uncle W Posted April 24, 2018 Share Posted April 24, 2018 here are the top ten 2018 enso analogs for the summer in NYC if an el nino develops...no year hit 100...one year averaged 80 or higher for 30 consecutive days...average max was 95...one year was above average...the 10 summers average about one degree below average... year.....June July Aug. ave temp...90+...max...warmest 30 days... 1951....69.8 76.8 74.5.....73.7.........7.......94..........77.0 1965....70.1 74.3 73.2.....72.5.......15.......95..........75.7 1968....69.7 77.3 76.0.....74.3.......17.......98..........77.8 1972....67.9 77.2 75.6.....73.6.......15.......94..........77.5 1976....73.2 74.8 74.3.....74.1.......15.......96..........75.8 1986....71.6 76.0 73.1.....73.6.......11.......98..........76.3 1997....70.9 75.8 73.3.....73.3.......12.......97..........77.8 2006....71.0 77.9 75.8.....74.9.........8.......97..........80.1 2009....67.5 72.7 75.7.....72.0.........7.......92..........76.8 2014....72.5 76.1 74.5.....74.3.........8.......92..........76.6 ave.....70.4 75.9 74.6....73.7......12......95.........77.1 1981- 2010..71.8 76.8 75.8....74.8......17......96.........78.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 7, 2018 Author Share Posted May 7, 2018 May maps for those analogs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted May 7, 2018 Share Posted May 7, 2018 It's developing as a west-based El Nino. 2000s have been much more common with this than the 1900s. 2002, 2004, 2009, 2015, all West-based. Also, only 2 years since 1997 were +NAO Apr 29 - May 16 and this year will be highest +NAO for that time. They were 2009, 2015, the 2 strongest El Nino's in that 21 year set. Something like 1/442 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.