OceanStWx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 16 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol no snow yet...so nothing stolen. I'm not impressed with the Euro since it's upgrade. May still score the highest...but it's a lesser version of it's previous self no doubt. In fact it behaves more like all the other globals now, when before it didn't. I mean that's a little IMBYism. The Euro is a European model, they focus on their weathern not Nor'easters. Whether it truly has lost a step regarding East Coast cyclogenesis is something I would have to see research on before I totally buy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: 03z-0.22", 09z-0.68" lol NAM coming in a little south already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What’s it got for areas up to the Pike? Are you putting your faith in discontinued models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 12z NAM is coming in south of 06z...but that is no surprise given how obscene the 06z run was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: NAM coming in a little south already. Closed off @H5 east of delaware, Really haven't bought in on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What’s it got for areas up to the Pike? A mean of 10.51 for KBDL & 11.20 for KIJD. Both were around 8 on the previous run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 32 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Heh... for you snow enthusiasts ... best to sit back sit back and savor the performance of whatever becomes of this cyclone's showing because ... you may not see much in the way of a substantive performance again until next autumn. The models are showing more and more complexion of spring washing over their cycles, as they always do at some point between the end of Feb and the beginning of April - just a matter of when in that range it chooses to do so from year to year. Now appears to be this year's chosen time. If so... look on the bright side - it's sort of 'going out with a bang' .. Even at a 3 or 4" that would be true, because how many times come June have you thought in passing, 'who would have thunk that 10 minute snow flurry on Mar 3 would be the last time we saw snow this year...' ? I mean ...seems like wasting the experience tainting it will all this neurotic nitpicking that's ... weird behavior for one, but also, casting the last that should be appreciated under a negative light. You really kind of shed light on the notion that this is a group of individuals that have become far more channeled/circuited into the cinema of the guidance - emotionally at that .. -- more so than a damn storms themselves. All this frenetic ... what about 3KM what about the Herpes ... what about this what about that... omg omg ...go check out the Swiss.. i mean my god... it's a drug addiction. You're always on this site telling us about how nuts we are to be on the same site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Fear the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: Fear the Euro. I embrace it. 6-8" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 You can see the radar depiction pretty clearly in how this will evolve already with radar echoes over eastern New England easily making it north, while the echoes over southern NYS are hitting a wall. It's as though it's rotating around a pivot point located somewhere near NW CT... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 NAM is still going to be pretty darn good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 5 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I mean that's a little IMBYism. The Euro is a European model, they focus on their weathern not Nor'easters. Whether it truly has lost a step regarding East Coast cyclogenesis is something I would have to see research on before I totally buy it. I get that..and I understand your point completely. But Since it's upgrade...it's not the same for East Coast storms...I'm no pro obviously, but you don't need to be a pro to see that it's lost some of it's gusto, if you follow the weather in New England. That's my point. Certainly still the most sophisticated of the models and most powerful for sure, and Globally still scores higher than the rest, but it's off here in New England compared to how well it used to handle systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I embrace it. 6-8" here. No model shuts you out...........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Man delayed but not at all denied in Boston per NAM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: NAM is still going to be pretty darn good. I've been NAMed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 NAM is darn nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: Are you putting your faith in discontinued models? A solid 6-10 for N CT is what I’m expecting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: Man delayed but not at all denied in Boston per NAM! Edging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: A solid 6-10 for N CT is what I’m expecting So the answer to dendrite's question is "yes" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Cool. Another NAM solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Cool. Another NAM solution. Down in Wells, ME, My brother is going to be pissed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 My column became fully saturated at 9:56. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Hmm... another system where the NAM has been very steady with getting heavy snow into Eastern SNE. It had the right idea with the previous storm, maybe it's on to something again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3km looks terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMike Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 The NWS BOX map was last updated at 3am. Do we think it ticks up an inch or two along the northwest edge of the gradient? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Congrats Eastport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, LSC97wxnut said: Hmm... another system where the NAM has been very steady with getting heavy snow into Eastern SNE. It had the right idea with the previous storm, maybe it's on to something again? I think E MA is going to get into some good snows. I think the bigger question mark is that zone from like SE NH to ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, dendrite said: 3km looks terrible. It acts terrible too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, JC-CT said: It acts terrible too. What's it going to be though? When we had a meh 12km run yesterday everyone latched onto the juicy 3km. Like Will said...I think the answer is somewhere in the middle...probably a little closer to the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: A solid 6-10 for N CT is what I’m expecting I'd hedge on the low end of that amount...6 might be attainable. 10 is a stretch I think up where you are...but guidance is all over the map..so who the heck knows. Let's see how this plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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