Birds~69 Posted May 6, 2018 Share Posted May 6, 2018 On 5/4/2018 at 9:54 PM, KamuSnow said: Lol, I agree. 3 days in a row here 90F plus. Thought we might stay cooler today but when the sun came out around noon here the temperature took off. This weekend and next week should be better. Tried to come up with something regarding the allegories, Aesops Fables came to mind, but the idea bulb didn't light up. Auto-correct sometimes over performs, I once had the last name of a customer "corrected" from Reznicek to Redneck. There is a real nice layer of light green pollen in places around here. Some wetness would be nice after the dry week but not much doing here so far tonight. 76F currently. Yep...this sucks. I like the crisp days. As far as allegories, I've been popping pills (non-drowsy) to no end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted May 6, 2018 Share Posted May 6, 2018 Current radar = precip in central PA, precip out in the Atlantic and nada over I-95. Good thing it's May. If it was winter, there'd be some very angry weenies right now (me included). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted May 6, 2018 Share Posted May 6, 2018 3 hours ago, JTA66 said: Current radar = precip in central PA, precip out in the Atlantic and nada over I-95. Good thing it's May. If it was winter, there'd be some very angry weenies right now (me included). Getting a little shower here now, 62F. Had a lighter one last evening, this is nice, feels like we need it. Knocks down the pollen a little too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted May 6, 2018 Share Posted May 6, 2018 28 minutes ago, KamuSnow said: Getting a little shower here now, 62F. Had a lighter one last evening, this is nice, feels like we need it. Knocks down the pollen a little too. Shower here as well...super dark to my W. According to radar looks like we'll get more steady stuff. And God Bless knocking down the pollen!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bosswx Posted May 7, 2018 Share Posted May 7, 2018 Low of 50 got up to 78 gonna be a hot summer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 8, 2018 Author Share Posted May 8, 2018 High for the day got up to around 78 today, above forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 9, 2018 Author Share Posted May 9, 2018 High for the day was around 74 here, current temp 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 Actually hit 78 as a high with 50 as a low this morning. There were more clouds today (mostly cumulus) but the humidity has been low. Currently 72 and partly cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 Could be a Strong El Nino next Winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 10, 2018 Author Share Posted May 10, 2018 Current temp is 73 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 Pea size hail covering the ground! severe storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted May 11, 2018 Share Posted May 11, 2018 Just had a nice little thundershower here, about 1/4" of rain, a fair amount of lightning but not too close, and a little bit of wind. Nice for porch sittin'. 63F currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 11, 2018 Author Share Posted May 11, 2018 Picked up 0.17" of rain for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted May 11, 2018 Share Posted May 11, 2018 tomorrow is looking like the best tornado threat in years around here...really about as good as it get around here. Lots can still go wrong, but we are firmly in the bullseye right now per SPC.. ...Ohio Valley to the Mid Atlantic States... Severe probabilities and categorical risk have been upgraded across the upper Ohio Valley to the Mid Atlantic region. Boundary layer moistening is expected in advance of the southward advancing surface boundary, while strong diabatic heating and the eastern extent of a steep midlevel lapse rate plume contribute to moderate instability across the warm sector Saturday afternoon. Mainly elevated storms are expected to be ongoing north of the surface front at the start of Day 2, with activity becoming surface based as the boundary advances south into the destabilizing environment. Moderately strong deep-layer west-northwesterlies suggest line segments/bowing structures will be the primary storm mode, though effective bulk shear of 35-45 kt indicates embedded supercells will also be possible. There is increasing concern and confidence for several swaths of damaging winds across the upper Ohio Valley to the northern Mid Atlantic region, as suggested by several CAMs. A midlevel perturbation is expected to move through these areas during peak heating increasing the likelihood for thunderstorm development. A tornado threat will be possible across northern MD into southeast PA and adjacent NJ and DE, as low-level shear increases to the east and northeast of a surface low tracking into MD and along the warm front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted May 11, 2018 Share Posted May 11, 2018 12z hi res wrf-arw brings a big time squall line through tomorrow afternoon.