CAPE Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:44 PM, stormtracker said: Odd, because Kutchera is usually conservative vs 10:1 Expand Surface temps are cold- falling into the upper 20s. Probably ideal upstairs with good dendrites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:37 PM, psuhoffman said: Good because it's gonna. Assuming this remains a west to east boundary wave and doesn't trend weaker wherever it is depicted 48 hours out it will adjust north some. That's like a 80% frequency thing. Expand Any chance this is similar to the little storm that went through southern VA the weekend before Easter? I drove down 81 the next day and saw areas that had well over a foot. It was pretty amazing for late March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staged Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 ^ Absurd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 I'm not trusting better than 10:1 in April. That's fool's gold. Hell, I'm not even trusting 10:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 You can clearly see the increase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:52 PM, Leesburgplow said: Expand The last time D.C. had over an inch in April was 1924 (5.5" monthly record). These models are way impressive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 If this storm happened with 6"+, would we still call this winter a joke? Someone tell Ji to put the sunscreen and sandals away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 During the heaviest precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:37 PM, Maestrobjwa said: Have your fringernails grown back yet? Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:58 PM, WeSuck said: If this storm happened with 6"+, would we still call this winter a joke? Someone tell Ji to put the sunscreen and sandals away! Expand Yeah because it’s not winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 I'm only about 20 inches short from the Euro with our supposed HECS late March storm so........yeah....grain of salt folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:59 PM, Philadelphia Snow said: During the heaviest precip Expand Damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:36 PM, Vice-Regent said: That is one way to thread the needle and it sucks for alot of people. I'll pass on this one. This cold belongs in Greenland. Expand If your posts ever start making sense I will start to worry about my sanity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 7:14 PM, psuhoffman said: If your posts ever start making sense I will start to worry about my sanity. Expand Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:58 PM, WeSuck said: If this storm happened with 6"+, would we still call this winter a joke? Someone tell Ji to put the sunscreen and sandals away! Expand No. If that happened, it would no longer be my Worst. Winter. Ever. I don't care that it's April. That said, no way central MD gets a significant snow. It just can't happen this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 I believe I've heard forecasters in the South refer to a 48-hour rule; as such don't believe any forecast of snow until you are within 48 hours; perhaps that applies here in early/mid April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 an april warning level snowstorm would save 17/18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 7:14 PM, psuhoffman said: If your posts ever start making sense I will start to worry about my sanity. Expand Yeah man I'm all about breaking the status quo. Because while you may be loved you can still be mislead by the global pressure cooker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 Really close to something big on the 2nd event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:44 PM, stormtracker said: Odd, because Kutchera is usually conservative vs 10:1 Expand colder column temperatures are wish casting higher ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 By Sunday morning, EPS gives DC area a 70% of > 1" of snow, a 54% chance of > 3" of snow, and a 26% chance of > 6" of snow (10:1). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 3.5-4 inches mean for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 So we get a good SECS Saturday to set us up for the Tuesday HECS. I have that about right? Lol glad my next golf round isn’t until April 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:41 PM, C.A.P.E. said: I been telling y'all not to worry about suppression. You watch, before this is over you will be concerned with being on the southern edge, while the rest of us are looking at rain or snow tv. Expand I haven't been worried about it. Just observing model runs. When this was a more amplified system a few days ago I didn't like seeing it become a weak wave way south. But it was going through a transition on guidance. Now that it's settled on a west to east wave idea I like exactly where it's at right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 Euro Kuchera map also looks odd. Has a couple of 15 inch amount circling DC, and then half that a few miles north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 7:18 PM, dallen7908 said: I believe I've heard forecasters in the South refer to a 48-hour rule; as such don't believe any forecast of snow until you are within 48 hours; perhaps that applies here in early/mid April Expand Virginia and southern Maryland IS the South. You Northerners don't just get to annex it when you see fit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 Record cold being modeled for Saturday across model suites. Coldest high temperature on record for 4/7 at the DCA site is 41 in 2007. At Dulles, 42 was the record low max, also in 2007. At MRB, 38 in 1982. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 7:33 PM, Philadelphia Snow said: 3.5-4 inches mean for DC Expand From the Southeast Forum here, what does the EPS Mean show for southern VA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 7:11 PM, stormtracker said: Damn Expand Yeah I’ll take the over on those surface temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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