stormtracker Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: Looks pretty good to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 minute ago, showmethesnow said: Impressive enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 We still waiting for the GEFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 GEFS has plenty of spread in terms of where the boundary lines up on this (and how it's timed with the heavy precip onset). The mean 850 freezing line passes DCA before sun-up saturday. this is 12z saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 10 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Impressive enough e4 looks like a decent option. Let's hope the Euro feels like e4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 18 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: lots of shutouts in there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: lots of shutouts in there 4 shutouts and 9 that give DC around 6" or more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 15 minutes ago, Ji said: lots of shutouts in there Yeah, 4 out of 20 is killer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 hour ago, Fozz said: You can keep your money. Obviously light snow isn't going to accumulate in the afternoon. But heavy snow will. Also why should it matter whether it's PA or a little further south? The sun's radiation isn't a whole lot different there vs here. This is a dumb argument. Yes the radiation will make it harder. But it doesn't mean it can't stick. If it's light or 35 degrees it won't. But if it's thumping at 32 it will. Look at places with elevation at our latitude. They get snow this late all the time. They get the same radiation. Their elevation makes it easier to get cold enough air this late though despite the increased radiation. But when it snows the radiation doesn't stop accumulation. Especially because if it's snowing hard the radiation is muted by the thick cloud cover and precip. So yes it will make it harder. But the biggest issue getting snow in April is getting cold enough. Places with elevation at our latitude prove it can stick if it snows hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Wompwomp. Euro north as well. 850 temps above 0C at 12z Saturday along a line about 10-20mi west of 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Wompwomp. Euro north as well. 850 temps above 0C at 12z Saturday along a line about 10-20mi west of 95. Yeah, low is further west, so it may just be delayed and not denied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Amped said: Yeah, low is further west, so it may just be delayed and not denied. Haven't seen it yet, but you're probably right. But still means all snowfall would be during daytime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 96 hrs 850s are -12c at DCA... so looks like a quick crash after 72 I would believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Wompwomp. Euro north as well. 850 temps above 0C at 12z Saturday along a line about 10-20mi west of 95. still very snowy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Not sure its a "crash" but it flips to snow somewhere between 72-78. At 72 the modeled snow line looks ~35 miles N/W of DC. By 78 it's just crossed the SE corner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 11 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Wompwomp. Euro north as well. 850 temps above 0C at 12z Saturday along a line about 10-20mi west of 95. Hold your horses ducky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 looks fine to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Hold your horses ducky I am holding all hoofed animals waiting for an epic snowmap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I am holding all hoofed animals waiting for an epic snowmap. Well we know it's not going to be as good as 0z...but 0z was an insane fantasy anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: heh, now that's more like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Just now, stormtracker said: heh, now that's more like it Then divide by two for everyone outside that purple area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 By Saturday, this will be a Southern PA/Northern MD snow storm only. 0z will be the final nail in the coffin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 fringed. I'm out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Then divide by two for everyone outside that purple area. Well, at least I can concentrate on work again now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 convective feedback, low initiated in the wrong position, toss it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 yet again, the Euro follows the NAM's lead, and the GFS stays off on its own island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Then divide by two for everyone outside that purple area. Down to snow tv. Next run will be sunny and 50. But wait! It’s the Euro!? It’s never right! Although Sandy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 DC almost out of the game on this Euro run...looking like it'll be a northern tier to NYC event again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Just now, Scraff said: Down to snow tv. Next run will be sunny and 50. But wait! It’s the Euro!? It’s never right! Although Sandy... and Joaquin (I'm still burned out about that one). Also GFS showed Irma hitting Cape May as a category 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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