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Winter 2017-18 Grade


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On 3/29/2018 at 10:10 AM, uncle W said:

that's a lot of work...but it can be done...I would go back to 1930 as the starting point...88 years of record...I would use ave temp Dec-Mar...total snowfall...biggest snowfall...lowest max/min...total days with a min 32 or lower...total days with a max 32 or lower...total days with 1" or more of snow on the ground...Consecutive days with 1" of snow on the ground...any other suggestions?...

Just one other thing I can think of and that's maximum snow cover in inches.  I think both 1947-48  and 2010-11 will rank pretty high because of this.

It would be interesting if you could go back to 1920 and include that one really weird storm in Feb 1920 that dumped something like 20 inches of sleet?  That one had like 5" of liquid equivalent in it, I think?

I dont know if these should be included in the rankings but I just thought of this- percent of winter precipitation (DJFM) that fell as snow?  And also the highest LE snowfall?

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Sorry guys I have to go with a B- only because the pst 3 weeks salvaged a C. Winter disappeared in February and to have snow in Spring is nice but its gone hours later and is NOT winter. Winter to me is cold weather along with snow on the ground for days or weeks I think my B - is also generous Its cool having storms to track but if they are not in the winter months or are misses Im out

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8 hours ago, Brasiluvsnow said:

Sorry guys I have to go with a B- only because the pst 3 weeks salvaged a C. Winter disappeared in February and to have snow in Spring is nice but its gone hours later and is NOT winter. Winter to me is cold weather along with snow on the ground for days or weeks I think my B - is also generous Its cool having storms to track but if they are not in the winter months or are misses Im out

Dude we’re not Antarctica to have constant cold air. We’re actually in a relatively warm spot compared to say Detroit or Chicago or even Boston. We got a lot of snow this year and historic cold I just think February was a waste but hey we even had a white Christmas most of us at least. Historic cold in January historic snow in April, historic nor’easters on March, and April isn’t done yet. And today is cold with rain the winter is still going in my opinion.

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All right, I was going to go with a B+ for myself right above Morristown Airport, but I’m going to an A-, with the only demerit the warmth in February. Here are my highlights and reasoning:

December 9, 2017, a solid, beautiful snow that made it feel like Christmas
cc71323145afe504ace2e8b9501db625.jpg

It snowed Christmas Eve
f09049a6b3afa7b88dfea06ebd8cd0d2.jpg

January 4, 2018
It wasn’t too much out here, but it was wintry and windy as all heck. One of the few times o was truly frightened being outside in a snowstorm.
25660ab287b9e0392670221add2fa9dd.jpg

Mid-January
We went to the Southern Caribbean. It was wonderful.
0f471d423b1f88fcda65bb3eedb308ce.jpg

February 7, 2018
It snowed. I forgot!

February 17, 2018
A really beautiful storm.
033bcd70f39748ec5374022f764b037c.jpg

0839f9e81155151cd39ff251339d1bdd.jpg

March 2, 2018
A nasty nor’easter. No power for 2+ days.

March 7, 2018
Truly unbelievable here. Snow rates like I’ve never seen, and an amount of snow, about 2’ or so, that is rare. Most snow since January 2016, but far more impactful.
32c5dc4ceaf24b06c114438e5f12cc0b.jpg63f41bdee1dacaa3861296fe7831a785.jpg
69591581239be8b6c771df7b1ada9d66.jpg

Anyway, more snow later in March! (About 32” for the month) and another 6”+ so far in April!

86cb34ac38109309208aa56f7b48c690.jpg

Amazing if I had experienced this as a kid.


.

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I would give this winter an A-. I was going to say B or B+ but this April snowstorm was very nice. I liked the snowstorms, and there were some parts that really felt like deep winter. It was also great to get 40+ inches of snow. The downsides were the warmup in February (although it did feel a bit nice) and that a couple of the storms in March were disappointments for NYC.

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I'm still having a hard time getting past a B. The lack of long term, midwinter, snowpack just kills it for me. A grade winters have snow on the ground from approximately the solstice through January and into February. After about mid Feb I don't expect it to last unless we put more snow on top of it. The 40" in March brought it from a B- to a B and I'm still up in the air over whether the April snow gets it to a B+. I think if it hadn't warmed up for ~6 weeks midwinter I'd feel much better about it even if there had been a short thaw in Jan and we lost the snowpack.

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I have very similar thoughts to gravitylover on this winter so I will reiterate a couple of his points which I also feel strongly about.

First of all we lost basically six weeks of the best part of winter, mid-January through all of February. To me that means the rest of winter everything else would have to go perfectly to achieve a B because an A is impossible.

At the end of February this was a D+ to C - winter.  A good December, a white Christmas all positives. A good first two weeks of January with cold and snow cover all good. Followed by a record breaking 6 week mild spell, that still managed a few decent snows but they were gone within a couple of days a huge negative.

