weatherpruf Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: Gfs is a miss. Way south Wow, wasn't expecting that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Right on time, the as expected GFS whacky run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Gfs is a miss. Way south Yup. Icon model looks to be similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Right on time, the as expected GFS whacky run. GFS was awful with the last 5 noreasters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Wow, wasn't expecting that. I was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Just now, Snow88 said: GFS was awful with the last 5 noreasters This may be the storm it leads the pack. DC gets nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Tons more to be sorted. The NAM and GFS are leagues apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 6 minutes ago, Animal said: This may be the storm it leads the pack. DC gets nothing. DC doesn't get nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Just now, Stormlover74 said: DC doesn't get nothing It's near the .75 line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 DC got plenty on that GFS run as did people south of I-195. I'm at least fairly confident this won't be way amped like this morning's NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: DC got plenty on that GFS run as did people south of I-195. I'm at least fairly confident this won't be way amped like this morning's NAM. I agree looking at the setup. The thing is, I trust the NAM more than the GFS at this point, especially at this range moving forward. Another crazy storm to track. This winter has taught me to expect the unexpected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 It's been common for NAM to start the 0z runs great and then the rest look bad, end result has been a lot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Canadian continues the southern trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 I am not buying any south shift, BS as far as I am concerned. If I am wrong then I am wrong. We have all seen this before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: I am not buying any south shift, BS as far as I am concerned. If I am wrong then I am wrong. We have all seen this before. Especially when it's led by the gfs and cmc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Anyone with access staying up for the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Ukie at hr 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 15 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Anyone with access staying up for the Euro? Sorry. Too late for me tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Rjay said: Ukie at hr 72 Wow, that looks south. The question may soon become: do I go to my parents' in DC for this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 CMC, GFS, Ukie,,,,all South. Euro = South and drier . Nam still says North = it appears to be alone right now. Lets see if we get the usually trends North today from all the models or if this is a swing and a miss for our area ? Could all the models have this wrong and it heads North ??? Regardless of who gets hit the timing is key as many people like myself intend to travel home from down south , some of us driving . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 3 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said: April 6, 82 was more like this year's January 4 blizzard than any of the other storms that we've had this winter. In eastern Nassau there was some sleet at the start, particularly on the south shore (8 AM-ish, IIRC), but then an all out daytime blizzard. Blizzard warning went out with a late evening update on April the 5th. Gutsy call in those days that verified. it was one of those rare days when the kind of storm that just doesn't happen, happened. Then on April 7th, the high temperature at KNYC was 31 with high winds all day. Long Islanders woke up to temperatures in teens with a foot + of snow on the ground, high winds and blowing snow on April 7. That might be the most truly anomalous weather event our area has ever experienced. Even ahead of Sandy or the 1938 hurricane. Though the October snowstorm in NYC and Western LI comes close, but combined with the temps and the blizzard conditions I think the April 1982 blizzard edges that out. My list of the most anomalous metro area weather events..... 1) April 1982 Blizzard 2) October 2011 Snowstorm 3) 1938 Hurricane 4) Sandy 5) 2016 Blizzard 6) 1992 Noreaster 7) 1962 Noreaster 8) 1888 Blizzard 9) 1920 Snowstorm 10) Norfolk and Long Island Hurricane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 4 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: Central Park recorded 4.0 inches so unfortunately that's the official number when we all know it was 6 inches in most areas of the city. Just another of the infamous Zookeepers F ups. There's dozens of them through time. April 1915 deserves an honorable mention because it was 19 inches in Philly but only 10 in NYC (though Newark did get 16 inches). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 5 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: Highest accumulation I remember from the May 9-10, 1977 storm was 27 inches in some town in the Catskills of NY, I think it was Slide Mountain. http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=29630 I wonder how there was no accumulation in NYC even though thundersnow was reported in 5/1977. Didn't Providence, RI (at sea level) have 7 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Thread title needs to be updated. no snow for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 4 hours ago, Rtd208 said: I am not buying any south shift, BS as far as I am concerned. If I am wrong then I am wrong. We have all seen this before. 6z nam added to list Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Weird to see every model all of the sudden trend south. Hopefully it comes back north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Weird to see every model all of the sudden trend south. Hopefully it comes back north. I would say that is likely IMO. We have seen this before and I am sticking with the seasonal north trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Weird to see every model all of the sudden trend south. Hopefully it comes back north. Oh well we had a decent recent run. Had to end sometime. I don't think all of them trending south at this time is just noise. Still, it's even rarer to see a significant storm this time of year further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Just now, Rtd208 said: I would say that is likely IMO. We have seen this before and I am sticking with the seasonal north trend. All of them heading one way can't be dismissed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 8 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: All of them heading one way can't be dismissed. Agree although we had seen this before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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