Snow bomb obs March 21

[powderfreak]

I did get a chuckle out of one a well known poster on here explaining the bust on Facebook... especially the part about the public focusing on the high number in a range.  If you know this certain massif poster's style, its hilarious to hear them explain to people how the public focuses on the high range of a forecast.  It's almost like a different person between this board and other postings.

Quote

The busted part of the forecast is that the light snow started later than we thought and 2) the 6-12” amounts are going to be more like 3-6”. The other thing the public does is focus on the high number. There’s a range for a reason.

 

[weathafella]

raining in Brockton this afternoon 

[CoastalWx]

15 minutes ago, weathafella said:

raining in Brockton this afternoon 

Same in Andover too. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Zero complaints. Won't be an A+ due to the anticipated mid winter doldrums....but, damn.

87".... a couple of rare ice events this close to the coast, xmas morning snowstorm, 14" blizzard, record NAO block, 10.5" of sapling snapping paste, rare wind storm that did more damage than most "hurricanes" (tress down on roofs) and a 31" blizzard jack pot for good measure.

May I rest in peace.

[512high]

22 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Zero complaints. Won't be an A+ due to the anticipated mid winter doldrums....but, damn.

87".... a couple of rare ice events this close to the coast, xmas morning snowstorm, 14" blizzard, record NAO block, 10.5" of sapling snapping paste, rare wind storm that did more damage than most "hurricanes" (tress down on roofs) and a 31" blizzard jack pot for good measure.

May I rest in peace.

Agreed!...........Now any chance for a near repeat for 2018-19? I know wayyyyyyyyy to early!

[CoastalWx]

26 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Zero complaints. Won't be an A+ due to the anticipated mid winter doldrums....but, damn.

87".... a couple of rare ice events this close to the coast, xmas morning snowstorm, 14" blizzard, record NAO block, 10.5" of sapling snapping paste, rare wind storm that did more damage than most "hurricanes" (tress down on roofs) and a 31" blizzard jack pot for good measure.

May I rest in peace.

Yeah good way to put that in perspective. March was one of the more wilder months I can recall. I may be one of the few that appreciated the early March storm, but that felt like a KU without snow. The ice event prior to Christmas was a 1/25 yr event here.

[CoastalWx]

3 paste jobs too. 

[8611Blizz]

With just about 60" I would say it' a solid B.  Possible B+ if we can squeeze out another 3-5" .

[CT Valley Snowman]

C+ here in the valley.  48.5 total thus far which is seasonal but probably the lowest in pretty much all of interior CT and got the shaft in a couple of storms. Still a nice recovery in March and definitely some exciting storms to track.  

[H2Otown_WX]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Zero complaints. Won't be an A+ due to the anticipated mid winter doldrums....but, damn.

87".... a couple of rare ice events this close to the coast, xmas morning snowstorm, 14" blizzard, record NAO block, 10.5" of sapling snapping paste, rare wind storm that did more damage than most "hurricanes" (tress down on roofs) and a 31" blizzard jack pot for good measure.

May I rest in peace.

You almost doubled my total. Amazing season for your area!

[weathafella]

Solid B.  Ray pointed out the positives but the prolonged mid winter torch takes it down some.  March at BOS will likely be colder than February-an uncommon event!

[40/70 Benchmark]

A in my book. 

Got everything that I possibly could have asked for.

[NewYorkweatherfan]

Did Boston and Hartford get any snow last night and this morning?

[40/70 Benchmark]

37 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said:

You almost doubled my total. Amazing season for your area!

I feel like it was regression to the mean, somewhat. My area has been a relative regional lull quite often over the course of the past dozen seasons or so. I know some don't want to hear that, but...

It feels nice to spank some locales that should be spanked.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Late Jan through early March (with a few minor events) kinda screwed the winter here, but the rest of March really helped. A nice cold spell, above avg snow, a few decent storms.

Solid B, maybe B+

[#NoPoles]

5 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Oh yeah I know it well. But it's always interesting the differences just 5 miles makes. Impressive.

Some time this past winter my friend was called to go plow Colony Place. It was raining at my house but apparently it was snowing at Colony Place and they got about 5 inches of wet snow

[#NoPoles]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

3 hand jobs too. 

Well, happy winter to you, too

[Hoth]

