Rtd208 Posted March 26, 2018 Share Posted March 26, 2018 Post them here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 27, 2018 Share Posted March 27, 2018 Just for giggles...point isn't to say this will happen, but to show potential of pattern (most of this for I-95 corridor is on 4/2)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted March 27, 2018 Share Posted March 27, 2018 Meanwhile 12z GFS is now showing the week of April 2nd as a fairly warm week. GFS really struggling the see the early April cold that other models have been showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 27, 2018 Share Posted March 27, 2018 10 minutes ago, RU848789 said: Just for giggles...point isn't to say this will happen, but to show potential of pattern (most of this for I-95 corridor is on 4/2)... Looks great for Labrador. Prime snow season up there until mid April. I wouldn’t be surprised if we see a couple inches, car and grass topper kind of deal. 950 temps are plenty cold in the trough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted March 27, 2018 Share Posted March 27, 2018 I would trust the canadian. Canadian model is better at this range than gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 27, 2018 Share Posted March 27, 2018 I want to hear what Anthony (Snow88) says, If he thinks the Canadian looks good then there is hope ! His optimism is contagious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 27, 2018 Share Posted March 27, 2018 12 minutes ago, sferic said: I want to hear what Anthony (Snow88) says, If he thinks the Canadian looks good then there is hope ! His optimism is contagious. AO and EPO falling to negative during the 1st week of april. There is a chance of more snow during that week but as we know it's hard during April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 27, 2018 Share Posted March 27, 2018 Anthony Massiello Next week "Yeah, that's another Archambault signal showing up in a week or so. " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 27, 2018 Share Posted March 27, 2018 Some hits on the eps for next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 27, 2018 Share Posted March 27, 2018 3 hours ago, winterwx21 said: Meanwhile 12z GFS is now showing the week of April 2nd as a fairly warm week. GFS really struggling the see the early April cold that other models have been showing. The Gfs has been correcting cooler though over the past few days, I'd easily take the Euro/EPS this time given teleconnections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 27, 2018 Author Share Posted March 27, 2018 I know this is vendor stuff but it just seems to make the most sense to put these in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 Good chance of a storm next week with the PNA rising , NAO rising , AO and EPO tanking and then rising . Archambault event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Good chance of a storm next week with the PNA rising , NAO rising , AO and EPO tanking and then rising . Archambault event Rain or Snow ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 9 minutes ago, sferic said: Rain or Snow ? Snow or at least a wintry mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 What is a Archambault event ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 With this 500 mb look, parts of the area can see more snow and temps reaching 32 or lower in early April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 1 hour ago, sferic said: What is a Archambault event ? As part of her graduate research, Heather Archambault postulated that you can make yourself sound smarter and more authoritative by supplanting your wishcasting with the phrase "Archambault event." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 3 hours ago, sferic said: What is a Archambault event ? From her paper... Results of the statistical analysis suggest that cool-season NE precipitation tends to be enhanced during positive-to-negative NAO and negative-to-positive PNA transitions, and suppressed during negative-to-positive NAO and positive-to-negative PNA transitions. Of the four types of regime transitions, only the positive-to-negative NAO transition is associated with substantially more frequent major cool-season NE precipitation events compared to climatology. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010MWR3362.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 I should have never cancelled my stormvista subscription lol Euro still has a nice setup for next week but the storm is well to our south and cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 11 minutes ago, Snow88 said: I should have never cancelled my stormvista subscription lol Euro still has a nice setup for next week but the storm is well to our south and cold. Right where we need to be at this point.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 14 minutes ago, Snow88 said: I should have never cancelled my stormvista subscription lol Euro still has a nice setup for next week but the storm is well to our south and cold. I'd be surprised if at least parts of our didn't see more measurable snow in the next 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 29, 2018 Share Posted March 29, 2018 4 hours ago, White Gorilla said: Right where we need to be at this point.. Go amped or go home. I refuse to be fringed in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 29, 2018 Share Posted March 29, 2018 Earthlight https://www.nymetroweather.com/2018/03/28/spring-snowstorm-northeast-heres-not-question/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 29, 2018 Share Posted March 29, 2018 3 hours ago, Snow88 said: Earthlight https://www.nymetroweather.com/2018/03/28/spring-snowstorm-northeast-heres-not-question/ Tonight's Euro, Ant? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted March 29, 2018 Share Posted March 29, 2018 There is so much potential on the long range according to GFS and CMC for next week and up to the 12th or so. It's insane the pattern probably looks even better than March especially the fact that we have the good -NAO blocking that has the coldest air on earth just to our north southeast Canada to be exact. Yes the sun angle is an issue but what if the storm comes in at night. A lot of long night's ahead I thought we were done but both GFS and CMC have a huge storm just crossing the Rockies around hr 240 accompanied by a huge high 1040 range. Plenty of cold. Looks like my wish for a 36hrs snowfall may be alive! Can't post pictures for some reason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 29, 2018 Share Posted March 29, 2018 GFS has a snowstorm for VA on the 7th. Average highs probably in the mid 60s by that point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 29, 2018 Share Posted March 29, 2018 Huge change on the ECMWF from 0z in the extended range (toward a warmer scenario). But is it right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Nobody mentioned this for a reason probably but 18z ICON though crappy model shows a decent snow event Sunday’s night into Monday morning lol 1-3 areawide cmc had this shortwave late last week producing a few inches. Look above on top of this page. Cmc is usually good at showing a system than losing it and never really getting it back until log time. It’s happened a lot like this since the upgrade last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Icon 0z run shows a snowstorm for us Sunday night after midnight and this place is dead. Gfs shows the wave too now, brings snow up to toms river and cmc does about the same. I think I’ll make a thread for this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Cmc has a SECS for us for next Friday 6+ storm and very cold system. Gfs has it too with a few additional inches after Monday's wave! Incredible where is eceryone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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