Buddy1987 Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 3k nam is almost convective looking with the precip at hrs 48-51. Someone’s gonna get whacked good off this. Not sure it can top my lightning, thunder and 1 inch in 10min the other night tho but never say never. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 11 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: The 12k nam is very impressive and shows a solid band of 6-12 over southwest VA and into my airy and Boone. Buddy can you post the map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 Just now, BIG FROSTY said: Buddy can you post the map? I can’t cause I’m on my phone right now and it gives me fits. I can copy and post the link though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 Just now, Buddy1987 said: I can’t cause I’m on my phone right now and it gives me fits. I can copy and post the link though. Ok Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted March 23, 2018 Author Share Posted March 23, 2018 Here you go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 12k NAM https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus®ion=seus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2018032300&fh=51 3k NAM Out to 52. Will post in a couple min when it gets out to its snowfall total range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 3k nam https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam3km®ion=seus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2018032300&fh=60 Btw I’m not a fan of that Kuchera method. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 2 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: 3k nam https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam3km®ion=seus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2018032300&fh=60 Btw I’m not a fan of that Kuchera method. Yeah that baby is zilch down here. I don't like it either!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 Ya'll are killing me LOL! I had to run downstairs and grab my laptop. Here is the 3K without the Kuchera method plugged in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 What! That's march 10th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 Just now, CaryWx said: What! That's march 10th Wow im getting sleepy!! Hang on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 12K FOR REAL this time. Frost sorry bro getting tired man. Yea you are right on the cusp. One little shift south and it may make a difference for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 Thanks Bud. Looks like another sweet spot for you again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 1 minute ago, CaryWx said: Thanks Bud. Looks like another sweet spot for you again. This has been one heck of a March up this way, that is for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 Please give me some of what the GFS is having... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 6 minutes ago, calculus1 said: Please give me some of what the GFS is having... GFS tries to drive heavy precip and cooling into the Hickory area and NW of there into the northern mtns Saturday AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 2 minutes ago, griteater said: GFS tries to drive heavy precip and cooling into the Hickory area and NW of there into the northern mtns Saturday AM Yeah, the sounding supports snow up through hour 42, but everything after that is too warm in the mid-levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 Yeah, the sounding supports snow up through hour 42, but everything after that is too warm in the mid-levels.What about the soundings for Boone? Maybe just maybe we score the biggest event of the season?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 06z NAM came in with a Boom! 12K Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 And the 06z 3K.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 What about the soundings for Boone? Maybe just maybe we score the biggest event of the season? .It looks like a snow sounding through HR 42 on the 00Z GFS and through HR 36 on the 06Z GFS for Boone. The 06Z GFS looks even better for Hickory. In fact, the ICON, GFS, and RGEM all show accumulating snow/sleet at Hickory. The NAM is the northern outlier. Unfortunately, the Euro backed off on amounts for Hickory, but just north of there does quite well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 Anyone have the overnight Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said: Anyone have the overnight Euro? https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/2018032300/north-carolina/snow-depth-in/20180325-1200z.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 2 minutes ago, packfan98 said: https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/2018032300/north-carolina/snow-depth-in/20180325-1200z.html Thanks pack! Yikes I’m beginning to wonder if I get fringed here. Looks like many of the models are shifting this thing south southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 Man the Euro has been consistent the past 2 runs showing that weird banana of precip in Chatham County (Was in Wake the last run, I believe). Strange feature detail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 14 minutes ago, wake4est said: Man the Euro has been consistent the past 2 runs showing that weird banana of precip in Chatham County (Was in Wake the last run, I believe). Strange feature detail. I'm in the middle of that finger. We will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 6 hours ago, AirNelson39 said: What about the soundings for Boone? Maybe just maybe we score the biggest event of the season? . 3km NAM looks like a lot of ZR/IP to me. I'm quite worried about this being an ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 If this event follows the pattern of every event this winter, then it should trend colder/snowier for the NW/N Piedmont as we approach kick off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 36 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: 3km NAM looks like a lot of ZR/IP to me. I'm quite worried about this being an ice storm. Same here...love snow, but do not like IP/ZR events...still trying to recover from the 2002 ice storm...I am sure many here remember that sucker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted March 23, 2018 Author Share Posted March 23, 2018 Euro/GFS seems to be backing down a bit for southside VA, temps are so marginal and the timing isn't great either. Not feeling this one like I was a few days ago, we'll see what todays model runs have in store. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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