Now factor in a fantastic March with 44 inches of snow, with a solid deep snow cover throughout the entire month up until the last 2 days. Throw in 5.8 inches in April now bringing the seasonal snow total to 83.1 inches and the days with snow cover to 67 and this winter does the impossible. An end of February grade of D+ to C- brings this winters final grade to a B. That's what 50 inches of snow after March 1 will do.

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  • 2 weeks later...

I finally finished crunching the numbers for grading winters...I went back to the 1947-48 winter which came in first I might add...I used 13 stats...five for temperatures...#1...Ave. temp. Dec. thru March...2..coldest minimum...3...coldest maximum...4...days with a min. 32 or lower...5...Days with a max 32 or lower...eight for snow...#1...total snowfall...2...max depth...3...days with 1" or more on the ground...4...consecutive days with 1" or more snow on the ground...5...days with 4" on the ground...6...consecutive days with 4" on the ground...7...days with 10" or more on the ground...8...biggest snowfall...1947-48 got 878 of a possible 923 points...led or tied for 5 of the 13...2001-02 had the lowest amount of points with 35 of a possible   923 points...had the least amount of points twice and tied for three others...these are not my favorites from top to bottom although most of them are where they should be..

1947-48...878

1993-94...847

2013-14...812

1960-61...807

1995-96...803

2014-15...793

2002-03...771

1977-78...758

2010-11...752

2003-04...714

1966-67...700

1968-69...657

1976-77...653

2004-05...650

1981-82...637

1978-79...635

1957-58...627

1969-70...623...

1955-56...618

1963-64...606

2000-01...603

2009-10...595

2017-18...573

1959-60...570

1980-81...553

1983-84...549

2015-16...534

1948-49...527

1962-63...514

1986-87...504

1982-83...503

1967-68...503

1987-88...503

1984-85...498

2008-09...479

1964-65...478

1973-74...472

1970-71...447

2005-06...446

1992-93...443

1994-95...441

1965-66...424

2012-13...423

1971-72...409

1956-57...405

1975-76...401

1961-62...397

1999-00...395

1958-59...392

1953-54...380

1985-86...365

2016-17...323

1951-52...318

1988-89...297

1989-90...288

2006-07...281...

1954-55...279

2007-08...248

1974-75...246

1990-91...240

1979-80...239

1991-92...227

1996-97...187

1950-51...183

1949-50...160

1998-99...153

1972-73...135

1952-53...124

1997-98.....89

2011-12.....87

2001-02.....35

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On 4/19/2018 at 9:28 PM, uncle W said:

I finally finished crunching the numbers for grading winters...I went back to the 1947-48 winter which came in first I might add...I used 13 stats...five for temperatures...#1...Ave. temp. Dec. thru March...2..coldest minimum...3...coldest maximum...4...days with a min. 32 or lower...5...Days with a max 32 or lower...eight for snow...#1...total snowfall...2...max depth...3...days with 1" or more on the ground...4...consecutive days with 1" or more snow on the ground...5...days with 4" on the ground...6...consecutive days with 4" on the ground...7...days with 10" or more on the ground...8...biggest snowfall...1947-48 got 878 of a possible 923 points...led or tied for 5 of the 13...2001-02 had the lowest amount of points with 35 of a possible   923 points...had the least amount of points twice and tied for three others...these are not my favorites from top to bottom although most of them are where they should be..

1947-48...878

1993-94...847

2013-14...812

1960-61...807

1995-96...803

2014-15...793

2002-03...771

1977-78...758

2010-11...752

2003-04...714

1966-67...700

1968-69...657

1976-77...653

2004-05...650

1981-82...637

1978-79...635

1957-58...627

1969-70...623...

1955-56...618

1963-64...606

2000-01...603

2009-10...595

2017-18...573

1959-60...570

1980-81...553

1983-84...549

2015-16...534

1948-49...527

1962-63...514

1986-87...504

1982-83...503

1967-68...503

1987-88...503

1984-85...498

2008-09...479

1964-65...478

1973-74...472

1970-71...447

2005-06...446

1992-93...443

1994-95...441

1965-66...424

2012-13...423

1971-72...409

1956-57...405

1975-76...401

1961-62...397

1999-00...395

1958-59...392

1953-54...380

1985-86...365

2016-17...323

1951-52...318

1988-89...297

1989-90...288

2006-07...281...

1954-55...279

2007-08...248

1974-75...246

1990-91...240

1979-80...239

1991-92...227

1996-97...187

1950-51...183

1949-50...160

1998-99...153

1972-73...135

1952-53...124

1997-98.....89

2011-12.....87

2001-02.....35

With so many fantastic winters over the last 20 years we also had the 3 "worst".  Feast or famine...

 

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