andyhb Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 Just now, Chicago Storm said: The same can be said for the opposite. Agree with hail/wind probs down there. Maybe 45% wind if the QLCS takes off later? I didn't call anyone else out for that until you dropped that earlier... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 Not a ton of cellular activity yet. Lots of relatively disorganized clusters and segments... Should change at least a bit as storms evolve and low-level winds back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upper Level LOL Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 Hope so, otherwise this thread will just be more pointless sniping and griping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 Activity in E. KS has really struggled, not surprising given that earlier TOP sounding. Nothing able to get going south of the WF in SW. IA either yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upper Level LOL Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 Literally as you were typing that up.... https://twitter.com/NWStornado/status/984893760424341504 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 TBF he’s not wrong. the most interesting storms are the tail end Charlies down around love field, which is a pretty good sign that storm mode is an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 7 minutes ago, Upper Level LOL said: Literally as you were typing that up.... https://twitter.com/NWStornado/status/984893760424341504 Surprised they warned it. It was already north of the WF when it came out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 While it's in a bad radar spot, this might be the next one to go. Edit; TW now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 Storm near Fort Smith Arkansas is VERY impressive on radar. Has that incredible/classic "Moore supercell" reflectivity presentation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upper Level LOL Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 live coverage from Ft. Smith http://5newsonline.com/on-air/live-streaming/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 3 minutes ago, jojo762 said: Storm near Fort Smith Arkansas is VERY impressive on radar. Has that incredible/classic "Moore supercell" reflectivity presentation. Moore? Lol. Man it really has been a long time since any of us have tracked a genuinely impressive tornadic supercell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 Just now, Buckeye05 said: Moore? Lol. Man it really has been a long time since any of us have tracked a genuinely impressive tornadic supercell. I'm saying it has a classic look. Perhaps I shouldn't have used that analogy, since some people in here get really butt hurt real fast over semantics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 While you're all arguing about this being a 5% day and someone making a fair comparison, fort smith cell is wrapping up really quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 TOR warned cell in AR wrapping up tighter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 That tornado is riding right up I-540 towards Mountainsburg. Strong couplet now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 The fort smith cell currently has a debris ball with a small, but decent couplet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upper Level LOL Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 Yeah that rotation is ramping up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upper Level LOL Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 Debris on the ground in Mountainburg (pop 624) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN MADISON...NORTHWESTERN FRANKLIN...NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD AND SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES... At 417 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Lake Fort Smith, moving northeast at 45 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and half dollar size hail. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations in or near the path include... Mountainburg... Elkins... Winslow... Chester... St. Paul... Wesley... Saint Paul... Boston... Pettigrew... Brentwood... Japton... Lake Fort Smith... Witter... Fern... Goshen... Georgetown... Bidville... Crosses... Combs... Locke... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 The storm has had an on/off decent couplet for a while. From when it was NW of Fort Smith, to Rudy, and then Mountainburg.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 300 m2/s2 heliciry in that part of AR......higher to the south as new storms will approach from the west/sw. We're just getting started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upper Level LOL Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 That Ft. Smith stream had a stream of the tornado, looks pretty serious. http://5newsonline.com/on-air/live-streaming/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 3 minutes ago, Indystorm said: 300 m2/s2 heliciry in that part of AR......higher to the south as new storms will approach from the west/sw. We're just getting started. Yeah I would be watching all that stuff to the west which is all discrete moving into that favorable environment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, Indystorm said: 300 m2/s2 heliciry in that part of AR......higher to the south as new storms will approach from the west/sw. We're just getting started. Things starting to look a lot more cellular along the entirety of the dryline from KS down into TX. Will be interesting to see how things evolve. A bit worried about the WAA crapvection that is developing and its thermodynamic impact... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 Yea everyone has their panties in a bunch today. Lets chat weather and not bicker. Storms seem to be struggling to get going in NW Missouri. Wondering if cap is holding on some. Storm mode def complicated but some signs of lines breaking up into more individualized cells Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 Keep an eye on the cell near Stephens, in south central AR. Looks good, strong updraft and isolated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 I would also keep an eye on the storms ne of Dallas as they move ne into se OK and AR. They are quite the hailers at present and parameters are more favorable as they move eastward. Hot Springs 72/70...Mena 75/73...Arkadelphia 74/69 Little Rock 70/70 all with south winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 The current look over AR is rather concerning given the lack of overall convection and especially the lack of a linear mode. Low level wind fields are becoming extremely favorable for tornadoes at this point and that's only going to continue through 00z. That area near LZK has me concerned, once storms start emerging from the Ouachitas/Ozarks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 Sounding from ULM taken near Minden LA. That veer back at 600mb should only iron itself out with time. The lowest 0-3km is very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 13, 2018 Share Posted April 13, 2018 storm on south side of Ft smith now starting to rotate edit: now T-storm warned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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