#NoPoles Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 All rain no snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 3 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: All rain no snow That sucks, sorry to hear. If it had come overnight it would have had a better chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 Big red flag here from yesterday's GEFS run. Those U wind anomalies show more of a NE vs. E LLJ. Not a lot of momentum to throw precip up over the cold air when the flow is more NE in the mid levels. Just a few hours before this from LI and south, those anomalies were more due E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 Snowing moderately here. Over 2 inches now. Nice to see even if the storm overall is disappointing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Nope. Was still showing 6" of snow and more down at the Canal ~10". Yeah, yeah, I get it, it's a weenie snow image. But how is a model this bad at spitting out snow graphics like this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 Also the 21.12z EPS had probabilities of 3" or more for the PSM area at 10% or so. I had a hard time believing that would be correct, but turns out it was a very good forecast. The mean 6" line didn't quite cross LI Sound either. What's crazy is you would think with the poorer resolution of the EPS it would struggle with these gradients, but that wasn't the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Snowing moderately here. Over 2 inches now. Nice to see even if the storm overall is disappointing. I agree. Snow always seems nice to see! I had about the same this morning when I left at 7. I'll have to look when I get home but I think this takes over March 1993 as my snowiest March on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Yeah, yeah, I get it, it's a weenie snow image. But how is a model this bad at spitting out snow graphics like this? I have zero clue how that algorithm works, but it is probably a check to see if the temp is 34 or colder, and if yes it dumps 10:1 snow. The Euro more or less nailed the surface temps on the Cape (34ish). But that algorithm likely doesn't know how deep that warmer air was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 Just now, OceanStWx said: Also the 21.12z EPS had probabilities of 3" or more for the PSM area at 10% or so. I had a hard time believing that would be correct, but turns out it was a very good forecast. The mean 6" line didn't quite cross LI Sound either. What's crazy is you would think with the poorer resolution of the EPS it would struggle with these gradients, but that wasn't the case. This is brutal and I love the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jgf Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 24 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Even the EURO was way to aggressive but obviously much much closer to being correct Euro predicted ~3" for me.., but I got ~8"... that's 2.5 X the forecast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 3.5 here. Forecast was for 12-18 the day of. Oh well, you win some you lose some. Amazing totals on LI just 20-25 miles south of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 pARTS of LI have near 20". Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: pARTS of LI have near 20". Wow. Banding was great last night The snowfall rates went to town as the sun went down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 Looks wintry anyways. Over 1" now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: pARTS of LI have near 20". Wow. Glad we don't live there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 Bow to your Sensai! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 Really pouring here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 48 minutes ago, White Rain said: Have 1.5” on the driveway, roads are covered but melting where cars have driven. yes wintery appeal. The caution flags were everywhere for this one, not sure why everyone is super upset. Must have been looking through weenie goggles. This Winter is a B-. The March storms were fun, but the rain in January and February was a real downer, if this march snow happened in Jan, and Feb stayed cold with a few snow events it would have been an A. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: pARTS of LI have near 20". Wow. Congrats to them. They deserve it..........oh wait they don't because they crash the board and live on a tropical island where it should be raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstoned Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 Never mind "Bomb" or "K.U."; a whole new category needs to be created for this one-- Stingy-Ass Dusting Storm (SAD). Long may it shine in the hallowed hall of records! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 1.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 2.0" with steady light snow. This band salvaged the wintry appeal this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 33 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: This is brutal and I love the Euro. TAN has had 0.37" so far and it's still snowing. What's that there? 0.50"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 Where are the obs in ME? That banding looks healthy and its backed all the way into Millinocket already...Augusta and Portland Look like moderate snow as well... Moderate snow in Exeter NH; I'd estimate close to 2" right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 Ended up with 2" here. Looked wintry as other's have said which is nice. But the storm was a total dissapointment for sure..but we move on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 9 minutes ago, Hailstoned said: Never mind "Bomb" or "K.U."; a whole new category needs to be created for this one-- Stingy-Ass Dusting Storm (SAD). Long may it shine in the hallowed hall of records! It has a name, Its called an FU, And it affected a lot of people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 Just now, dendrite said: TAN has had 0.37" so far and it's still snowing. What's that there? 0.50"? Between last evening and this AM, there was around 1". Rained for a few hours as well between 9pm-1am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 5 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Where are the obs in ME? That banding looks healthy and its backed all the way into Millinocket already...Augusta and Portland Look like moderate snow as well... Moderate snow in Exeter NH; I'd estimate close to 2" right now. Virga here, But that band has not pivot back to me yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: TAN has had 0.37" so far and it's still snowing. What's that there? 0.50"? Yeah the maps are 10:1 all QPF. Doesn't seem too bad. TAN's over .4" for the storm. Should have 4-5" ifit were mid-winter when those 10:1 snow maps work better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: Virga here, But that band has not pivot back to me yet. Yea and it means business. Looks like heavy banding trying to pinwheel into Bangor. DE ME will be New England jp, AWT. But that's not saying much given highest amounts are around 8" in parts of CT (I believe).... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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