I'm prepared to give this winter a C-/D+. It gets points for a couple decent events in December, including an inch of snow on Xmas morning, and the extreme cold heading into early January. I believe I bottomed out at -14 one morning, which is mighty cold for these parts. I had two double digit events on the season, which ain't bad either according to climatology. I made out fine in the blizzard, but its occluded imprint was barely sufficient to make up for the garbage that was to come in the rest of the month and much of February. March may be considered historic for a good chunk of this forum--it certainly was extraordinarily active and the coast/power infrastructure took a tremendous battering--but in this weenie's back yard, it was historically fooking mundane. A Feb '10 and a March '13 style circle-j***. First there was the tease of the initial juiced system where we thought, yeah, the airmass sucks, but impressive dynamics would overcome the thermal issues. Not even close. Then we had the paste storm, which was really hours upon hours of non-accumulating white rain followed by three hours of raging thundersnow that amounted to 11". Fine until I saw towns fifteen miles away stacking 20"+ of fluff. Anyway, its appeal was completely undone by the epic dumpster fire that was the last few weeks. First, Ray's historic crush-job, where I was expecting a foot plus, and got suckered by some of the modeling that suggested fgen would lend an assist, but instead sat in subsidence as dense as a neutron star and watched the towns to my west and east get buried. My three inches of slush ran off into the gutter as Ray was doing naked cartwheels and gaining my storm total every hour. Then the finale, the great cosmic dildoing of 2018, the icing on the turd. "Oh, this is southern CT's jack," they said. "Severe impacts expected," NWS advised. Modeling looked great; even the Euro was smoking us until about 36 hours out. And then, the Eurotrash pulled back. "It's all alone; it's not what it used to be. Tossed." Then the mesos began to waver. Fook. Fookedy fooking ****e. Then, after about 12 hours of occasional flakes, pingers and plain rain, the grand finale came and pounded Long Island. Unreal. To conclude, a decade from now, I will probably only remember the bomb-cyclone and will either remember the busts as I do Feb '10, or just scratch my head when Will brings up the great blizzard of March 2018. But hey, at least it wasn't 2012.

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 minutes ago, Hoth said:

I'm prepared to give this winter a C-/D+. It gets points for a couple decent events in December, including an inch of snow on Xmas morning, and the extreme cold heading into early January. I believe I bottomed out at -14 one morning, which is mighty cold for these parts. I had two double digit events on the season, which ain't bad either according to climatology. I made out fine in the blizzard, but its occluded imprint was barely sufficient to make up for the garbage that was to come in the rest of the month and much of February. March may be considered historic for a good chunk of this forum--it certainly was extraordinarily active and the coast/power infrastructure took a tremendous battering--but in this weenie's back yard, it was historically fooking mundane. A Feb '10 and a March '13 style circle-j***. First there was the tease of the initial juiced system where we thought, yeah, the airmass sucks, but impressive dynamics would overcome the thermal issues. Not even close. Then we had the paste storm, which was really hours upon hours of non-accumulating white rain followed by three hours of raging thundersnow that amounted to 11". Fine until I saw towns fifteen miles away stacking 20"+ of fluff. Anyway, its appeal was completely undone by the epic dumpster fire that was the last few weeks. First, Ray's historic crush-job, where I was expecting a foot plus, and got suckered by some of the modeling that suggested fgen would lend an assist, but instead sat in subsidence as dense as a neutron star and watched the towns to my west and east get buried. My three inches of slush ran off into the gutter as Ray was doing naked cartwheels and gaining my storm total every hour. Then the finale, the great cosmic dildoing of 2018, the icing on the turd. "Oh, this is southern CT's jack," they said. "Severe impacts expected," NWS advised. Modeling looked great; even the Euro was smoking us until about 36 hours out. And then, the Eurotrash pulled back. "It's all alone; it's not what it used to be. Tossed." Then the mesos began to waver. Fook. Fookedy fooking ****e. Then, after about 12 hours of occasional flakes, pingers and plain rain, the grand finale came and pounded Long Island. Unreal. To conclude, a decade from now, I will probably only remember the bomb-cyclone and will either remember the busts as I do Feb '10, or just scratch my head when Will brings up the great blizzard of March 2018. But hey, at least it wasn't 2012.

A+ Melt.

[40/70 Benchmark]

That makes you feel better, doesn't it?

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 hours ago, 512high said:

Agreed!...........Now any chance for a near repeat for 2018-19? I know wayyyyyyyyy to early!

My early hunch is to close the shades, but just blatant speculation. 

[Ginx snewx]

18 above average snow, horrible retention after Jan, historically bad Feb, Historically epic March. Had yesterday produced was a B plus without B minus

[Hoth]

16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That makes you feel better, doesn't it?

This is probably how Krakatoa felt after... But hey, at least I didn't single-handedly bring about the end of the New York Philharmonic like Ryan, so I've got that going for me.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Second blown forecast of the season...both in March...sandwiched in between were two great calls.

I had another brutal call to end last season on April 1...I need to work on late season events. Weakness of mine.

http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/03/321-322-verification-seasons-second.html

[dryslot]

1 hour ago, Hoth said:

