Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Modelling at 12 Z developing a pretty vigorous little Shortwave which is dynamically developing for Monday. Early weenie maps suggest a 4 to 6 grass deck car topper with minor road accumulation. Please discuss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 All i know is a lot of people in CT are going to have a hard time believing another snow event is coming after the last one, probably just brush it off as nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Modelling at 12 Z developing a pretty vigorous little Shortwave which is dynamically developing for Monday. Early weenie maps suggest a 4 to 6 grass deck car topper with minor road accumulation. Please discuss. Vigorous? 4-6"? Looks like 2-4" to me in s CT, 1-3" north. Hopefully I'm missing something other than the snow, and you guys get a nice event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2018 Author Share Posted March 31, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Vigorous? 4-6"? Looks like 2-4" to me in s CT, 1-3" north. Hopefully I'm missing something other than the snow, and you guys get a nice event. I like the dynamics , RGEM and High Def RGEM NAM are pretty stout with excellent snow growth soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Snowy commute. Populace will be furious....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Just now, Ginx snewx said: I like the dynamics , RGEM and High Def RGEM NAM are pretty stout with excellent snow growth soundings. I haven't looked at those. NAM looks like 2-5" to me, and I'm usually inclined to sell its QPF. Not trying to be a terd....hope you're right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Posted in other thread, but dynamics are pretty good to about the pike. North of the qpf bullseye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Good news is, even if it hits... probably won’t warrant another snow day. bulk appears to be after the morning commute when kids are already to school. prob limited accums on the roads anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Posted in other thread, but dynamics are pretty good to about the pike. North of the qpf bullseye. I usually look for a maxima in the RH fields, and didn't see that displaced to the north as is often the case in banding signatures. What did you use to diagnose that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Posted in other thread, but dynamics are pretty good to about the pike. North of the qpf bullseye. What are your thoughts on timing? "morning commute" can be pretty broad. I commute in at 6am, while others I know head in at 10. Any clowns to look at that can be posted here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Dopes on social media already giving broadcast mets grief over this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Happy Easter / Passover everyone If the NAM has a clue --- and that's a whale of an "if" while Euro is meh --- decent dynamics esp for CT into southeast MA, quick hitter notable mostly for the time of year... for entertainment purposes only, look at soundings for KPYM below, I think that's better than anything they had during the 3/21 chokestorm... no good easterly fetch and won't have much moisture to work with, so we'd need those dynamics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2018 Author Share Posted March 31, 2018 15 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Happy Easter / Passover everyone If the NAM has a clue --- and that's a whale of an "if" while Euro is meh --- decent dynamics esp for CT into southeast MA, quick hitter notable mostly for the time of year... for entertainment purposes only, look at soundings for KPYM below, I think that's better than anything they had during the 3/21 chokestorm... no good easterly fetch and won't have much moisture to work with, so we'd need those dynamics Like I said to Ray, impressive soundings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I usually look for a maxima in the RH fields, and didn't see that displaced to the north as is often the case in banding signatures. What did you use to diagnose that? Just looking at soundings, the 700 fronto stuff and H7-H5 lift. Only speaking about NAM and GFS. It's possible they could be too robust too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 53 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Dopes on social media already giving broadcast mets grief over this. Examples? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Looks like euro ticked north too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Euro not surprisingly bumped north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2018 Author Share Posted March 31, 2018 Frontogenic forcing with semi stationary bands . I am impressed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 1 hour ago, Cold Miser said: What are your thoughts on timing? "morning commute" can be pretty broad. I commute in at 6am, while others I know head in at 10. Any clowns to look at that can be posted here? Well it may be slippery if it comes down hard enough. This time of year 4sm -SN does not cut it. But verbatim someone would get a good swipe of snow near s coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 And is this going to continue to bump? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2018 Author Share Posted March 31, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well it may be slippery if it comes down hard enough. This time of year 4sm -SN does not cut it. But verbatim someone would get a good swipe of snow near s coast. Looks like the typical spring storm, if you get under heavy bands you get smoked for a while, out of it it's it rain or snizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Looks like the typical spring storm, if you get under heavy bands you get smoked for a while, out of it it's it rain or snizzle I think it's mostly snow, it's cold aloft. But yeah, this time of year you want good rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 This has some potential to surprise. We shall see how things look in another 24 hours. Good ML fronto...could be an April version of 2/7/03 if things sharpen just a tick more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: And is this going to continue to bump? NO it’s not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I think it's mostly snow, it's cold aloft. But yeah, this time of year you want good rates. Yeah should be all snow but roads will probably improve pretty quickly when rates decrease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Seems like a pretty good 2-4" look south of the Pike but definitely some upside. Nice lift, snow growth, and quite cold in the boundary layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: And is this going to continue to bump? It may. Been the trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 1 minute ago, NewYorkweatherfan said: NO it’s not I’m stealing your snow muthufukka! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: I’m stealing your snow muthufukka! Don’t make me send the low South I was trying to share Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2018 Author Share Posted March 31, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: I’m stealing your snow muthufukka! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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