psuhoffman Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 On 4/2/2018 at 6:59 PM, Maestrobjwa said: Yeah let's see how often that happened this season...(what, maybe once or twice out of 10 times? Lol) Suppression has been the jokeer villain all winter (although the fact that such a potential party pooper would even still be a threat in April is surprising to my novice eyes...I mean c'mon...it's APRIL! Shouldn't things come north more easily by now? I guess this is when @psuhoffman comes in and says "not necessarily", right? Lol) Expand Not necessarily. Lol. Suppression is more about the flow then temps. Something can get suppressed in June it's just we don't notice since it's rain either way. We also had a healthy mix of things go north and south but I'm not in the camp of wanting it to look suppressed. Guidance is better then it was years ago. Not on details from day 5 but the general look at range hasn't been way off. The times we needed some massive trend it hasn't worked. I'd rather the euro look like the U.K. But as I said the period is noisy AF with waves coming across rapid fire with an anomalously south arctic boundary and increased baroclinicity because it's April. It's incredibly volitile looking so I'm not rushing to judgement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 On 4/2/2018 at 7:01 PM, Ji said: we need the first storm to hit us..not the 2nd Expand I don't care what storm hits us and I'm not making a prediction I'm just observing an obvious trend and link between the two waves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 On 4/2/2018 at 7:02 PM, psuhoffman said: There are several waves playing around in our threat window day 5-10. Good news is after that this is OVER!!!! Seriously over. The blocking is breaking down and we look to torch by the 13tg I think. After that even if it reloads I doubt it will make much difference for us other then a few days in the 50/60s vs 70/80s. Expand Thank God for that. I have been hoping for a SE ridge to kill off this drawn out, horrid, torturous "winter" for weeks now. By the start of next winter, I'll be closing in on 36 months since the last significant snow. What scares me though is I don't have the law of averages to count on since this was actually a snowy winter literally everywhere else but here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 the law of averages are more like guidelines anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 Do the eps initialize now or in an hour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 I still would rather be sitting too far north than too far south at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 Richmond celebrates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 On 4/2/2018 at 7:55 PM, stormtracker said: I still would rather be sitting too far north than too far south at this time. Expand Oh that is definitely true! But I'd rather have a consensus hit then south. But south is way better then north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 On 4/2/2018 at 7:55 PM, stormtracker said: I still would rather be sitting too far north than too far south at this time. Expand Yes sir...don’t remember too many times where being too far south paid off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 On 4/2/2018 at 7:57 PM, psuhoffman said: Richmond celebrates Expand That looks just fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 On 4/2/2018 at 7:59 PM, BristowWx said: That looks just fine Expand This is a good look for us. It’s not like we need a 1000 mile adjustment north. Hell if this thing just ticks a bit here a bit there over the next few days we will be in the sweet spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 On 4/2/2018 at 8:20 PM, SnowGolfBro said: This is a good look for us. It’s not like we need a 1000 mile adjustment north. Hell if this thing just ticks a bit here a bit there over the next few days we will be in the sweet spot. Expand Do or die coming up. 18z. Good buzz or bad buzz. Looking for that low north of Maine and where it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 On 4/2/2018 at 9:34 PM, BristowWx said: Do or die coming up. 18z. Good buzz or bad buzz. Looking for that low north of Maine and where it goes. Expand Where do we want it to go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 On 4/2/2018 at 9:37 PM, Philadelphia Snow said: Where do we want it to go? Expand Northeast. East. Away but not too far away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 The trend that doesn't end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 I’m gonna got out on a limb and say this run does not give snowstorm to NC or SC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 You know, when this cool down ends we should go right into Summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 Gfs is vastly different lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 On 4/2/2018 at 10:03 PM, BristowWx said: I’m gonna got out on a limb and say this run does not give snowstorm to NC or SC Expand Looks northerrer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 On 4/2/2018 at 9:55 PM, Amped said: The trend that doesn't end. Expand What the hell are you talking about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 Now it might be too far northerer. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 Money panel for the DC!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 On 4/2/2018 at 10:06 PM, stormtracker said: What the hell are you talking about? Expand The low in Saskatchewan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 On 4/2/2018 at 10:08 PM, Philadelphia Snow said: Money panel for the DC!!!! Expand Living on the cusp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 On 4/2/2018 at 10:10 PM, stormtracker said: Living on the cuspThat's not how the song goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 We’re still not locked into a solution. I smell a rollercoaster ride. Let’s just hope we don’t throw up at the end of the ride. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 On 4/2/2018 at 10:10 PM, stormtracker said: Living on the cusp Expand I am sounding deficient. Not sure if that’s snow or not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 Little atmospheric trickle coming into the west coast. Going to take a lot to suppress that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 On 4/2/2018 at 10:12 PM, BristowWx said: I am sounding deficient. Not sure if that’s snow or not Expand Close call but I think its snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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