mjwise Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 Flurries started in Blacksburg about 20-30 minutes ago, picking up more now with nice flake size. 36/28. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 EDIT: Watauga and Ashe in the targets...totals a bit higher IMO..not sure if we get 16-18 here IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted March 24, 2018 Author Share Posted March 24, 2018 Just now, BornAgain13 said: The NAM AND HRRR look good for here, but other guidance I'm not to thrilled with... Its already about 45 imby I think any accumulating snow here is a long shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
designatedkyle Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 Just now, WeatherHawk said: Watauga and Ashe in the targets...totals a bit higher IMO This would be wild. But I am a little bit concerned about p-type. We've had a lot of snow pellets and sleet mixing in already. Anything's better than freezing rain, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 To bad this want happen!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Its already about 45 imby I think any accumulating snow here is a long shot Really thought the clouds would of held temps lower... oh well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 2 minutes ago, designatedkyle said: This would be wild. But I am a little bit concerned about p-type. We've had a lot of snow pellets and sleet mixing in already. Anything's better than freezing rain, though. 10-4 that image includes a p-types in its totals...would be nice, but agreed that we won't see that much...and yes Lord let's keep the power on please. IP/ZR on top of the snow on the trees would be a big mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 5 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Its already about 45 imby I think any accumulating snow here is a long shot People are already getting sleet with temps in the mid 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StoneColdWeatherAustin Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 Its already about 45 imby I think any accumulating snow here is a long shotI'm on mobile at the moment. What is your location?Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 21 minutes ago, tarheelwx said: These reports of sleet all the way down to Charlotte, and then I see this from the 12z NAM for GSO. Jtgus, This shows rain (see 4th from the last column) at 2pm (18z) with a temp at the Greensboro airport of 37 degrees (3rd column from left). 3 hours later at 21z or 5pm it shows moderate snow (light snow is -sn and heavy snow is +sn). You can see that for 4 consecutive reporting times, GSO is showing moderate snow. If you total the liquid qpf for those four 3 hours periods, you get 1.24". Then looks all the way to the next to the last column on the right and you see how much snow falls - total being 7.3". Factor in a these numbers and you get roughly a 6:1 snow to liguid ratio. With most other models showing a bit warming outcome with less snow, I'd normally discount this altogether. However, with sleet reports coming from the N Charlotte area, it makes me pause and wonder if this is possible. While I don't think it is likely, I certainly think it is entirely possible. Will be fun to see how it plays out. Hope this helps. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 Mod rn/sn mix 37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtgus Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 Thank You! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 It’s trying to go back to snow here in Boone, getting some big flakes mixing in with the sleet. If it stays IP/ZR mix I don’t think we will have too bad of a problem with even the marginal temps in Boone. It’s right at 32 and probably won’t drop lower than that all day . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 The occurrence of sleet, such as around Charlotte, was expected and doesn’t really mean anything one way or another as far as the eventual outcome tonight. The sleet pellets are largely due to evaporation aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 Oh NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 Wet flakes mixing in in WS. 40 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 GSP never afraid to throw a good one-liner into the discussion... The previous shift added some very healthy ice accums to the forecast tonight across mainly Avery County, and qpf is actually being increased for this update. We have left this largely intact, but there will be plenty of competing factors that make the surface temp forecast highly problematic. (Factors that would argue for keeping the cold air locked in: persistent /slightly increasing upslope flow and in-situ cold air damming. Factors that would tend to dislodge the cold air: absence of light precip this afternoon, latent heat release due to freezing once the heavier rainfall rates develop this evening. With such uncertainty, we are not prepared to touch the Warnings/Advisories with a ten-foot-pole at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 Big snow incoming for me per RNK!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 is that isohome? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolBreeze Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 Very wet flakes of snow mixing in the rain shower here too! 40/35 currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BG_Slick Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 Rain with snow mixing in. Temp went from 42 to 37 once rain started falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 I got HEAVY SNOW ATM 35.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 I’m in Wake. Not expecting much, but basically what I should take from all this talk is “who the heck knows”? Temps and timing seem off with the models. I guess I just sit back and doze the day away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 Light snow has commenced west of Roanoke here in Salem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForsythWx Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 Temp has gone from 44 at 11 a.m. to 36.2 currently just west of Winston-Salem. Pretty heavy mix of sleet, snow, and rain for about 30 minutes now. Looking a little more snowy as I type this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 All I see are wet rain drops in Kernersville at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 Here’s the deal to bad it’s not cold enough to stick! 35 degrees. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 1 minute ago, BIG FROSTY said: Here’s the deal to bad it’s not cold enough to stick! 35 degrees. . Still not too shabby for March 24! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 1 minute ago, Poimen said: All I see are wet rain drops in Kernersville at this time. Theres a few wet flakes in there P. Gonna be a bit before we see the real stuff. But I dont think we see anything stick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 24, 2018 Share Posted March 24, 2018 light snow in CARY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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