NorthArlington101 Posted April 3, 2018 Author Share Posted April 3, 2018 UKMET is suppressed down to NC fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 4:18 PM, gstern1994 said: My daughter is playing a softball doubleheader in Ashburn, VA on Saturday 8:30am-1:30ish. Could we be snowed out? Expand Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
evaporativecooler Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 5:44 PM, Ji said: if anything...this late tracking means that next winter is just around the corner more so than other winters Expand only 79 days left until the solstice and the beginning of the end of the warm season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 5:46 PM, Jandurin said: if anything... it makes those fools who said we were tracking spring either look like idiots or geniuses technically right and hilariously wrong Expand Yeah. Tracking spring in spring. What idiots. Note to self - make sure next time it is crazy warm for a spell in December to make fun of people for wanting to track winter in winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 lol i mean back in the first week of February It was closer to spring in Feb than March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 5:17 PM, showmethesnow said: Couple of days ago I thought there was a possibility and that the models were hinting at it. Not so much now. Just not getting enough separation between it and the lead low running through the lakes Friday. Speaking of the day Friday system in the lakes that may end up being a sneaky little surprise for those up around the Mason Dixon, possibly even closer into the cities. If the precip gets in early enough with some decent rates I would not be surprised to see some minor accumulations (mulch covering-inch) especially in the favored locals. Expand It had a shot when the wave was slower and thus had more room to amplify plus it was pulling in what is now the next systems upper level support. As it sped up its become simply a baroclinic open wave. But that's fine those can be pretty awesome especially late in the season when the boundary will be juiced and loaded. Look what the last boundary wave did with barely any significant system to our north. These can be nice thump events and there is no transfer and dryslot issues. Just need a flush hit. The next one has amplification potential but that's a bridge too far to worry about yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 12z Euro notably north of 0z. 850 0C line south of DC at 12z Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 3, 2018 Author Share Posted April 3, 2018 EURO is a good hit. Got room to come north too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:21 PM, NorthArlington101 said: EURO is a good hit. Got room to come north too. Expand How did it look for us northern peeps up in NJ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 3, 2018 Author Share Posted April 3, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 5:44 PM, Ji said: if anything...this late tracking means that next winter is just around the corner more so than other winters Expand The opposite actually. Law of averages. (No am I having doubts?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 3, 2018 Author Share Posted April 3, 2018 10:1 euro shows 6" for DCA in 6 hours... nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 Fringed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:35 PM, psuhoffman said: Fringed Expand You probually are happy your fringed so far considering how the last event trended north last minute. Imo going by seasonal trend your in a good spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:35 PM, psuhoffman said: Fringed Expand Now I know we are going to get shallacked!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:35 PM, psuhoffman said: Fringed Expand That is one way to thread the needle and it sucks for alot of people. I'll pass on this one. This cold belongs in Greenland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:21 PM, NorthArlington101 said: EURO is a good hit. Got room to come north too. Expand Good because it's gonna. Assuming this remains a west to east boundary wave and doesn't trend weaker wherever it is depicted 48 hours out it will adjust north some. That's like a 80% frequency thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:35 PM, psuhoffman said: Fringed Expand Have your fringernails grown back yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 Kutchera shows a foot of snow for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 3, 2018 Author Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:39 PM, Philadelphia Snow said: Kutchera shows a foot of snow for DC. Expand lol, no way. 10:1 is 7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:37 PM, psuhoffman said: Good because it's gonna. Assuming this remains a west to east boundary wave and doesn't trend weaker wherever it is depicted 48 hours out it will adjust north some. That's like a 80% frequency thing. Expand I been telling y'all not to worry about suppression. You watch, before this is over you will be concerned with being on the southern edge, while the rest of us are looking at rain or snow tv. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:39 PM, Philadelphia Snow said: Kutchera shows a foot of snow for DC. Expand That seems like the most likely outcome. Ok go with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:40 PM, NorthArlington101 said: lol, no way. 10:1 is 7" Expand It does correction 10 inches but an increase from 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:39 PM, Philadelphia Snow said: Kutchera shows a foot of snow for DC. Expand Hate to be that guy, but I cancelled WxBell after the earlier storm. Could you upload a picture? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 Odd, because Kutchera is usually conservative vs 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 3, 2018 Author Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:43 PM, Philadelphia Snow said: It does correction 10 inches but an increase from 10:1 Expand temps are upper 20s... guess its possible 850s are fairly chilly too... -7 wow at the lows saturday night... lower 20s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 Anybody have temps on the Euro yet? Column, ground temps, etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:44 PM, Thanatos_I_Am said: Hate to be that guy, but I cancelled WxBell after the earlier storm. Could you upload a picture? Expand When I get internet in 10 minutes currently in a car running on cellular data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:44 PM, NorthArlington101 said: temps are upper 20s... guess its possible 850s are fairly chilly too... -7 Expand Thats the best news with this earlier onset. Now I know that it's still April and it will struggle relatively speaking. Couldn't ask for much better. Where is everyone?! Good 12z suite all around for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 On 4/3/2018 at 6:36 PM, Philadelphia Snow said: You probually are happy your fringed so far considering how the last event trended north last minute. Imo going by seasonal trend your in a good spot. Expand Yea it's perfect where it is. I was kidding. If the guidance looks like the gfs/euro now come Thursday/Friday I will be excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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