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Napril Fools? Pattern and Model Discussion . . .


HimoorWx

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  On 4/14/2018 at 5:47 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Glens Falls is close to freezing

This is more like a blue norther(Not bdcf)

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It's really true... I mean, I dunno about the blue northern part, but this wasn't a BD for us...

I mentioned this a couple few days ago but it's a distinction of tedium so I let it go. 

It's more of BD for NJ and points S.  It' already aligned S of NYC (stationary) ...waiting on a diffused secondary push now just beginning to filter in as the secondary front with colder air catches up to it.

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  On 4/14/2018 at 5:55 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Just a complete NAM fail today . Totally lucked out 

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I don't think that's correct... 

The NAM was right in the consensus for where the boundary would be at 18z today, which matches the present WPC analysis that I just posted above... to withing reasonable accuracy.  I also saw plenty of products actually warmer than you are now... 

 

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  On 4/14/2018 at 6:01 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

I don't think that's correct... 

The NAM was right in the consensus for where the boundary would be at 18z today, which matches the present WPC analysis that I just posted above... to withing reasonable accuracy.  I also saw plenty of products actually warmer than you are now... 

 

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It had most of us into the 40’s by mid- late afternoon 

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