olafminesaw Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: That's a pretty decent look I would think Agreed. The U.K. has been way over amped at this range a few times so I would like to see some support from something else in the next run or two but that track looks very good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: That's a pretty decent look I would think It's a big hit. No temps but given all other guidance I would assume it's cold enough. But precip is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 Yoda ninjad me but I'll leave up since they are a closer view. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 Just now, psuhoffman said: Yoda ninjad me but I'll leave up since they are a closer view. I deleted my post since yours is better and closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 Too soon to be talking ratios? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 28 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Icon actually was the best guidance with last nights wave. It was north and stayed north from way out. It never teased us. Not saying that means it's good or use it now. But I've noticed it have some good moments this year. Maybe with more tweaking it can become a decent tool. In another run or 2 the GFS will be too far north for comfort again. It has been back and forth- it was south, then went north/too far north then worked its way into a good position for our region, then went way south. It just made a significant bump north at 12z. I am on record as doubting the low stays suppressed south, if in fact there is a storm, which seems pretty likely. Heck look at this morning's event- It was suppressed and weak with rain/snow for southern VA/NC at one time. And I am not singling out the GFS, as other guidance has also been jumpy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Ukmet looks like a money hit man..nice It's not official until someone posts the 10:1 map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: It's not official until someone posts the 10:1 map. I wish there was one lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 16 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It's a big hit. No temps but given all other guidance I would assume it's cold enough. But precip is Oh man..yeah..wish we could see temps. GEFS looks north of the op as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 We are getting close to the 5 day range with this one. Honestly, i can see this one working out in our favor. Plus i want it to come North so it doesn’t interfere with the Masters. If i can get shellacked by snow and watch the Masters this weekend that would be great. I bet we see a couple bullseye runs between now and Thursday when things will come into focus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Oh man..yeah..wish we could see temps. GEFS looks north of the op as well. The timing is perfect too verbatim. Comes in late Saturday afternoon and exits mid afternoon Sunday. That would pretty much maximize our accumulation potential for April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 15 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Oh man..yeah..wish we could see temps. GEFS looks north of the op as well. Yea some nice tracks in the gefs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 The way it looks on 12z GFS ensembles at 132.. it never pans out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 12z EURO OP sits down in NC into SE VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 8 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z EURO OP sits down in NC into SE VA English please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 I honestly love the 12z euro. It can stay down there for another 24 hrs for all I care. It'll come north.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 Just now, stormtracker said: English please 12z EURO 6-10 inches in NC into SE VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 Euro still looks suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 Incoming day 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 Just now, stormtracker said: Euro still looks suppressed. It is it's a big snow Raleigh to VA beach lol it's loading up the next one day 7 though because it's blasting the cold front so far south the boundary is still to our south when the next wave comes at us. 3 waves in right spacing between day 5-8 is going to mess with the guidance but it seems the more suppressed the first threat is the more the next becomes a threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Incoming day 7 Wow, thats looks perfect, for Midwinter. Not sure what crazy **** will happen on April 10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 It strings out the system and runs waves south of us for a prolonged period of light snow or mix that isn't going to amount to much in April. But it was close to a big storm day 7-9. It was pretty far south with day 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 OTS right where we want it. Euro has had a day 8 storm for the past 3 days. I swear it will make it to day 7 at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It is it's a big snow Raleigh to VA beach lol it's loading up the next one day 7 though because it's blasting the cold front so far south the boundary is still to our south when the next wave comes at us. 3 waves in right spacing between day 5-8 is going to mess with the guidance but it seems the more suppressed the first threat is the more the next becomes a threat. Yeah, that's likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 This is from the day 7-8 thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Yeah, that's likely I dunno this year has been crazy so who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 18 minutes ago, MD Snow said: I honestly love the 12z euro. It can stay down there for another 24 hrs for all I care. It'll come north.... Yeah let's see how often that happened this season...(what, maybe once or twice out of 10 times? Lol) Suppression has been the jokeer villain all winter (although the fact that such a potential party pooper would even still be a threat in April is surprising to my novice eyes...I mean c'mon...it's APRIL! Shouldn't things come north more easily by now? I guess this is when @psuhoffman comes in and says "not necessarily", right? Lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I dunno this year has been crazy so who knows. we need the first storm to hit us..not the 2nd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 There are several waves playing around in our threat window day 5-10. Good news is after that this is OVER!!!! Seriously over. The blocking is breaking down and we look to torch by the 13tg I think. After that even if it reloads I doubt it will make much difference for us other then a few days in the 50/60s vs 70/80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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