Rtd208 Posted May 11, 2018 Author Share Posted May 11, 2018 Current temp is 73 here, forecast was for temps in the low 70's today so it looks right on the money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 11, 2018 Share Posted May 11, 2018 The -EPO continues to exceed model expectations. So we get stronger high pressure over Canada with backdoors and stalled warm fronts. The record warmth snuck in during the first week of May on the brief +EPO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 11, 2018 Author Share Posted May 11, 2018 1 minute ago, bluewave said: The -EPO continues to exceed model expectations. So we get stronger high pressure over Canada with backdoors and stalled warm fronts. The record warmth snuck in during the first week of May on the brief +EPO. And we are usually on the cool side of stalled fronts. Unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 11, 2018 Share Posted May 11, 2018 7 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: And we are usually on the cool side of stalled fronts. Unfortunately. The 12z Euro focuses quite a bit of rainfall along the stalled out warm front over the next 10 days. It really wants to continue the wet pattern that began in February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 11, 2018 Author Share Posted May 11, 2018 10 minutes ago, bluewave said: The 12z Euro focuses quite a bit of rainfall along the stalled out warm front over the next 10 days. It really wants to continue the wet pattern that began in February. Tomorrow is going to be an interesting day to see how far the front makes it south, looks like the best severe weather threat is just off to our south with a slight/enhanced risk for those areas but as Forky and Rjay mentioned in the other thread there will still be elevated instability and a heavy rain threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 11, 2018 Share Posted May 11, 2018 1 hour ago, psv88 said: Temps have consistently beat guidance this spring, up to 71 now, forecast was 66. I expect that to continue moving forward Not if an onshore flow and persistent easterly flows occurs, that's pretty much the only way we keep our temps at or below forecast this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 11, 2018 Author Share Posted May 11, 2018 Current temp up to 75 here, a little above forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 Next 8 days average back down to 65degs., or about 2degs. AN. Month to date is +8.7. Should be +5.9 by the 20th. Next 9 days or so look to have more cloud cover than sun, 2" PW all the way through and maybe 2"-6" of actual precipitation if we get enough lifting. 2M T's probably retarded by all this cloudiness too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 46 degrees and rain at 8:00 am. Progged high is now 57. 54 tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 12, 2018 Author Share Posted May 12, 2018 Going to be interesting to see how far north the warm front makes it today. Mt.Holly NWS says the battle zone looks to be anywhere between I-76 to I-78 but I don't think the front will make it to much further north then the Monmouth/Mercer county line. Heavy rain and storms are still a threat though north of the front just not the severe weather like in areas to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 12, 2018 Author Share Posted May 12, 2018 Have picked up 0.21" of rain so far today. Current temp 51 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 20 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: 46 degrees and rain at 8:00 am. Progged high is now 57. 54 tomorrow. Except for southern parts of the area highs are technically already been set at midnight. Feels kinda cold now that i've gotten acclimated to sunny days well in the 70s. These days come to remind us this is not San Diego. Down to 53 now. Technically I got to 64. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 18 hours ago, Rtd208 said: Tomorrow is going to be an interesting day to see how far the front makes it south, looks like the best severe weather threat is just off to our south with a slight/enhanced risk for those areas but as Forky and Rjay mentioned in the other thread there will still be elevated instability and a heavy rain threat. The Euro has numerous days with at least some measurable rainfall over the next week to 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 12, 2018 Author Share Posted May 12, 2018 Pouring here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 Clearing to about i-`195 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 Running a +8 degree departure here thru yesterday, thanks mainly to those three hot days to start the month...certainly cooler though today and Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 12, 2018 Author Share Posted May 12, 2018 Picked up 0.35" of rain so far today. Current temp 57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 Euro, cmc, gfs... All in pretty good agreement showing several inches of rain next ten days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 13, 2018 Author Share Posted May 13, 2018 Picked up 0.45" of rain for the day. Current temp 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 13, 2018 Share Posted May 13, 2018 Next 8 days averaging 68degs., or about 3degs. AN. Month to date is +7.7. Should be +5.8 by the 21st. Clouds and 5"-8" of rain over the next 10 days. Normal would be 1.4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 13, 2018 Share Posted May 13, 2018 NYC has a shot at a top ten coldest maximum temperature in the 50's today. It's interesting that the same thing happened on this date in 2017 and 2013. Coldest high temperatures at NYC for May 13th #1......49....1914 #5......53.....2017 #10....58.....2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted May 13, 2018 Share Posted May 13, 2018 On 5/11/2018 at 11:49 AM, bluewave said: The -EPO continues to exceed model expectations. So we get stronger high pressure over Canada with backdoors and stalled warm fronts. The record warmth snuck in during the first week of May on the brief +EPO. It's racing towards ever-present. The big thing is when 590dm ridge in February broke old record of 581dm and there was +heights in the west arctic, -EPO. I think that means it's there to stay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 13, 2018 Share Posted May 13, 2018 50 minutes ago, bluewave said: NYC has a shot at a top ten coldest maximum temperature in the 50's today. It's interesting that the same thing happened on this date in 2017 and 2013. Coldest high temperatures at NYC for May 13th #1......49....1949 #5......53.....2017 #10....58.....2013 49 is the record but it was set in 1914... 5/13... 49 in 1914... 50 in 1931... 51 in 1882 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted May 13, 2018 Share Posted May 13, 2018 Had to turn the heat on yesterday to get the chill out; it remains on. Current temp is 49. House temp got down to 58 yesterday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 13, 2018 Author Share Posted May 13, 2018 These cool/raw temps are for the birds, looks like things warm back up again starting tomorrow with plenty of rain/storms on the horizon the next several days. Current temp 53 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 13, 2018 Share Posted May 13, 2018 Clouds looked mostly locked in again today. Suspect if we can clear for any sustained period on Tue or Wed we can potentially see another shot at 90 in the warmer spots. Crapola weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 13, 2018 Share Posted May 13, 2018 1 hour ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: It's racing towards ever-present. The big thing is when 590dm ridge in February broke old record of 581dm and there was +heights in the west arctic, -EPO. I think that means it's there to stay. Unprecedented levels of blocking around Alaska and the Bering Sea since 2013. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 13, 2018 Share Posted May 13, 2018 28 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Clouds looked mostly locked in again today. Suspect if we can clear for any sustained period on Tue or Wed we can potentially see another shot at 90 in the warmer spots. Crapola weekend. A lot of cloud debris will hold temps back but it'll definitely feel like 90 with increasing humidity and dews. Very active week, I think some place could easily see 6-8" or more by next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 13, 2018 Share Posted May 13, 2018 55 and raw here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.