Amped Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Still a lot can change here. Looking at the 250mb and 2pvu the GFS has been moving around quite a bit with timing and amplitude of both streams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 pretty expected. friday's temps are around 60 which is, ya know, 28 degrees above freezing. best case is we end as snow and it's cold enough to accumulate. we'll see what euro does at 0z...maybe it can shift slightly south again. definitely don't want more north, that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 We want that Friday wave to be slightly stronger than what was advertised today. That will drag the boundary farther south and keep us snowier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Just now, WxUSAF said: We want that Friday wave to be slightly stronger than what was advertised today. That will drag the boundary farther south and keep us snowier. i wouldn't mind a slower saturday wave either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 I'll shiit in one hand and wish for a stronger wave in the other and see what gets filled first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Just now, 87storms said: i wouldn't mind a slower saturday wave either. Why? That means more daytime precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Part of the killer is the fact that it's also almost a whole 1" drier. 0Z: 12Z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Why? That means more daytime precipitation. going from 60 to a snow sounding is difficult here even in january. i would think allowing the cold air to get more entrenched would help. on the gfs, the sounding at midnight still had surface temps in the 40s. i guess there's various ways we can score or bust, but just think we'd want some time between the cold air intrusion and the low. also, i typically prefer daytime snow even if it means some melting. maybe a slower onset would allow snow into saturday evening as well which could help accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 11 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: DC almost out of the game on this Euro run...looking like it'll be a northern tier to NYC event again. We're done. But seriously, it was fun to chase for a little while. We almost had it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Just now, stormtracker said: We're done. But seriously, it was fun to chase for a little while. We almost had it! The curse of DT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: We're done. But seriously, it was fun to chase for a little while. We almost had it! Need that gif of a guy with a dollar on a fishing line. On to thunderstorm season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: We're done. But seriously, it was fun to chase for a little while. We almost had it! No we're not. We have plenty of time for partly sunny and 60 on Saturday. Don't quit now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: We're done. But seriously, it was fun to chase for a little while. We almost had it! you got just the tip of the hammer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 minute ago, 87storms said: going for 60 to a snow sounding is difficult here even in january. i would think allowing the cold air to get more entrenched would help. on the gfs, the sounding at midnight still had surface temps in the 40s. i guess there's various ways we can score or bust, but just think we'd want some time between the cold air intrusion and the low. Yeah. I remember when we first started looking at this it was almost 528 thickness near DC with a pressing boundary. This has morphed into something else. And yes waiting for the cold is never a great scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 minute ago, BaltimoreWxGuy said: The curse of DT Probably. I couldn't believe he posted the 0z about 2 hours before the 12z! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Just now, Bob Chill said: No we're not. We have plenty of time for partly sunny and 60 on Saturday. Don't quit now. Maybe if it trends North enough it'll loop around the globe and hit us head on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: We're done. But seriously, it was fun to chase for a little while. We almost had it! Yeah, it was. But it's April, whatever, who cares. Bring on the 60s/70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 yea its over.....daytime snow...warmer..more north. snow TV at best. if we get an inch..ill be shocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 I was never 100% in on this one, but even so....it's been a winter of false mid-range positives, lol Next winter can only go up from here!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 we actually legit torch on the euro during friday. i'm seeing temps near 70 to the south. looks like the friday temps are higher this run, so it may not be so much about the strength of the high but how much of a climb down we have from friday's temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 so looks like 33 IMBY at precip start (12z), with -1 850. love it. april or not, lets get me 4" more so i can get climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, mappy said: so looks like 33 IMBY at precip start (12z), with -1 850. love it. april or not, lets get me 4" more so i can get climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfastx Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Annddd it's gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 I've got family up in Uniontown, PA. If this does trend north, I'm chasing for the first time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 who knows. it's still wednesday...let's see what the 18/0's show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, mappy said: so looks like 33 IMBY at precip start (12z), with -1 850. love it. april or not, lets get me 4" more so i can get climo. also precip is pretty much the same IMBY. .9 to .8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 The Euro has been really crappy this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 14 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Part of the killer is the fact that it's also almost a whole 1" drier. 0Z: 12Z: The EURO has really struggled this year with overdoing precip. The fact that it reduced it here is not surprising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 4 minutes ago, PhineasC said: The Euro has been really crappy this season. It didn't used to swing so wildly. We went from 15 cyber inches to almost none in one run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: It didn't used to swing so wildly. We went from 15 cyber inches to almost none in one run. All more reason to hug the GFS & the ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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