Thanatos_I_Am Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 18z GEFS members update? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 11:34 PM, Jandurin said: I thought fineas was talking about March 21 I didn't even think people were taking the April 2 thing seriously Expand I certainly wasn't, but it seemed to me the QPF side of it busted pretty bad from the model projections. It barely drizzled around these parts. Not to mention there wasn't a flake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 You would never think it’s April looking at this mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 11:45 PM, PhineasC said: I certainly wasn't, but it seemed to me the QPF side of it busted pretty bad from the model projections. It barely drizzled around these parts. Not to mention there wasn't a flake.Yeah definitely true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 I made a thread: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 It’s too early for a thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 11:53 PM, StantonParkHoya said: It’s too early for a thread Expand Why? Its 4 days out... usually we have a threat by now anyway lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 11:53 PM, StantonParkHoya said: It’s too early for a thread It's freaking AprilIt's too late for a thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 11:59 PM, Jandurin said: It's freaking April It's too late for a thread Expand We need to keep this thread open for next weeks threats...lol(I think) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Ok now it's sticking easily Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 11:38 PM, Chris_B said: Begs the question, this won't stick to the roads in April - correct? Expand LOL. It won't stick to anything anywhere except for elevations over 1000' and the usual suspects in NMD. PSU will cringe with fringe, but in the end will posting pics of his son playing in 6" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 4, 2018 Author Share Posted April 4, 2018 GFS is kinda close on the follow up storm too. Something to keep watching! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 11:38 PM, stormtracker said: Bobby, I have a feeling about this one. Expand 3.5” for DCA and I’m out until December 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 On 4/4/2018 at 1:08 AM, mappy said: 3.5” for DCA and I’m out until December 1 Expand No way on Earth DCA records 3.5" in April during the day. No way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 On 4/4/2018 at 1:08 AM, mappy said: 3.5” for DCA and I’m out until December 1 Expand C'mon. DCA can barely measure 3.5" in a January Blizzard lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 11:38 PM, stormtracker said: Bobby, I have a feeling about this one. Expand It's got all the right ingredients for April snow. One thing working for it is this time of year you don't need a big wound up synoptic low to get good qpf. I could easily see widespread .5-1" qpf. And the cold (even if rain) is about as "extreme" as you can get for daytime temps. But snowmaps are ridiculous. 10:1....lol. I would guess 4:1 best case scenario for burbs and cities and that's assuming all snow too. It's got legit potential for a very anomalous April snow but there is practically zero chance at warning criteria outside of elevation. Even with 1" qpf all snow... As long as everyone can accept that then we can have some fun with it. If someone measures a clean 3" within 25 miles of dca and complains then they need to take the red pill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 11:16 PM, C.A.P.E. said: Good to see you back dude! I am very skeptical myself, but the models are teasing big time lol. Just rolling with it. Dont really care either way. Btw- New(reman) 392 HEMI on order. Too bad it wasn't simply the PCM lol. Badly wiped cam lobe and a bunch of metal fragments everywhere in the engine. Expand At this point in the year it's all for fun. Win, lose, or draw...we're discussing potential accum snow in the med range in April. Not particularly common. Would make a great memory and experience for an otherwise underwhelming winter. New motor means you can start all over again with wearing it out! haha. I wonder if you can get the 8 speed trans in your truck too...heh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 For accumulations, I think the onset time would be critical. GFS has the first coating down around most of the area by 12z. Once the first layer is down, sun angle is less of a factor due to the high albedo of fresh snow. FWIW, the 18z ICON went a little too far south for my comfort. (Good news if you live in VA though.) If something north of the 18z GFS verifies, it would be an unusually large 96-hour miss for the ICON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 I feel like those of us paying attention are just waiting for that model run that says this was all a pipe dream. But I really expected it to have happened by now. The nice thing is that its April and if we do get "screwed" it wont have nearly the same effect as it would have two months ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 On 4/4/2018 at 1:48 AM, SnowGolfBro said: I feel like those of us paying attention are just waiting for that model run that says this was all a pipe dream. But I really expected it to have happened by now. The nice thing is that its April and if we do get "screwed" it wont have nearly the same effect as it would have two months ago. Expand Don't kid yourself. Bristow is warming up his snow blower as we speak and Ji is thanking God that Bob Chill showed up. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 10:45 PM, mappy said: If DC gets even half of what the gfs and euro are showing for the weekend, I won’t post again until next winter Expand On 4/3/2018 at 10:53 PM, stormtracker said: Ok! Expand Thought you were in self imposed exile Tracker? And here your are egging Mappy on? That's alright though, think the Governor has one more reprieve to dole out for Mappy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Adding this to my digital snowmap hall of fameSent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 On 4/4/2018 at 1:10 AM, Cobalt said: No way on Earth DCA records 3.5" in April during the day. No way. Expand On 4/4/2018 at 1:10 AM, SnowGolfBro said: C'mon. DCA can barely measure 3.5" in a January Blizzard lol Expand thats the point guys... its a safe bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 That euro! It's enough for a Code yellow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 On 4/4/2018 at 10:37 AM, paulythegun said: Adding this to my digital snowmap hall of fame Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Expand 15:1 in April.... Still fun to look at though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 I saw that too waiting on snowmaps so i can be that guy but you had to post the non snowmap version Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 FWIW, EPS does have a few nice hits from the 2nd system early next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 crap i might have to visit the spring panic room soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 Seems like spring arrives mid-month after giving the EPS a quick look at the 850 anomaly maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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