MJO812 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Nam is 3-5 for NYC and coast with more to the north and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: Honestly I've been over the snow since the March storm. Whatever falls will be gone in less than a day unless the amounts are really high (8"+). Spring snow is meh 99% of the time. Only reason I'm interested is that with 6 inches in the books already we could make history...however if this ends up a daytime event it will be hard to achieve. Labor Day Sun angle... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted April 4, 2018 Author Share Posted April 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: That my friend is heavy snow! All columns are cool and temperatures are in the low 30's Edit:in fact even New York city is below freezing during the height of the storm to me that's all that matters right now. I would like to be a little later like Saturday night like the navgem is showing than we could get an easy 6 inch even in central park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Nam is 3-5 for NYC and coast with more to the north and west Not sure I'd use a 10-1 snowmap for this one....cut those #'s in half especially if they are during the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Just now, NewYorkweatherfan said: That my friend is heavy snow! All columns are cool and temperatures are in the low 30's And Nam might be too amped. This is am arctic front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Just now, Brian5671 said: Not sure I'd use a 10-1 snowmap for this one....cut those #'s in half especially if they are during the day. We had 10:1 with the last storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Just now, Snow88 said: We had 10:1 with the last storm so that means this one will be? LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Just now, NewYorkweatherfan said: That my friend is heavy snow! All columns are cool and temperatures are in the low 30's It's during the day and it looks like a frontal wave, pure grass topper. Last week some models were suggesting a blue bomb, that's no longer the case. This is a stats padder and nothing more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted April 4, 2018 Author Share Posted April 4, 2018 If it's below freezing and we get 35dbz rates I don't care if it's may it will accumulate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: so that means this one will be? LOL. Who says it can't ? 3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: It's during the day and it looks like a frontal wave, pure grass topper. Last week some models were suggesting a blue bomb, that's no longer the case. This is a stats padder and nothing more. It's a wave along the front which can drop alot of snow. Just stop. You are always forecasting warmth with less snoe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 minute ago, NewYorkweatherfan said: If it's below freezing and we get 35dbz rates I don't care if it's may it will accumulate I agree People have said this same bullcrap since the start of March and look what has happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 4 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Who says it can't ? It's a wave along the front which can drop alot of snow. Just stop. You are always forecasting warmth with less snoe. and you are always forecasting snow and cold. You were probably all in for cold and snow in 11-12 when it was 80 in March... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 7 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: and you are always forecasting snow and cold. You were probably all in for cold and snow in 11-12 when it was 80 in March... I forecast what I think is right You were wrong with the last few storms. Keep thinking you are always right because you have been wrong just like snowman19. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 20 minutes ago, NewYorkweatherfan said: That my friend is heavy snow! All columns are cool and temperatures are in the low 30's Edit:in fact even New York city is below freezing during the height of the storm to me that's all that matters right now. I would like to be a little later like Saturday night like the navgem is showing than we could get an easy 6 inch even in central park Nice post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Rgem is way less amped than the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 hour ago, NewYorkweatherfan said: Navgem is all snow it is not a torch 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: It isn't a torch 544+ thicknesses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Yeah, nah, that's not close to a snow sounding at hour 75 in NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 6 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Rgem is way less amped than the nam You need the more amped solution to deliver the heavier rates, or it will indeed end up as a car topper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted April 4, 2018 Author Share Posted April 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: You need the more amped solution to deliver the heavier rates, or it will indeed end up as a car topper. Call me crazy but I think that boundary stalls and the low rides up the coast and drops a good amount of frozen precip. Also it does snow from 76hrs-82 in new York city so at least we should be able to get a good 1-3 inches. Nothing is set in stone though anything and everything will probably change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Gfs is a better solution for the coast Much further south and colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 GFS is gorgeous. Extremely cold with 6-10” for I-95. Surface temps remain below freezing the whole time, incredible for mid april. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Gfs with 6 + for the whole area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Blizzard-on-GFS said: GFS is gorgeous. Extremely cold with 6-10” for I-95. Surface temps remain below freezing the whole time, incredible for mid april. the 7th is still early april Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Looking like the 6th warning criteria snowfall here since March 1st. Making a run at a 50"+ season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 37 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: You need the more amped solution to deliver the heavier rates, or it will indeed end up as a car topper. Not really. The rates are plenty heavy on the Euro and GFS, and it falls mostly early morning. It’s just that they focus on I-95 and south instead of north and west like the NAM which would be maybe an inch for the coast at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Not really. The rates are plenty heavy on the Euro and GFS, and it falls mostly early morning. It’s just that they focus on I-95 and south instead of north and west like the NAM which would be maybe an inch for the coast at the end. This will probably inch a bit north from the Euro depiction, but not be as amped as the NAM. The -EPO block funnels down a very cold high pressure, it should get crushed at some point. Expecting a 100-mile wide swath of heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Just now, nzucker said: This will probably inch a bit north from the Euro depiction, but not be as amped as the NAM. The -EPO block funnels down a very cold high pressure, it should get crushed at some point. Expecting a 100-mile wide swath of heavy snow. The GFS definitely bumped a little north from 6z. I agree the NAM is probably overdone and too amped but you can’t totally discount it when other models are still coming north. Not much breathing room on April 7th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 24 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Looking like the 6th warning criteria snowfall here since March 1st. Making a run at a 50"+ season. We most definitely have a shot at 50+. I'm currently at 45''. If my area didn't struggle with subsidence issues in March, I'd be going for 1995/96 levels by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 CMC is 3-5 away from the coast, 2-3 for the city and LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 7 minutes ago, NutleyBlizzard said: We most definitely have a shot at 50+. I'm currently at 45''. If my area didn't struggle with subsidence issues in March, I'd be going for 1995/96 levels by now. I know, our area in NE Jersey has had way too much subsidence this season. At least last snowfall we cashed in more than others. First time all season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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