H2O Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 NORTH TREND!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 minute ago, yoda said: 12z UKMET 72 -- 1003mb SLP in N AL 96 -- 996mb SLP near 40/70 benchmark Thank you for the PBP. Wish everyone would just stop bickering and enjoy tracking and giving analysis about the possibility of a once in 50 year weather event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 12z UKIE HR 72 QPF map (going to have to wait for the later hours on weathermodels) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Silly me, thought we could go one event this year without all the Debs coming out and plastering the boards with their non-stop, overly repetitious 'No snow for you because of this, this and this'. But no, like clockwork they are here within 2-3 days of an event to let us know how foolish we are for believing we could see some snow. Just asking, but is it too much to ask if you Debs can tone it down just a little. PLEASE????????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 minute ago, showmethesnow said: Silly me, thought we could go one event this year without all the Debs coming out and plastering the boards with their non-stop, overly repetitious 'No snow for you because of this, this and this'. But no, like clockwork they are here within 2-3 days of an event to let us know how foolish we are for believing we could see some snow. Just asking, but is it too much to ask if you Debs can tone it down just a little. PLEASE????????? yeah it really was silly of you to expect that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Well, DT just hit me up on fb. Said and I quote "HAMMER TIP FOR RANDY: biggest snow of the year for u" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 11 minutes ago, Interstate said: The ICON looks good. That was for you stormtracker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 7 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z UKIE HR 72 QPF map (going to have to wait for the later hours on weathermodels) Judging just by this map, it would appear that the UKIE is similar to the NAVGEM. The NAVGEM is a rainstorm btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 6 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: Silly me, thought we could go one event this year without all the Debs coming out and plastering the boards with their non-stop, overly repetitious 'No snow for you because of this, this and this'. But no, like clockwork they are here within 2-3 days of an event to let us know how foolish we are for believing we could see some snow. Just asking, but is it too much to ask if you Debs can tone it down just a little. PLEASE????????? Did you know it was April? Did you know that we usually don't get snow in April, so I'm just telling you...you must keep your expectations in check. Did you know it was April? Did you know that any April snow situation is delicate? Well let me tell you, ad nauseam about it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Well, DT just hit me up on fb. Said and I quote "HAMMER TIP FOR RANDY: biggest snow of the year for u" That sounds like he's trolling you. And for all you people whining about May snow: I once got lost in a blizzard in July. Of course, I was hiking a 13K mountain in the Sierras at the time, but whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Well, DT just hit me up on fb. Said and I quote "HAMMER TIP FOR RANDY: biggest snow of the year for u" name dropper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 12z UKMET SLP positions: 72 -- 1003mb SLP in N AL 78 -- 1000mb SLP in NE GA 84 -- 997mb SLP north of ILM by about 50-75 miles 90 -- 995mb SLP east of VA/NC border by about 200 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 13 minutes ago, MD Snow said: Thank you for the PBP. Wish everyone would just stop bickering and enjoy tracking and giving analysis about the possibility of a once in 50 year weather event. This is a good post. I think we all need to chill and get back to the science part. That said, it also doesn’t help to deb the debs, for reasons I’ve mentioned before. Let’s all pretend it’s january and that if it’s cold enough to snow then it’s cold enough to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 4 minutes ago, Don Cherry's Jacket said: That sounds like he's trolling you. And for all you people whining about May snow: I once got lost in a blizzard in July. Of course, I was hiking a 13K mountain in the Sierras at the time, but whatever. He's 100% serious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: He's 100% serious there was no ALEET. He should have waited until after the 12z euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, H2O said: there was no ALEET. He should have waited until after the 12z euro I actually agree. I hope he's not going full ALEET before then. On a serious note, I get all the concerns with this. But: We all know where we live We all know it's April We all know this is an extremely delicate situation and that every single thing has to go perfect We all know we're not getting double digit snowfalls, complete with pavement stickage. This is all bonus. I love tracking it. If it happens, it happens. Because it's April, nobody should be seriously vested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 12z UKIE is meh, but is further north than 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I actually agree. I hope he's not going full ALEET before then. On a serious note, I get all the concerns with this. But: We all know where we live We all know it's April We all know this is an extremely delicate situation and that every single thing has to go perfect We all know we're not getting double digit snowfalls, complete with pavement stickage. This is all bonus. I love tracking it. If it happens, it happens. Because it's April, nobody should be seriously vested. i just said i was all in. dammit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z UKIE is meh, but is further north than 00z Sorry EZF. you lose this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 I like the UKIE staying south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 12z UKIE is meh, but is further north than 00zSuppressed likely means all snow though, I’d assume. Might be willing to trade a slightly suppressed solution for 100% snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Not bad for April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Suppressed likely means all snow though, I’d assume. Might be willing to trade a slightly suppressed solution for 100% snow. Unless the 850s are a bit hung up and it’s just light precip. Sometimes you need the rates for the snow transition Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Just now, BaltimoreWxGuy said: Unless the 850s are a bit hung up and it’s just light precip. Sometimes you need the rates for the snow transition Unfortunately, weathermodels doesn't have the 850s past 72... so we won't know -- tonights 0z UKIE may have it though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Unless the 850s are a bit hung up and it’s just light precip. Sometimes you need the rates for the snow transition Looked like .4” for DCA in a 6hr period. Guessing that would be ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Just now, yoda said: Unfortunately, weathermodels doesn't have the 850s past 72... so we won't know -- tonights 0z UKIE may have it though I thought Maue's new site had total precip out to 144? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: I thought Maue's new site had total precip out to 144? precip yes... 850s/2m Temps no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 We still waiting for the GEFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: We still waiting for the GEFS? Slight shift north like the OP. Increased QPF in DC. Just looking at means. EDIT: Also actually a degree or two colder on the whole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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