Rtd208 Posted May 16, 2018 Author Share Posted May 16, 2018 Flood Watch in effect here from Thursday evening thru late Friday night for 2-4" of rain with locally higher amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 16, 2018 Share Posted May 16, 2018 2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Another wild temperature swing, 59F after 90F yesterday. I can't recall the last spring we've had that many huge temperature swings. The WAR and -EPO have been in a epic battle since September. Neither feature can completely dominate so we get these big temperature swings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 17, 2018 Author Share Posted May 17, 2018 Had around 0.31" of rain yesterday. Five day total of 1.79" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 Next 8 days averaging 67degs., or about 1deg. AN. Month to date is +5.8. Should be +3.9 by the 27th. Both GFS/CMC/EURO have weak tropical system near FL in 10 days. GFS has been playing with it for a week, it develops later, but still could reach us before month ends. Ironically could make for better Holiday weather shown on GFS, prior to its arrival. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 17, 2018 Author Share Posted May 17, 2018 A nice slug of rain moved through here earlier this morning. Picked up 0.63" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 Drier air working in from the NW to shut down the rain for awhile. Some models show northern areas remaining dry through the day tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 0.48” so far today. 1.68” this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 8 minutes ago, Cfa said: 0.48” so far today. 1.68” this month. 8th day in a row for ISP with at least a T of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 O.71" here today...2.89" past 8 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 17, 2018 Author Share Posted May 17, 2018 Current temp 63/DP 62/RH 97% 0.67" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 The 591 dam WAR would have been easy 90's both days this weekend in a drier pattern without the -EPO high pressure to the north. Maybe the warmer spots can top 85 on Sunday with enough sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 35 minutes ago, bluewave said: The 591 dam WAR would have been easy 90's both days this weekend in a drier pattern without the -EPO high pressure to the north. Maybe the warmer spots can top 85 on Sunday with enough sunshine. The Euro is wet for Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 5 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The Euro is wet for Sunday. Saw that, but the big rains look well south on the euro and other models (GFS furthest north) Guessing the flood watches for alot of NJ will be canned soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 1 hour ago, bluewave said: The 591 dam WAR would have been easy 90's both days this weekend in a drier pattern without the -EPO high pressure to the north. Maybe the warmer spots can top 85 on Sunday with enough sunshine. that pattern later in the season would be a dewpoint special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 12 minutes ago, forkyfork said: that pattern later in the season would be a dewpoint special I was thinking the same thing. Hello 75-80 degree dewpoints at JFK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 18 minutes ago, bluewave said: I was thinking the same thing. Hello 75-80 degree dewpoints at JFK. With the potential for severe with the fast flow north of the border. Wouldn’t take much of a shortwave to dig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 1 hour ago, NJwx85 said: The Euro is wet for Sunday. Hopefully it stays to the south Having a bbq Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: Saw that, but the big rains look well south on the euro and other models (GFS furthest north) Guessing the flood watches for alot of NJ will be canned soon. New run of the NAM isn't even a half inch of rain for friday night into saturday for the NYC area. Yeah the big rain threat is really falling apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 23 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Hopefully it stays to the south Having a bbq NAM while a bit out of range is fairly dry. also doesn't have alot for Saturday QPF wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 17 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: New run of the NAM isn't even a half inch of rain for friday night into saturday for the NYC area. Yeah the big rain threat is really falling apart. I'm thinking most of the flood watches are dropped soon. Big rains are south and West of PHL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 24 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: I'm thinking most of the flood watches are dropped soon. Big rains are south and West of PHL A 9.16" max just in the last 5 days for the mid-Atlantic. https://mobile.twitter.com/whatdoweseehere/status/997198010097520641/photo/1# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 1 minute ago, bluewave said: A 9.16" max just in the last 5 days for the mid-Atlantic. https://mobile.twitter.com/whatdoweseehere/status/997198010097520641/photo/1# and another 3-5 for some spots in MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 17, 2018 Share Posted May 17, 2018 This pattern would be very active in the summer. Still seeing strong highs press down deep into May and surpressing the rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 18, 2018 Author Share Posted May 18, 2018 Picked up 0.67" of rain yesterday. Six day total of 2.46" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 Next 8 days averaging 68degs., or about 2degs. AN. Month to date is +5.5. Should be +4.1 by the 28th. That tropical system near Fl. is coming sooner again, as indicated a week ago. Our Holiday weekend could be affected with clouds and a rainy Memorial Day itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 Our big temperature swing this month was the front-loaded warmth during the first week followed by the big drop after. So far, Newark has the earliest May maximum temperature of 94 degrees on May 3rd. May 1-7 finished as the 2nd warmest on record at 70.1 degrees and +11.3. May 8-17 has had a departure of only +1.4 with a 62.8 average temperature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Our big temperature swing this month was the front-loaded warmth during the first week followed by the big drop after. So far, Newark has the earliest May maximum temperature of 94 degrees on May 3rd. May 1-7 finished as the 2nd warmest on record at 70.1 degrees and +11.3. May 8-17 has had a departure of only +1.4 with a 62.8 average temperature. Very bad allergy season 4 hours ago, CIK62 said: Next 8 days averaging 68degs., or about 2degs. AN. Month to date is +5.5. Should be +4.1 by the 28th. That tropical system near Fl. is coming sooner again, as indicated a week ago. Our Holiday weekend could be affected with clouds and a rainy Memorial Day itself. The trough picks up the tropical system and slings it up this way with alot of rain near memorial day weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 11 minutes ago, bluewave said: 3rd Memorial Day in a row with rain? http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWFTROPATL0.5_12z/ecmwfloop.html https://www.weather.gov/okx/CentralParkHistorical what a massive atlantic ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 10 minutes ago, forkyfork said: what a massive atlantic ridge The cold-warm North Atlantic SST differential is off the charts. The only thing preventing all out record warmth is the -EPO and +PMM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 2 minutes ago, bluewave said: The cold-warm North Atlantic SST differential is off the charts. The only thing preventing all out record warmth is the more -EPO. Wonder what's been causing that persistent cold pool south of Greenland? Melting ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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