MJO812 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Navgem has a nice developed coastal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 The UKMET timing is nothing like the GFS. At 72 it’s way slower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 17 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The UKMET timing is nothing like the GFS. At 72 it’s way slower Better than the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted April 4, 2018 Author Share Posted April 4, 2018 46 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Navgem has a nice developed coastal You got a picture or a link cause tropical rid bits doesn't have it loaded yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted April 4, 2018 Author Share Posted April 4, 2018 I've seen this game before I think Newark does better than new York city and long island also does better than nyc. I think central park gets stuck in between bands and has poor rates that's my best guess right now. Also I don't think the Euro will show a better solution I think it either drops south or holds serve. Regardless Newark 3-4 will get a big hit come Saturday and Islip look for 6-8. Central park measly inch Word of the day for NYC (subsidence) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 12 minutes ago, NewYorkweatherfan said: I've seen this game before I think Newark does better than new York city and long island also does better than nyc. I think central park gets stuck in between bands and has poor rates that's my best guess right now. Also I don't think the Euro will show a better solution I think it either drops south or holds serve. Regardless Newark 3-4 will get a big hit come Saturday and Islip look for 6-8. Central park measly inch Word of the day for NYC (subsidence) Are you ok? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 17 minutes ago, NewYorkweatherfan said: I've seen this game before I think Newark does better than new York city and long island also does better than nyc. I think central park gets stuck in between bands and has poor rates that's my best guess right now. Also I don't think the Euro will show a better solution I think it either drops south or holds serve. Regardless Newark 3-4 will get a big hit come Saturday and Islip look for 6-8. Central park measly inch Word of the day for NYC (subsidence) I think it's way too early for predicting placement of subsidence zones. That's tough even 12 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted April 4, 2018 Author Share Posted April 4, 2018 7 minutes ago, Metasequoia said: I think it's way too early for predicting placement of subsidence zones. That's tough even 12 hours out. That's my best guess right now Euro rolling in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 2 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: the 7th is still early april It's close enough. Thinking our April events have come around the 6th and 7th. Not often, but that seems to be the time period. It already snowed once after a 60 degree day so anything's possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Changing Climate, changing atmospheric dynamics, more wild and strange events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 hour ago, NutleyBlizzard said: We most definitely have a shot at 50+. I'm currently at 45''. If my area didn't struggle with subsidence issues in March, I'd be going for 1995/96 levels by now. The 2nd storm is what failed us; we got 4-5 instead of 20+.....the March 21-22 delivered, but too late in the day to get us to the truly big numbers that were possible in a colder time of year; still after Feb and 80 degrees I wouldn't have predicted snow in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Decent hit on the ECMWF. The temperature is generally around 32°-33° in EWR, NYC, ISP during the height of the storm. The general amount is near 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 30 minutes ago, NewYorkweatherfan said: That's my best guess right now Euro rolling in Slight tick north. 1-2 my area. decent event philly area. 4-6 storm does not look all that impressive imop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Am I correct in guessing that this will be only a nuissance snow event up here in Poughkeepsie based on a blend of all guidance thus far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Euro went way drier and is now in line with other models. This’ll probably be a 6-8” max swath where most of it can be snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 45 minutes ago, Animal said: Slight tick north. 1-2 my area. decent event philly area. 4-6 storm does not look all that impressive imop. 4-6 is impressive for April 7th! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 19 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 4-6 is impressive for April 7th! Even 1-3 is lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 These lows along the fronts tend to juice up as we get closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 4 hours ago, Snow88 said: We had 10:1 with the last storm 12:1 ratios here during the April 2 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 4 hours ago, Ericjcrash said: 544+ thicknesses. That's not bad for snow in the spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted April 4, 2018 Author Share Posted April 4, 2018 I think the end result is something like this looks like were we’re going to get some strong winds with this storm unlike Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 29 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: That's not bad for snow in the spring. It only worries me because it is mid spring. Easier to get by with that in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Mid spring is not until early May and on May 9th, 1977 NYC had a trace of snow, I witnessed it, North of NY several inches on that date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 18 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: It only worries me because it is mid spring. Easier to get by with that in January. I wish I could remember where I read that, but I do recall reading the opposite. 500 - 1000 mb thickness is a surrogate for the average temperature in that layer, but how you get there can vary. If it's warmer near 500mb (but still well below freezing), that gives you a little wiggle room to keep the lower parts of the column cooler and have snow with a partial thickness of 544. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted April 4, 2018 Author Share Posted April 4, 2018 I stole this from New fingland bros... looks pretty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 16 minutes ago, sferic said: Mid spring is not until early May and on May 9th, 1977 NYC had a trace of snow, I witnessed it, North of NY several inches on that date. It'll be the 6th week of spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: It'll be the 6th week of spring. Torrington CT got 33" from that storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted April 4, 2018 Author Share Posted April 4, 2018 NAM looks like it’s about to drop it like it’s 1986 or 96 whichever it snowed more looks good early, it doesn’t really look like anafrontal anymore it looks like overrunning than the coastal looks like it’s going to take over like the navgem. Let’s see the rest of the run, this is fudin fun man Edit: it crapped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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