Wetbulbs88 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 NAM looks better? Only out to 62... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: NAM looks better? Only out to 62... Def slower. Not doing anything until after 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Nam looks great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: Def slower. Not doing anything until after 12z Slower probably means more south. More time for the front to come through and press the boundary south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Best case scenario 0z nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Animal said: Best case scenario 0z nam Disagree, it’s trending closer to the gfs. imo the final solution will be a compromise of the gfs and NAM solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted April 5, 2018 Author Share Posted April 5, 2018 This will be the best case scenario. If we could slow it down 4 more hrs than someone will get a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Just now, NewYorkweatherfan said: This will be the best case scenario. If we could slow it down 4 more hrs than someone will get a foot I’d rather have most of this as early as possible since we need good rates during the day to stick on more than grass and car tops. But early probably means north, so we work with what we have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, Philadelphia Snow said: Disagree, it’s trending closer to the gfs. imo the final solution will be a compromise of the gfs and NAM solution. Where are the people that mock the gfs as terrible? never said it was right... better than 18z for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 3 hours ago, sferic said: May 9th, 1977? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted April 5, 2018 Author Share Posted April 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, jm1220 said: I’d rather have most of this as early as possible since we need good rates during the day to stick on more than grass and car tops. But early probably means north, so we work with what we have. Yes either slower or faster but this pace looks bad and it looks a bit warm but I think 2-4 is easy here cause we’ll be getting some very heavy snow during the height of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted April 5, 2018 Author Share Posted April 5, 2018 13 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: U got the Kuchera map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, NewYorkweatherfan said: U got the Kuchera map Highest accumulations nw nj. 2-5 the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, NewYorkweatherfan said: U got the Kuchera map 2-4 for the NYC area with more to the north and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: 2-4 for the NYC area with more to the north and west Don't know buddy, 2-4 ain't gonna mean much this time of year. Not in the daytime. Rates would have to be heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 NAM gives me just my second 70" snow season this is getting absurd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Just now, weatherpruf said: Don't know buddy, 2-4 ain't gonna mean much this time of year. Not in the daytime. Rates would have to be heavy. It's still trending Lets see what the other models show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted April 5, 2018 Author Share Posted April 5, 2018 Just now, weatherpruf said: Don't know buddy, 2-4 ain't gonna mean much this time of year. Not in the daytime. Rates would have to be heavy. 2-4 with heavy snow all day is perfect with me it’s april bro it’s historic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Don't know buddy, 2-4 ain't gonna mean much this time of year. Not in the daytime. Rates would have to be heavy. Yeah but Kuchera is trying to account for that. We'll see. NAM definitely took a step in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 1 minute ago, NewYorkweatherfan said: 2-4 with heavy snow all day is perfect with me it’s april bro it’s historic Ya had to live through 82 if you wanna talk historic. Was hoping to challenge it. We beat 2-4 in 2003. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Yeah but Kuchera is trying to account for that. We'll see. NAM definitely took a step in the right direction. Really would be a nice consolation prize this year. Can't complain after Monday, which was picturesque. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 April 6, 82 was more like this year's January 4 blizzard than any of the other storms that we've had this winter. In eastern Nassau there was some sleet at the start, particularly on the south shore (8 AM-ish, IIRC), but then an all out daytime blizzard. Blizzard warning went out with a late evening update on April the 5th. Gutsy call in those days that verified. it was one of those rare days when the kind of storm that just doesn't happen, happened. Then on April 7th, the high temperature at KNYC was 31 with high winds all day. Long Islanders woke up to temperatures in teens with a foot + of snow on the ground, high winds and blowing snow on April 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 1 minute ago, NorthShoreWx said: April 6, 82 was more like this year's January 4 blizzard than any of the other storms that we've had this winter. In eastern Nassau there was some sleet at the start, particularly on the south shore (8 AM-ish, IIRC), but then an all out daytime blizzard. Blizzard warning went out with a late evening update on April the 5th. Gutsy call in those days that verified. it was one of those rare days when the kind of storm that just doesn't happen, happened. I experienced the April 1982 blizzard in Brooklyn and just remember the asphalt snow covered deeply and how bright the sky was too while snowing heavily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: April 6, 82 was more like this year's January 4 blizzard than any of the other storms that we've had this winter. In eastern Nassau there was some sleet at the start, particularly on the south shore (8 AM-ish, IIRC), but then an all out daytime blizzard. Blizzard warning went out with a late evening update on April the 5th. Gutsy call in those days that verified. it was one of those rare days when the kind of storm that just doesn't happen, happened. Then on April 7th, the high temperature at KNYC was 31 with high winds all day. And I might add, most of us didn't really believe it..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 NAM has a a mid level warm layer that has to be dealt with along I-95 for most of the event. There's some mild air being drawn in from the south which could reflect in the mid levels. But agree that it's a step in the right direction. At least it's trending the boundary further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 17 minutes ago, NewYorkweatherfan said: 2-4 with heavy snow all day is perfect with me it’s april bro it’s historic Well I wouldn't call 2-4 this time of year historic, if it was 2-4 on May 7th you would call that historic, in NYC at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Just now, sferic said: I experienced the April 1982 blizzard in Brooklyn and just remember the asphalt snow covered deeply and how bright the sky was too while snowing heavily. And it delivered IMBY much better than Jan 4, which was a bit of a letdown as the bands stopped at the Hudson river. Newark did better in 82 than CP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 00Z GFS rolling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Gfs is a miss. Way south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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