canderson Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 9 minutes ago, pasnownut said: I didnt say it.....you did. But good lord do i ever think it. All the time. that ctp graphic above shows that many of us in east central pa have gotten raked....and looking at the lr on TT we still look to be not quite be out of the woods yet. this has been one of the muggiest summers in some time. Looking forward to Septembers first cool shots (hopefully anyway). Nut Read somewhere it doesn't look like summer will be a stronghold in September. Hope that's true - I'm looking forward to low humidity 65 degree days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted August 14, 2018 Author Share Posted August 14, 2018 34 minutes ago, canderson said: Read somewhere it doesn't look like summer will be a stronghold in September. Hope that's true - I'm looking forward to low humidity 65 degree days. Yeah I'm starting to pay a little more attention to the fall, as the fuzzy LR outlooks start to hold a little more merit. Liking where things seem to be headed way down the road as a low/low mod Nino appears to be a good possibility, but for the shorter term, I'll just enjoy a refreshing breeze an clear blue skies.. have a good one all. Caveman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 Susky @ W-B expected to get to near 30' for a crest. Wouldn't mind if the rainy pattern ceased for a while...fearful of what could happen if another sh*tstorm kicks up over northern PA or upstate NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 9 hours ago, NortheastPAWx said: Susky @ W-B expected to get to near 30' for a crest. Wouldn't mind if the rainy pattern ceased for a while...fearful of what could happen if another sh*tstorm kicks up over northern PA or upstate NY. Or if we get a TS that sits over us (looks doubtful this year but man that'd be a massive problem). HBG has missed all the recent rain thankfully so the river here shouldn't be a problem this round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 13 minutes ago, canderson said: Or if we get a TS that sits over us (looks doubtful this year but man that'd be a massive problem). HBG has missed all the recent rain thankfully so the river here shouldn't be a problem this round. Last night on TWC they were discussing the implications of a tropical system hitting the east. And the main concern they had was because of all the rain that has fallen to date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted August 16, 2018 Author Share Posted August 16, 2018 23 hours ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Last night on TWC they were discussing the implications of a tropical system hitting the east. And the main concern they had was because of all the rain that has fallen to date. looking at overnight ensemble runs, to me that is a rather low probability thru EOM. upper level supports progressive flow trending rather zonal, so shear would likely keep anything out of the western atl or GOM from being able to gain much latitude. Fishy storms if any Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: looking at overnight ensemble runs, to me that is a rather low probability thru EOM. upper level supports progressive flow trending rather zonal, so shear would likely keep anything out of the western atl or GOM from being able to gain much latitude. Fishy storms if any Nut Agree! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 Rains broke a record for Williamsport in July 11.99" TWC said Williamsport broke the August record also...and the month is only half over. Summer has been very hot & humid or downpours...I'm also looking forward to fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 Don’t look now but next weekend our upstate friends may hit upper 40s. We down in the LSV look to be from Saturday through 10 days in the mid 60s lows and low 80 highs. That puts us around Aug 23 - we are quickly running out of hot weather!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted August 17, 2018 Author Share Posted August 17, 2018 10 hours ago, canderson said: Don’t look now but next weekend our upstate friends may hit upper 40s. We down in the LSV look to be from Saturday through 10 days in the mid 60s lows and low 80 highs. That puts us around Aug 23 - we are quickly running out of hot weather!!!!! such a tease......... :) keep it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 This complex exploded over the HBG area and means business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 19, 2018 Share Posted August 19, 2018 It has not stopped raining here once today. Totally unexpected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 21, 2018 Share Posted August 21, 2018 I honestly didn't expect this much pre fropa rain, but I've got 0.58" already with nothing more than garden variety type showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 21, 2018 Share Posted August 21, 2018 1 hour ago, Voyager said: I honestly didn't expect this much pre fropa rain, but I've got 0.58" already with nothing more than garden variety type showers. Looks like a good soaking band is incoming too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 Ended up with 1.67" for the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 Last night 2.1" fell at my home. From July 21st to August 21st I received 22.4" of rain. Fortunately I don't see that continuing for the next 11 months, which would give me a 268" yearly total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 I wonder if we'll see the sun anytime soon? This dampness is killing my joints and bones................Phuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 Last night 2.1" fell at my home. From July 21st to August 21st I received 22.4" of rain. Fortunately I don't see that continuing for the next 11 months, which would give me a 268" yearly total. Some flooding along the Pequea Creek In Strasburg. Some roads closed.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 Pretty sure last night put me over 30” since June 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 1 hour ago, maytownpawx said: Last night 2.1" fell at my home. From July 21st to August 21st I received 22.4" of rain. Fortunately I don't see that continuing for the next 11 months, which would give me a 268" yearly total. We might be the new Ketchikan! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 13 minutes ago, canderson said: Pretty sure last night put me over 30” since June 1. Wow. I really didn't anticipate the heavy rain we had yesterday afternoon/evening. Looking to next week, looks like we may have some 90s going into Labor day weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted August 22, 2018 Author Share Posted August 22, 2018 1 hour ago, sauss06 said: I wonder if we'll see the sun anytime soon? This dampness is killing my joints and bones................Phuck dude...and how... I'm learning alot about where i ache this summer.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted August 22, 2018 Author Share Posted August 22, 2018 57 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Some flooding along the Pequea Creek In Strasburg. Some roads closed. . multiple road closures in typical areas on way to work. hearing reports of 2-4" in Lanco #paddintotals Someone please come drain my swamp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 2 hours ago, sauss06 said: Wow. I really didn't anticipate the heavy rain we had yesterday afternoon/evening. Looking to next week, looks like we may have some 90s going into Labor day weekend Sigh...going to be a toaster bath sitting in the Beav next Saturday afternoon... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 3 hours ago, Superstorm said: Some flooding along the Pequea Creek In Strasburg. Some roads closed. . Conestoga River at Lancaster is now flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 25 minutes ago, maytownpawx said: Sigh...going to be a toaster bath sitting in the Beav next Saturday afternoon... oh man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 6 hours ago, maytownpawx said: Sigh...going to be a toaster bath sitting in the Beav next Saturday afternoon... I’ll be at FedEx watching Texas .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 Past couple days and especially the mornings have been amazing. Next week is looking hotter and hotter and it's going to humid as hell to boot. Screw this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 25, 2018 Share Posted August 25, 2018 My girlfriend got video of the fire starting when smoke started coming out. Saw whole trees go up in seconds and fall. Saw transformers blow. This is in New Cumberland. Fire trucks from 5-6 different stations are here I think. . Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 25, 2018 Share Posted August 25, 2018 Here’s some video I took toward the beginning of ithttp:// . Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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