Posted May 19, 2018 Picked up no rain yesterday. 0.05" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 NYC just tied the record of 8 days with measurable rain between May 10th and 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 This horrible weather just won't end. 46 and rain. It's May 19th and the heat tried coming on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 11 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: This horrible weather just won't end. 46 and rain. It's May 19th and the heat tried coming on... got the gas fireplace going here. Tomorrow looks better-near 80 and mainly dry outside of some scattered activity late day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 14 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: got the gas fireplace going here. Tomorrow looks better-near 80 and mainly dry outside of some scattered activity late day i have had the heat on for 4 days... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 46 and rain. Just turned the heat on as the house temp hit 59. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 Loving this cool weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 3 hours ago, Brian5671 said: got the gas fireplace going here. Tomorrow looks better-near 80 and mainly dry outside of some scattered activity late day Huh, tomorrow’s another washout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 7 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Huh, tomorrow’s another washout. No it isnt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 13 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Huh, tomorrow’s another washout. Not really...cycle the NAM it's more isolated and scattered stuff...temps are in the upper 70's. Doubt you see a washout with temps that warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 My local forecast has 50-70% chance of rain here all day. Haven’t looked at any models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 GFS looks wet for tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 0.75" here today...temp high of 55°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 12 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: GFS looks wet for tomorrow It winds up with under .25 here tomorrow, we shall see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 1.03” today. Wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 19, 2018 Author Share Posted May 19, 2018 Picked up 0.55" of rain so far today. Current temp 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 Low 80s, 40% chance of showers tomorrow. Most of the upcoming week looks nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 Here comes the warm front. The high for today should be right before midnight. Looks like another good fog set up for tonight especially near the shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 Next 7 days jump to an average of 72 (+7) with today's nonsense out of the way. We may get back into the running for the warmest May ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 Tomorrow looks decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 3.64" here past 10 days...Foggy now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 This fog is wicked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 Warm with sun tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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