doncat Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: This is the first time going back to the late 40's that LI passed the 60" mark with only around an inch of snow in February. I need to scrape together around 8 more inches to hit 60 for the season...unlikely but with the way things have been going... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ace Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 The 12Z GFS had a minimal shift north with the precipitation, but what's noticeable is the consistent increase in the ridging in front our shortwave across all modeling. Low is a bit stronger leading to a more consolidated precipitation shield. Going to be a quick hitter, but I'll take it in April. Dynamics are actually pretty decent as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 3 minutes ago, doncat said: I need to scrape together around 8 more inches to hit 60 for the season...unlikely but with the way things have been going... With two potential snow events in the pipeline over the next 7-10 days I would say its actually pretty likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: I was going off BNL and ISP . I figured that. Technically I need another inch for 60. I'm behind ISP and maybe BNL too. I only jackpot when its a couple of inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 10 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: I figured that. Technically I need another inch for 60. I'm behind ISP and maybe BNL too. I only jackpot when its a couple of inches I’m at 66” 10 miles west of you. Strange how you always seem to get less than even islip which is technically Ronkonkoma and to just your south east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 13 minutes ago, psv88 said: I’m at 66” 10 miles west of you. Strange how you always seem to get less than even islip which is technically Ronkonkoma and to just your south east. 50, 15 miles SSW of you and probably low 40s in JM land. I’m not making 60 but we can push the city to 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 CMC has a few inches for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted March 31, 2018 Author Share Posted March 31, 2018 Ukmet looks good pretty much in line with the rest of the guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 The UKMET looks decent. Would want a slight north bump which I think probably does happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 48 minutes ago, psv88 said: I’m at 66” 10 miles west of you. Strange how you always seem to get less than even islip which is technically Ronkonkoma and to just your south east. ISP is 10 miles to my SE and they often beat me in the big storms, then a day later have less snow depth. I smell Russian interference. I have no issue with the difference in last weeks big dump. They spent at least an hour longer in the death band than I did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 30 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: 50, 15 miles SSW of you and probably low 40s in JM land. I’m not making 60 but we can push the city to 40. Only if they actually go out and measure it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 1 hour ago, West Mtn NY said: Just print out a bullseye over Monroe every storm this year. Shooting for 7' season. Still not melted off in front of the house from the 4.5 feet this month I'm over 77 inches in Highland Mills and you've been doing better than me on most storms by a couple of inches. I would have have thought you're over 84 inches already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted March 31, 2018 Author Share Posted March 31, 2018 CMC is 3-6 inches areawide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 45 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: 50, 15 miles SSW of you and probably low 40s in JM land. I’m not making 60 but we can push the city to 40. I have 42” for the season. Hopefully this can get me to 45. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 1 hour ago, West Mtn NY said: Just print out a bullseye over Monroe every storm this year. Shooting for 7' season. Still not melted off in front of the house from the 4.5 feet this month When was this pic taken? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 12 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: I'm over 77 inches in Highland Mills and you've been doing better than me on most storms by a couple of inches. I would have have thought you're over 84 inches already. 83. LOL. There was a storm earlier in the season where we had mixing issues and I got burned with Sleet more than you guys did. And I wasn't home for a couple so I went with spotters reports so I always go conservative. We get enough here at 950' that I sometimes feel uneasy reporting what I got because it can be considerably different even a few hundred feet lower, a couple of miles away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 24 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: When was this pic taken? This morning in front of my house. There are plenty of bare places in my yard now but that is the front of my driveway this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 23 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: I'm over 77 inches in Highland Mills and you've been doing better than me on most storms by a couple of inches. I would have have thought you're over 84 inches already. 2 minutes ago, West Mtn NY said: 83. LOL. There was a storm earlier in the season where we had mixing issues and I got burned with Sleet more than you guys did. And I wasn't home for a couple so I went with spotters reports so I always go conservative. We get enough here at 950' that I sometimes feel uneasy reporting what I got because it can be considerably different even a few hundred feet lower, a couple of miles away. Why stop at 7 feet, at this stage shoot for the moon, 100 or bust LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 1 minute ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: Why stop at 7 feet, at this stage shoot for the moon, 100 or bust LOL With nothing basically in February, I am thrilled with 7 feet. If we get another foot, I will very well have realistically hit 100. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Is 12z Euro out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 ^ Shows a 3-6" snowfall across our entire subforun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 A stronger case can be made for the sun angle argument this time around. I wouldn't expect much on the roads but with the colder temps coming in who knows. Does the Euro still show a storm for next weekend?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 8 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: A stronger case can be made for the sun angle argument this time around. I wouldn't expect much on the roads but with the colder temps coming in who knows. Does the Euro still show a storm for next weekend?? A lot of it will fall at night and early morning but hopefully we can keep as much of this in the early morning as possible. If it comes down hard enough though it’ll accumulate. It stuck everywhere in April 2003 during the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 12 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: A stronger case can be made for the sun angle argument this time around. I wouldn't expect much on the roads but with the colder temps coming in who knows. Does the Euro still show a storm for next weekend?? true if most of it was falling in daylight hours past 10 a.m. but unless its delayed most will have fallen already - with any intensity all surfaces will be covered ............Reference - April 7, 2003 and that fell between about 8:30 a.m. to early afternoon with temps near 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Yeah the timing will make the commute pretty challenging especially if it's snowing heavily. Sun angle not an issue before 10am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 7 minutes ago, jm1220 said: A lot of it will fall at night and early morning but hopefully we can keep as much of this in the early morning as possible. If it comes down hard enough though it’ll accumulate. It stuck everywhere in April 2003 during the day. It sure did, sidewalks and asphalt alike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Let's also take into account that Monday, April 2 is the Yankees home opener. Since 1982 it's becoming somewhat of a tradition, that every 10-15 years or so the Yankees have their home opener either snowed out or played while it snows. The first one of course was the April 6, 1982 blizzard when a foot of snow blanketed most of the city and up to 20 inches in some of the suburbs and the Yankees home opener was delayed for three days so they could shovel out the stadium which still had snow surrounding it when the season was opened three days later on April 9. The second time of course was the April 9, 1996 home opener which was played despite the fact it was 35° during the entire game and it snowed during the entire game a few times in the late innings heavy but for the most part didn't stick to the grass although it did whiten the outfield a bit at times. The third time of course was the April 7th 2003 opener which was canceled till the next day because 4 to 6 inches of snow blanketed the city that day. Of course the next day the first pitch was thrown with snow still covering the Bronx and the game time temperature of 34°. Charlie Rosen who was doing Yankee games on radio then opened up the broadcast with the classic line "welcome to Yankee Stadium everyone on a beautiful day to play baseball", and he paused, "somewhere in the world but certainly not here today". If Monday, April 2 makes it the fourth time in the last 36 years, so be it. It's been almost 15 years so they are overdue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 3 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said: ISP is 10 miles to my SE and they often beat me in the big storms, then a day later have less snow depth. I smell Russian interference. I have no issue with the difference in last weeks big dump. They spent at least an hour longer in the death band than I did. Yea, islip has beaten me for every big event as well. But I do better on the smaller marginal events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted March 31, 2018 Author Share Posted March 31, 2018 Nam 18z looks good again maybe a tad warmer but regardless looks good for a 3-6 inches for our area. Very potent little wave jackpotting right through NYC area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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