weathafella Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: 5-10, 6-12.... Man you guys have been ridiculously spoiled! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 I84 crushing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Man cold at the surface though. Hopefully it's just the NAM being warm tongue happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: 5-10, 6-12.... I would take that in a second... not really expecting much more than the low end of those Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Fear the hugger. I think I 95 points se maybe.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Man you guys have been ridiculously spoiled! That is moderate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 This is strong snow and cold for mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Man cold at the surface though. Hopefully it's just the NAM being warm tongue happy. That was me last nite We shall what are models do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Yikes-more like a blizzard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is moderate. Lol...only relative to recent years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 when does this kick off? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is moderate. Moderate is 3-6/4-8. Beyond that is significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Nam boundary layer is cold. It's more 800mb verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Moderate is 3-6/4-8. Beyond that is significant. this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Moderate is 3-6/4-8. Beyond that is significant. Moderate is significant. Whatever...don't care about semantics and subjective perceptions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 You can see the deform in the 3hr QPF. Temps crash in SNE pretty good once it gets cranking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 I wish this would rapidly develop though south of us. Sort of banded look to it. Not quite concise yet on guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nam boundary layer is cold. It's more 800mb verbatim. Looked like all snow for BOS-ORH...you talking south coast and SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Oh boy oh boy oh boy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Huge hit hour 60... This actually reminds me a little of the blizzard last week, big differences being (1) the initial setup is more disjointed due to stronger 1st shortwave, Will has been harping on this, (2) the whole setup closes off further south as currently depicted for maximum impact at our lattitude, and (3) more confluence Plenty of time for all 3 of those factors to correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Looked like all snow for BOS-ORH...you talking south coast and SE MA. Right. into CT too. Verbatim. Just pointing it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nam boundary layer is cold. It's more 800mb verbatim. NAM h8 stays sub freezing at BOS but it comes close for an hour before colding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 19, 2018 Author Share Posted March 19, 2018 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It's involuntary. I agree with Bob and John...midling event in the offing. I don't speak for Bob but ...I'm not saying out right one should count on a mid-grade inconvenience ...I'm saying that there are reasons that could result and it wouldn't be a shocker. Sorry if that sounds non-committal but, these spring events ...they have an element of 'uncertainy principle' ...like, April 1997 ? That one looked unique enough... .but NO one saw 30" surrounded by a large area of 20" glacier from 9 straight hours of lightning and thunder in 1/32 mi visibility. Contrasting, take another system with seemingly identical input parameters and it's 4-8" ... I'm nodding to that uncertainty to a degree... either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 12k NAM nukes BOS on TT snowfall maps...edit...inside 128 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 16 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: sky is so blue, like on a mid January day when its in the teens this arctic blast is no joke Where was it six weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Huge hit hour 60... This actually reminds me a little of the blizzard last week, big differences being (1) the initial setup is more disjointed due to stronger 1st shortwave, Will has been harping on this, (2) the whole setup closes off further south as currently depicted for maximum impact at our lattitude, and (3) more confluence Plenty of time for all 3 of those factors to correct I would really like to get a good WAA infusion...the lead wave sort of robs us of that so we have to wait for things to reorganize a bit...we would prob get pretty decent snows from the CCB/deformation, but the totals would likely be sub-double digits. But we're not done yet with this obviously, things can still change. We did get closer to wrapping in more moisture from the lead wave this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 14 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Fear the hugger. I will embrace the hugger and hug it back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 The qpf max will be over nyc at 18z. Dont sweat details, evolution looking juicy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 19, 2018 Author Share Posted March 19, 2018 The NAM's been doing this occasionally over the last day and half worth of cycles where it brings the balance of QPF to NYC as wind driven bullet sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: I will embrace the hugger and hug it back. A good ol fashion late March dry air bust in the valley would make for some fun posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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