I'm prepared to give this winter a C-/D+. It gets points for a couple decent events in December, including an inch of snow on Xmas morning, and the extreme cold heading into early January. I believe I bottomed out at -14 one morning, which is mighty cold for these parts. I had two double digit events on the season, which ain't bad either according to climatology. I made out fine in the blizzard, but its occluded imprint was barely sufficient to make up for the garbage that was to come in the rest of the month and much of February. March may be considered historic for a good chunk of this forum--it certainly was extraordinarily active and the coast/power infrastructure took a tremendous battering--but in this weenie's back yard, it was historically fooking mundane. A Feb '10 and a March '13 style circle-j***. First there was the tease of the initial juiced system where we thought, yeah, the airmass sucks, but impressive dynamics would overcome the thermal issues. Not even close. Then we had the paste storm, which was really hours upon hours of non-accumulating white rain followed by three hours of raging thundersnow that amounted to 11". Fine until I saw towns fifteen miles away stacking 20"+ of fluff. Anyway, its appeal was completely undone by the epic dumpster fire that was the last few weeks. First, Ray's historic crush-job, where I was expecting a foot plus, and got suckered by some of the modeling that suggested fgen would lend an assist, but instead sat in subsidence as dense as a neutron star and watched the towns to my west and east get buried. My three inches of slush ran off into the gutter as Ray was doing naked cartwheels and gaining my storm total every hour. Then the finale, the great cosmic dildoing of 2018, the icing on the turd. "Oh, this is southern CT's jack," they said. "Severe impacts expected," NWS advised. Modeling looked great; even the Euro was smoking us until about 36 hours out. And then, the Eurotrash pulled back. "It's all alone; it's not what it used to be. Tossed." Then the mesos began to waver. Fook. Fookedy fooking ****e. Then, after about 12 hours of occasional flakes, pingers and plain rain, the grand finale came and pounded Long Island. Unreal. To conclude, a decade from now, I will probably only remember the bomb-cyclone and will either remember the busts as I do Feb '10, or just scratch my head when Will brings up the great blizzard of March 2018. But hey, at least it wasn't 2012.

Yeah Boi!  

[The 4 Seasons]

@Hoth You took the words right out of my mouth.

Two storms saved this winter from being an epic failure, that is Jan 4th and Mar 7th. Other than that it was pretty lame. The other two high end adv/low end warn snows were wet snows that accumulated at night. Many many busts this winter. But ill never forget the epic thundersnows of Mar 7th and 4"/hr rates, that saved this winter from a D/D+

My recent pain of the last two March busts makes me want to give this winter an emotionally charged F...but "objectively" speaking it's probably a C/C+

 

[CoastalWx]

8 hours ago, Hoth said:

I'm prepared to give this winter a C-/D+. It gets points for a couple decent events in December, including an inch of snow on Xmas morning, and the extreme cold heading into early January. I believe I bottomed out at -14 one morning, which is mighty cold for these parts. I had two double digit events on the season, which ain't bad either according to climatology. I made out fine in the blizzard, but its occluded imprint was barely sufficient to make up for the garbage that was to come in the rest of the month and much of February. March may be considered historic for a good chunk of this forum--it certainly was extraordinarily active and the coast/power infrastructure took a tremendous battering--but in this weenie's back yard, it was historically fooking mundane. A Feb '10 and a March '13 style circle-j***. First there was the tease of the initial juiced system where we thought, yeah, the airmass sucks, but impressive dynamics would overcome the thermal issues. Not even close. Then we had the paste storm, which was really hours upon hours of non-accumulating white rain followed by three hours of raging thundersnow that amounted to 11". Fine until I saw towns fifteen miles away stacking 20"+ of fluff. Anyway, its appeal was completely undone by the epic dumpster fire that was the last few weeks. First, Ray's historic crush-job, where I was expecting a foot plus, and got suckered by some of the modeling that suggested fgen would lend an assist, but instead sat in subsidence as dense as a neutron star and watched the towns to my west and east get buried. My three inches of slush ran off into the gutter as Ray was doing naked cartwheels and gaining my storm total every hour. Then the finale, the great cosmic dildoing of 2018, the icing on the turd. "Oh, this is southern CT's jack," they said. "Severe impacts expected," NWS advised. Modeling looked great; even the Euro was smoking us until about 36 hours out. And then, the Eurotrash pulled back. "It's all alone; it's not what it used to be. Tossed." Then the mesos began to waver. Fook. Fookedy fooking ****e. Then, after about 12 hours of occasional flakes, pingers and plain rain, the grand finale came and pounded Long Island. Unreal. To conclude, a decade from now, I will probably only remember the bomb-cyclone and will either remember the busts as I do Feb '10, or just scratch my head when Will brings up the great blizzard of March 2018. But hey, at least it wasn't 2012.

Regression is a b**ch.

[CoastalWx]

9 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

A in my book. 

Got everything that I possibly could have asked for.

* inflategate

[Hoth]

6 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

@Hoth You took the words right out of my mouth.

Two storms saved this winter from being an epic failure, that is Jan 4th and Mar 7th. Other than that it was pretty lame. The other two high end adv/low end warn snows were wet snows that accumulated at night. Many many busts this winter. But ill never forget the epic thundersnows of Mar 7th and 4"/hr rates, that saved this winter from a D/D+

My recent pain of the last two March busts makes me want to give this winter an emotionally charged F...but "objectively" speaking it's probably a C/C+

 

Amen, sir. Technically we exceeded climo, but this felt like a total bust.

[CoastalWx]

LOL other than two storms? That’s usually how it goes in every winter. How many 12”+ storms do you snow want? Other than Feb 2015 I give that winter a D.