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 11, 2018 Author Share Posted May 11, 2018 Current temp is 73 here, forecast was for temps in the low 70's today so it looks right on the money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 11, 2018 Author Share Posted May 11, 2018 Current temp up to 75 here, a little above forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted May 11, 2018 Share Posted May 11, 2018 3 hours ago, The Iceman said: 12z hi res wrf-arw brings a big time squall line through tomorrow afternoon.. If that verifies as depicted, it looks like it would impact the northern CWA more. I know what tends to happen where I am is that with frontal passages, the gust front often cools the air enough (with some heavy rain) to stabilize the atmosphere - especially if the temp differential isn't that big behind the front as the air mass modifies as it moves east. The mid-summer 90s with a strong CFP tends to produce better convective. Otherwise, got up to 76 here today and currently 73 and mostly cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 7 hours ago, The Iceman said: tomorrow is looking like the best tornado threat in years around here...really about as good as it get around here. Lots can still go wrong, but we are firmly in the bullseye right now per SPC.. Lol- I'll pass, thanks. I like big trees and a roof overhead. But yeah, I get it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 12, 2018 Author Share Posted May 12, 2018 Have picked up 0.21" of rain so far today. Current temp 51 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 13 hours ago, Hurricane Agnes said: If that verifies as depicted, it looks like it would impact the northern CWA more. I know what tends to happen where I am is that with frontal passages, the gust front often cools the air enough (with some heavy rain) to stabilize the atmosphere - especially if the temp differential isn't that big behind the front as the air mass modifies as it moves east. The mid-summer 90s with a strong CFP tends to produce better convective. Otherwise, got up to 76 here today and currently 73 and mostly cloudy. This is a much different setup then our typical frontal passages Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 1 minute ago, hazwoper said: This is a much different setup then our typical frontal passages It's currently 54 degrees here so unless the temp shoots up (with the warm front not taking it's time lifting north), then that may not verify per se. I was looking at the SPC outlook this morning and noted what areas they had placed the "Moderate Risk" and it wasn't Philly on north. I know there is a MD E - > W swath (just north of D.C.) that tends to get the nasty thunderstorms and potential tornadoes and I expect that may be where most of it sets up.... Again unless the warm front really lifts up in time to heat it up further north of the Mason Dixon line (not that it won't but will have to monitor). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tempestatis014 Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 Is this where we are discussing the Severe Threat? Or will it be in another thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 The first real severe "threat" of the year. I'm hoping the warm front lifts north in time but I've seen these type of setups go both ways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 11 hours ago, KamuSnow said: Lol- I'll pass, thanks. I like big trees and a roof overhead. But yeah, I get it! I'm with you, Kamu, I have no use for severe weather. You sick, twisted freaks who want it can have it...lol!! This goes w/o saying, but we'll see how quickly these morning clouds burn off. We're not far from the solstice, the sun is pretty much overhead now. It won't take much to prime the atmosphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 12, 2018 Author Share Posted May 12, 2018 Pouring here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 Bring on the severe, two weeks in Monmouth and the first significant rain was this morning. Pollen was getting so deep i could almost measure it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 12 minutes ago, RedSky said: Bring on the severe, two weeks in Monmouth and the first significant rain was this morning. Pollen was getting so deep i could almost measure it. Had at least a trace here. Of pollen that is; got almost a half inch of rain last night. Nice to see that it apparently wants to rain - after two weeks with less than a tenth inch of rain I started to water a little this past week. Works better if you do it before the lawn turns brown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 3 hours ago, JTA66 said: I'm with you, Kamu, I have no use for severe weather. You sick, twisted freaks who want it can have it...lol!! This goes w/o saying, but we'll see how quickly these morning clouds burn off. We're not far from the solstice, the sun is pretty much overhead now. It won't take much to prime the atmosphere. I checked the satellite for cloud cover and down here we're at the southern edge of some low clouds that are slowly lifting north. Starting to get a few peeks of sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 12, 2018 Author Share Posted May 12, 2018 Picked up 0.35" of rain so far today. Current temp 57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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