AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted May 6, 2018 Share Posted May 6, 2018 Most +NAO today since before 2005 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 6, 2018 Share Posted May 6, 2018 28 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: Most +NAO today since before 2005 It looks like we are very close to the highest daily reading for May. A 2009 corals study detected greater swings in the NAO. Some of the highest and lowest values at different times of the year were recorded since then. http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao_index.html https://www.whoi.edu/page.do?pid=83537&tid=3622&cid=54686&c=2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted May 6, 2018 Share Posted May 6, 2018 3 hours ago, bluewave said: It looks like we are very close to the highest daily reading for May. A 2009 corals study detected greater swings in the NAO. Some of the highest and lowest values at different times of the year were recorded since then. http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao_index.html https://www.whoi.edu/page.do?pid=83537&tid=3622&cid=54686&c=2 Obviously we will take it. It had helped produce some of the most exciting weather of the 2000s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 6, 2018 Share Posted May 6, 2018 32 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Obviously we will take it. It had helped produce some of the most exciting weather of the 2000s Yeah, we have alternated between record Atlantic and Pacific blocking. When one sector was unfavorable the other got the job done. It's remarkable that there were only 3 dud winters since 2002-2003. Not many people would have made this prediction following the 96-97 to 01-02 snow drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted May 6, 2018 Share Posted May 6, 2018 4 hours ago, bluewave said: It looks like we are very close to the highest daily reading for May. A 2009 corals study detected greater swings in the NAO. Some of the highest and lowest values at different times of the year were recorded since then. http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao_index.html https://www.whoi.edu/page.do?pid=83537&tid=3622&cid=54686&c=2 It looks like today is the highest of all daily readings at least since at least 1998, 7,000+ days. I bet there's a map for the hurricane season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted May 7, 2018 Share Posted May 7, 2018 I posted this in another thread , its not about Spring but it is banter , " I could use some help here. I am trying to find out on which dates we had accumulating snow this season and if possible how much snow actually fell on those dates ? Is there a website or link to tell me how much snow fell during these individual events or in my particular area in Rockland County ? Thanks for any help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted May 7, 2018 Author Share Posted May 7, 2018 Nao in my opinion is extremes. Negative nao usually brings cold and stormy and positive nao brings weak rain storms and warmer days: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 7, 2018 Share Posted May 7, 2018 13 hours ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: It looks like today is the highest of all daily readings at least since at least 1998, 7,000+ days. I bet there's a map for the hurricane season. The North Atlantic cold pool was nearly the coldest on record for April. If the latest Euro seasonal is correct for JJA, then it's a continuation of this pattern. 1) +NAO trough near Southern Greenland 2) Western Atlantic Ridge near SE Canada and New England 3) Continuation of big ridge near Alaska April SSTs were the 4th warmest on record compared to all other Aprils from 1855 to present. [Alternate headline: April SSTs coldest in 4 years!]. Areas in red had the warmest April SSTs on record. #ERSSTv5pic.twitter.com/31HLRJWnmD 8:25 PM - 3 May 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted May 7, 2018 Share Posted May 7, 2018 Maybe the larger Atlantic Hadley Cell will continue through the Summer. At 850mb, it was the greatest Winter anomaly on record (+30% of mean average SLP!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 EURO WEEKLIES are AN till last days of May. Then favor BN till start of summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 I busted a wheel in a pothole at 4:30 this morning and it took AAA 4.5 hours to get a tow truck out. What a disgrace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 12 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: I busted a wheel in a pothole at 4:30 this morning and it took AAA 4.5 hours to get a tow truck out. What a disgrace. wow-that's unreal-I would demand a refund of my yearly premium. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 On 5/7/2018 at 7:59 AM, bluewave said: The North Atlantic cold pool was nearly the coldest on record for April. If the latest Euro seasonal is correct for JJA, then it's a continuation of this pattern. 1) +NAO trough near Southern Greenland 2) Western Atlantic Ridge near SE Canada and New England 3) Continuation of big ridge near Alaska April SSTs were the 4th warmest on record compared to all other Aprils from 1855 to present. [Alternate headline: April SSTs coldest in 4 years!]