Ralph Wiggum Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Enough of a bump north though to keep hope alive that the seasonal north trend might continue. On the 6z NAM you had to go down to Ocean county to get into accumulating snow. 12z gets the edge of accumulating snow up close to NYC. Pretty good bump north.But what is coming north? Anafront snow? There is hardly even a wave along the front.....this is a completely different evolution and depiction than we saw 24 hours ago. Agree with NJ....more snow tomorrow. Maybe this bodes better for next week's threat somehow :-D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 31 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 36 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Enough of a bump north though to keep hope alive that the seasonal north trend might continue. On the 6z NAM you had to go down to Ocean county to get into accumulating snow. 12z gets the edge of accumulating snow up close to NYC. Pretty good bump north. But what is coming north? Anafront snow? There is hardly even a wave along the front.....this is a completely different evolution and depiction than we saw 24 hours ago. Agree with NJ....more snow tomorrow. Maybe this bodes better for next week's threat somehow :-D yes, it has definitely changed. Lighter precip amounts too-going to be difficult to accumulate much if that's the case with a daytime event and less than .50 of LE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 12z gfs @48 slightly north? @54 shunted south and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 7 minutes ago, sferic said: 12z gfs @48 slightly north? @54 shunted south and east basically an anafrontal system-a bit of snow and that's about it...clears out by 12-2pm Saturday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Every model was more northwest. Let's see if the trend continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Every model was more northwest. Let's see if the trend continues. NW with a couple tenths of precipitation..in April lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 9 minutes ago, RedSky said: NW with a couple tenths of precipitation..in April lol yippee! White rain!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 This won’t really stick especially around the city unless the rates are moderate or better. A few tenths of an inch liquid over 9 or 12 hours won’t mean anything. Away from the city that could be an inch or two especially if it’s early morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 UKMET now has a big coastal storm Sunday, but it's a miss. Has little to nothing for Saturday morning now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 I'm calling it. Time of Death 4/5/18 12am Spring is here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: UKMET now has a big coastal storm Sunday, but it's a miss. Has little to nothing for Saturday morning now. It’s been on that train to an extent now since yesterday. It’s had a different evolution to the entire process Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 24 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I'm calling it. Time of Death 4/5/18 12am Spring is here It’s currently 42F. I’ll consider winter dead once it’s comfortably in the 50s again, which looks like it should be later next week (fingers crossed). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 58 minutes ago, jm1220 said: This won’t really stick especially around the city unless the rates are moderate or better. A few tenths of an inch liquid over 9 or 12 hours won’t mean anything. Away from the city that could be an inch or two especially if it’s early morning. I'm satisfied we had our April snowstorm already lol and the most snow that's ever fallen here post equinox. But if we dont get the Saturday storm (even DC looks like 1-3 inches now) there's a chance we could still get the Tuesday storm before we transition over to summer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 7 minutes ago, Paragon said: I'm satisfied we had our April snowstorm already lol and the most snow that's ever fallen here post equinox. But if we dont get the Saturday storm (even DC looks like 1-3 inches now) there's a chance we could still get the Tuesday storm before we transition over to summer? certainly possible as the cold is still impressive by then.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 10 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: certainly possible as the cold is still impressive by then.... 12z GGEM gives heavy snow monday night. But I believe it's the only model that's high on this threat at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 21 minutes ago, Paragon said: I'm satisfied we had our April snowstorm already lol and the most snow that's ever fallen here post equinox. But if we dont get the Saturday storm (even DC looks like 1-3 inches now) there's a chance we could still get the Tuesday storm before we transition over to summer? I had asked that question yesterday about the snowiest spring ever figuring we were close at 13.9 inches but Bluewave posted today we are in the number two spot with 14.5 being the record. With NYC being that close we have to go for it now, somehow some way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Just now, winterwx21 said: 12z GGEM gives heavy snow monday night. But I believe it's the only model that's high on this threat at the moment. would need to see a real model get on board...the GGEM has low verification scores. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: would need to see a real model get on board...the GGEM has low verification scores. Despite the low verification scores, there have been several snow events this season where the GGEM was the first model to pick up them. The model certainly is useful. Not that I'm high on the monday night threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Euro way south. This threat looks done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 I will wait for tonight's 00z suite and close the books tomorrow if 12z does not correctSent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted April 5, 2018 Author Share Posted April 5, 2018 It's done already I'm such bad luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 SREF increased Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 The 12z Euro gave DC virtually nothing. It's probably too far South, but you would have liked to see at least Southern NJ into the significant precip for hope of a last minute shift North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 18 minutes ago, Snow88 said: SREF increased 0 to 1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: 0 to 1? 2-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: 2-4 Skewed by 3 or 4 over amped ARW members. Majority are well South like every other model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 This is why I said yesterday that we would rather take our chances with a more amplified system. Those of you that wanted to trade the good dynamics in order to tick off a few degrees in temps got what they deserved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 So much for that north trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 2 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: I had asked that question yesterday about the snowiest spring ever figuring we were close at 13.9 inches but Bluewave posted today we are in the number two spot with 14.5 being the record. With NYC being that close we have to go for it now, somehow some way. Yeah who knows if we'll ever get this chance again in our lifetimes. I also noticed that Don said that we might return to a colder pattern close to the end of the month, but it would be extremely difficult to get any measurable snow by then. I see that NYC has never had any measurable snow in May (latest is 0.5" on April 29) but I know there have been traces in May, even just a few years ago, close to Memorial Day! And there's been measurable snow in southern NJ in May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Congrats Western VA and most of West Virginia and Western MD Looks like another big event in the higher elevations, similar to 3/24 but slightly North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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