psuhoffman Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 59 minutes ago, 87storms said: i don't think everyone here knows everyone and names, etc, and who's kidding and what's locker room talk, etc, but i do think some of that is better for banter. i'm good with all of it except the rudeness. it's a turn off and probably makes no sense to anyone reading this thread who doesn't know someone offline. maybe the euro will save what's becoming a stanky thread. I cared back in winter when this was insufferable months on end but now F it. It's April. Who cares. But hopefully maybe we can all agree on some ground roles next fall before things get started and then stick to them and empower mods to enforce them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 9 minutes ago, Ji said: still too early to give up on the storm. Ive seen the euro takes us from 20 inches to 5 inches 6 hours before the March 21 storm so crazy things can happen in the last 12-24 hours Maybe showmesnow will end up being right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 1 hour ago, Ji said: 2 hours ago, psuhoffman said: He is just trolling Figured as much. We have a growing number of bad posters in the forum Weird. I have a growing number of beers that cause me to post crap in here...mostly. LOLz. On to happy hour GooFuS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I cared back in winter when this was insufferable months on end but now F it. It's April. Who cares. But hopefully maybe we can all agree on some ground roles next fall before things get started and then stick to them and empower mods to enforce them. Dude you've had it out for me Day 1. I don't think ground rules will keep you from being snarky towards certain posters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 how can this pattern be the same all winter? maybe we'll get our storm in may once the jet stream/boundary lifts north lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 1 minute ago, 87storms said: how can this pattern be the same all winter? maybe we'll get our storm in may once the jet stream/boundary lifts north lol. We'll probably have a cold summer lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 This is the one. Start a thread!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, Subtropics said: Dude you've had it out for me Day 1. I don't think ground rules will keep you from being snarky towards certain posters. If the mods ban criticism of stupidity you will be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Day 6 mega-storm dwindles to fringe-clouds event by onset. Where have I seen that before? Oh, about 15 times this (awful) winter. LOL. I probably have received at least 60" of inside D6 snow this year (especially Euro). My final on-the-ground total will be 9" for the season. Same goes for all modeled QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: This is the one. Start a thread!!! LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 28 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Wave over SC develops but baro zone is too far East. Has been ticking farther W and now showing on some other guidance as well. Slim pickins but we track what we can I guess. Oh, goodie. Maybe this can evolve into a Boxing Day type event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 17 minutes ago, Subtropics said: Dude you've had it out for me Day 1. I don't think ground rules will keep you from being snarky towards certain posters. Aren't you supposed to be working on that list??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Aren't you supposed to be working on that list??? there was a map yesterday by the 12z EPS that gave my backyard a 72% chance for 3 or more inches of snow. The ensembles have really been unhelpful this year more than any year i remember Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 45 minutes ago, Scraff said: Weird. I have a growing number of beers that cause me to post crap in here...mostly. LOLz. On to happy hour GooFuS! I drank half of my KBS already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ji said: there was a map yesterday by the 12z EPS that gave my backyard a 72% chance for 3 or more inches of snow. The ensembles have really been unhelpful this year more than any year i remember What are you talking about they said there was a 28% chance this would happen!!! lol yea models have been unreliable and frustrating this year. That's often the case in progressive fast flow NS dominant patterns. What makes this year frustrating is how most of the events underperformed compared to potential. If a few had busted the other way and we were all sitting on 30"+ we wouldn't care as much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: What are you talking about they said there was a 28% chance this would happen!!! lol yea models have been unreliable and frustrating this year. That's often the case in progressive fast flow NS dominant patterns. What makes this year frustrating is how most of the events underperformed compared to potential. If a few had busted the other way and we were all sitting on 30"+ we wouldn't care as much. lol....someone also posted an image of the GFS. It has 16 hits and 4 shutouts and the first thing i said was "wow...thats alot of shutouts"....turns out this season that no matter what the odds..take the least snowiest solution makes you a genius(like h2o) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 23 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Aren't you supposed to be working on that list??? I'll be moving to North Carolina and out of the subforum. No time for a list. Enjoy me while you have me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 So with any chance of a historic event long gone, we have another miserable, rainy/ sleety/mangled snowflakey Friday night and Saturday to look forward to. Be nice if this front would grow some balls and get this crap out of our area down into Richmond or south by Saturday. Need a nice dry weekend. I would have posted this in banter but..well heh, this pretty much is banter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 11 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: So with any chance of a historic event long gone, we have another miserable, rainy/ sleety/mangled snowflakey Friday night and Saturday to look forward to. Be nice if this front would grow some balls and get this crap out of our area down into Richmond or south by Saturday. Need a nice dry weekend. I would have posted this in banter but..well heh, this pretty much is banter. Yea but then it would be 35-40 with a breeze. Not pleasant anyways. Either way a nice weekend isn't in the cards. The Monday snow will make up for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlamSlam Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Did we get SREF'd? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Just now, SlamSlam said: Did we get SREF'd? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Yeah lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 20 minutes ago, Ji said: lol....someone also posted an image of the GFS. It has 16 hits and 4 shutouts and the first thing i said was "wow...thats alot of shutouts"....turns out this season that no matter what the odds..take the least snowiest solution makes you a genius(like h2o) One thing I think is frustrating about NWP now compared to 10-20 years ago is their inconsistency to their own biases. They are more accurate today in that any given run is more likely to be right. But when they are wrong they are wrong in inconsistent and unpredictable ways. They used to have bad but fairly reliable biases and if you knew how to correct for them you could peice together how things would trend. Now they can go any which way. Over amped one time then under the next. Too cold then too hot. It's much harder to predict the model error now then it was at least for me and that makes it harder to forecast past 48 hours. I wonder if the higher resolution combined with updates to correct biases have caused that? I kid you not yesterday when everyone was freaking out over a north trend I was thinking "the U.K. had been a south non event for several runs what if it's right". I'm not giving myself credit I definitely thought north was the bigger problem but I had the thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Ugh that's it. We're down to the SREF! We're passing the last exit before the cliff. Giddy up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 NAM about to throw us a bone considering SREF's look ok? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Ugh that's it. We're down to the SREF! We're passing the last exit before the cliff. Giddy up. 3 inches from the srefs is nothing. Ussually we need it to show atleast 10 then maybe we have a chance...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Usually coincides with a good high res NAM run. Throw us a freakin’ bone here!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 the Heights are a little higher on the 18z NAM...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 12 minutes ago, osfan24 said: NAM about to throw us a bone considering SREF's look ok? 18z yesterday started the falling apart. 18z today starts the return. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 i quit winters over. YEP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted April 5, 2018 Share Posted April 5, 2018 Nam is a slight improvement over its 12z run., slight bump north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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