. Areas in red had the warmest April SSTs on record. #ERSSTv5pic.twitter.com/31HLRJWnmD 8:25 PM - 3 May 2018 given us being stuck in a western ridge pattern a strong WAR is the only way we will get a warm summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 Noticeably cooler today on the island then in the city with the onshore flow. Somehow we have managed to stay away from marine layer days so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 9 hours ago, Juliancolton said: I busted a wheel in a pothole at 4:30 this morning and it took AAA 4.5 hours to get a tow truck out. What a disgrace. Front tire randomly popped while parked yesterday, I was actually sitting in the car when it happened. Tow truck guy came an hour later, jacked it up, started taking the wheel off and the car rolled right off the jack. Front bumper came off and everything. I can change a tire, but that was always one of my biggest fears, next to the spare flying off while driving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted May 8, 2018 Share Posted May 8, 2018 4 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Noticeably cooler today on the island then in the city with the onshore flow. Somehow we have managed to stay away from marine layer days so far. ..yeah ,i'll be worried about that wed. morning too..fishing peconic & shinnecock bays..NG fishing in the fog especially with a brisk east wind..but even if we stratus it will burn off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 Looks like April was the highest ranking US cold departure month of the 2010's so far. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/national-climate-201804 During April, the average contiguous U.S. temperature was 48.9°F, 2.2°F below the 20th century average, making it the 13th coldest April on record and the coldest since 1997. Record and near-record cold temperatures stretched from the Northern Plains to the Gulf Coast and Northeast. The Southwest was warmer than average. November 2014 was the previous coldest departure month for the 2010's. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/national/201411 The average contiguous U.S. temperatureduring November was 39.3°F, 2.4°F below the 20th century average. This ranked as the 16thcoldest November in the 1895-2014 record, and was the coldest November since 2000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 GFS already has tropical mischief near Jacksonville, Fl. in 15 days. Low level development seems weak, but 850mb winds are hurricane force. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 11 hours ago, bluewave said: Looks like April was the highest ranking US cold departure month of the 2010's so far. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/national-climate-201804 During April, the average contiguous U.S. temperature was 48.9°F, 2.2°F below the 20th century average, making it the 13th coldest April on record and the coldest since 1997. Record and near-record cold temperatures stretched from the Northern Plains to the Gulf Coast and Northeast. The Southwest was warmer than average. November 2014 was the previous coldest departure month for the 2010's. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/national/201411 The average contiguous U.S. temperatureduring November was 39.3°F, 2.4°F below the 20th century average. This ranked as the 16thcoldest November in the 1895-2014 record, and was the coldest November since 2000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 9, 2018 Share Posted May 9, 2018 1 hour ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: This may be a signal for fewer than 30 days reaching 90 degrees at Newark in 2018. It will be interesting to see if the smaller sample size following La Nina winters has any similarity to this year. Top 20 coldest Aprils since 1950 following La Nina and El Nino winters....# of 90 degree days at Newark #2....1975 La Nina winter...............12 days #3....1983 El Nino...........................40 days #5....1997 close to weak La Nina....20 days #9....1950 La Nina...........................18 days #11...1953 El Nino...........................32 days #13...2018 La Nina...........................2 so far #12...1973 El Nino...........................31 days #17...1956 La Nina..........................14 days #19...1995 El Nino..........................33 days #20...1970 El Nino..........................22 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 11, 2018 Share Posted May 11, 2018 Still a long way off, but could we have a 'TS Alberto' here for Memorial Day Weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted May 11, 2018 Share Posted May 11, 2018 Hmmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 Still coming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted May 13, 2018 Share Posted May 13, 2018 Lol @ rain delays for light rain and drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 13, 2018 Share Posted May 13, 2018 4 hours ago, Rjay said: Lol @ rain delays for light rain and drizzle They weren’t going to start the game in the rain. If it had started raining with that intensity, they would have played through it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 17 hours ago, NJwx85 said: They weren’t going to start the game in the rain. If it had started raining with that intensity, they would have played through it. That's weak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 Wonder how early the BUST calls start tomorrow am? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 41 minutes ago, forkyfork said: long island still has good elevated cape tomorrow evening on the models Crappy snow growth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 DC is getting rocked with straight line winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 14, 2018 Share Posted May 14, 2018 7 minutes ago, Rjay said: Crappy snow growth If I rolled my eyes any harder they would fall out of my skull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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