ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 HRRR just made a huge jump north. Almost looks like the 06z NAM. Maybe not quite that zonked but you get the idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Nah just out of its range. Case in point So I shouldn’t be giddy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 21 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Probably. But I bet the EURO comes north A TAD with the other guidance moving south by a larger margin. I still cannot believe this will be my THIRD 6 to 12 inch storm this month! Yeah I won't be surprised if it ticks a little further NW. It did actually tick NW at 00z but it was a pretty small margin. I still think its wise wise to watch for some intense banding near the northern and northwest edge of the steadier precip. That sig is def present. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: So I shouldn’t be giddy? You should take that little sliver of hope and store it away deep inside, just in case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I won't be surprised if it ticks a little further NW. It did actually tick NW at 00z but it was a pretty small margin. I still think its wise wise to watch for some intense banding near the northern and northwest edge of the steadier precip. That sig is def present. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: You should take that little sliver of hope and store it away deep inside, just in case. Noted. It’s been a long winter interrupted by weeks of spring in February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 too bad what a set up for the ctrv had things been just a little different could have been 2/83....it had that look for awhile now its just a hot mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I won't be surprised if it ticks a little further NW. It did actually tick NW at 00z but it was a pretty small margin. I still think its wise wise to watch for some intense banding near the northern and northwest edge of the steadier precip. That sig is def present. How do you look for that when you don't have the fronto or VV maps? Are you just looking at where there is a compressed temp gradient at a certain height? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 so many sizeable threats, so much energy and just for average snowfall we all should be plus 20-30 inches with these threats this season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, codfishsnowman said: so many sizeable threats, so much energy and just for average snowfall we all should be plus 20-30 inches with these threats this season Many in SNE are above normal already. I am, and I'm still near the rear of the pack after some banding screwgies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 First flakes starting here. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 06 nam shaves SWCT back, and jacks Boston? That has to be the correct, of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Th nrn edge will have a decent band thanks to the deformation or stretching you have thanks to the **** streak. That will enhance the frontogenesis. Think of thos 2010 bands only not as robust. Remember the philly feb 2010 band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 It’s already mild on the coast. I don’t expect much here locally. 3-6 if lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: HRRR just made a huge jump north. Almost looks like the 06z NAM. Maybe not quite that zonked but you get the idea. Looks sweet with a deform band from nyc curling NE, threw Springfield, and kissing Ray’s fanny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Th nrn edge will have a decent band thanks to the deformation or stretching you have thanks to the **** streak. That will enhance the frontogenesis. Think of thos 2010 bands only not as robust. Remember the philly feb 2010 band. I've done my best to efface every iota of that storm from my memory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Good news is the surface is plenty cold here. Light dusting with no sign of melting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Just now, Hoth said: Good news is the surface is plenty cold here. Light dusting with no sign of melting. Yeah, 32/23 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 1 minute ago, Hoth said: Good news is the surface is plenty cold here. Light dusting with no sign of melting. Great news. Melting on contact angers me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Euro, Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, Hoth said: Good news is the surface is plenty cold here. Light dusting with no sign of melting. My mudpit of a yard actually felt hard yesterday evening so this snow won't be attempting to accumulate on a swamp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Light SN/IP here in New Haven. Earlish start! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Weenie flakes flying here at 32 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s already mild on the coast. I don’t expect much here locally. 3-6 if lucky. 38 degrees here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 So I am assuming the EURO took DC/Baltimore's 18-24 inches away from yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 Funny how soundings work. One run it’s great lift in the dgz so you get Wizzy excited then next run you see boatloads of dry air with all the omega crushed beneath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: So I am assuming the EURO took DC/Baltimore's 18-24 inches away from yesterday? Ha, haven't looked, but since the board is actually functioning I assume so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 One of you CT guys should fire up an obs thread and leave this one to discuss model output for the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Euro, Yikes. It just isn't what it used to be Ride a horse, 80/20 (Euro/others) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 21, 2018 Share Posted March 21, 2018 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Th nrn edge will have a decent band thanks to the deformation or stretching you have thanks to the **** streak. That will enhance the frontogenesis. Think of thos 2010 bands only not as robust. Remember the philly feb 2010 band. Where do you think that zone would be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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