BristowWx Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 It’ll be November before we know it. It’s been fun regardless of how much we actually measured. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 6 minutes ago, BristowWx said: NAM 12k is no bueno Massive change with respect to the precip field. It came out late too. Seems fishy to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 What change? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 1 minute ago, olafminesaw said: Massive change with respect to the precip field. It came out late too. Seems fishy to me. Noticed that. It was straight awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 What's going on with TT? It's skipping panels on the NAM 3k. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, ATreglown said: What's going on with TT? It's skipping panels on the NAM 3k. The 12k is so precip anemic compared to every other run. Toss it? Definite weenie move. Not sure what the 3k is doing since there are like 6 panels out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 It did show hour 14, but now it has disappeared. Something wonky going with the NAM models tonight. May need to toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 30 minutes ago, BristowWx said: NAM 12k is no bueno It is horrible compared to previous runs. Still shows 2" imby, but with 2m temps and ground/soil temps given what they are, I appear to be looking at snow tv even at my elevation. Not complaining, since it is April and all, but could have/would have been epic as depicted by all the globals 2-3 days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 The trajectory and evolution of the low is similar, PWAT values are similar. It just doesn't make sense to me. Particularly Richmond and SE VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 Mid Atlantic weather. Know it, Live it, Love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 0Z RGEM showing 2-3" for Augusta County, for the 2-3 people who care on here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 Either something is wrong with the NAM, or it just completely killed any snow altogether for anyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Either something is wrong with the NAM, or it just completely killed any snow altogether for anyone. Still gives mby 2-3", so not everyone. Just 95% of this forum : ( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 5 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Either something is wrong with the NAM, or it just completely killed any snow altogether for anyone. Something weird is going on with models tonight. Still waiting for the GFS 0Z run. It's a bit late tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, ATreglown said: Something weird is going on with models tonight. Still waiting for the GFS 0Z run. It's a bit late tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: I am on TT and it has not loaded the first panel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 4 minutes ago, ATreglown said: I am on TT and it has not loaded the first panel. Couldn't find it on weatherbell, but I found it on Pivotal weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 First rain drops have arrived. Radar looks pretty good far as moisture is concerned for the first wave around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 17 minutes ago, Philadelphia Snow said: I like the ascent not authorized RAOB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 GFS is a total non-event as well unless you live on the Eastern Shore. Maybe they manage an inch or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 55 minutes ago, ATreglown said: First rain drops have arrived. Radar looks pretty good far as moisture is concerned for the first wave around here. Only 30 more degrees to drop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 Front just went through here. Winds picked up for a few mins and temps started to drop. Was 64F a few mins ago and now "down" to 59. Geeze what a train wreck... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 This looks like a good test for nowcasting because the low is getting squashed down south by the enormous push of cold air in the plains states. Currently it is diving south of Natchez and may not even clear Mobile by much before it begins to recurve a little. I will hazard the guess that DCA to BWI sees rain turning to sleet then snow during the day, and end up with 1.5". Some forum reports may be 2-4". Jackpot likely near RIC to southeast MD with 3-6" outside chance 5-10" max somewhere in that zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 7 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Only 30 more degrees to drop I would actually prefer to stay above freezing and stay all rain. Spring has sprung around here. I don't want to lose my fruit crop over a snow that will not amount to anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 wind just kicked around here at about 1:05am, we were at 66 at the top of the hour, now down to 63.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 20" DC special starts in 8 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 Where do you want to put the decimal in that? Two choices I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tplbge Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 51 minutes ago, Amped said: 20" DC special starts in 8 hrs. Which bar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted April 7, 2018 Share Posted April 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, tplbge said: Which bar? 40z Of Spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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