ajisai Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 i still like jerry's call of 6-10" seems good for bos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Semper911 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 I hate the timing of this storm, commute-wise. But I am just waiting until morning to see how it all shakes out. Who's with me? Ready for anything, but it's just not worth it to spend any energy on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 No idea what schools will do, especially tomorrow. maybe early dismissal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 18z GFS doubles the 12z output here from .30" to .71" qpf................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Id like to see deform over ct valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
henry1978 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 8 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: Ok so, what do we do? I have two friends who are on snow removal crews for commercial plazas, one in Plymouth and one in Framingham. Plymouth so far could get 2 or 12. Actually same for Framingham. And what do you do if your in charge of calling off school. Earlier Worcester was up to 18, but then they could be as low as 2? And now the GFS comes out and still hinting at a bigger storm. The models sure are a hot mess! When in doubt go climo. If snow is in the vicinity Framingham and Worcester always seem to ring every inch of snow possible. I'm much more confident in a place like Foxwoods, University of Rhode Island, or even Fall River getting double digit totals compared to south Plymouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: No idea what schools will do, especially tomorrow. maybe early dismissal? We already are on alert for an emergency early dismissal for Southington. They will make that call in the morning..or when we get into school we’ve been told. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Wow what a tough forecast, I don't envy the pros on air. Specifically for SNE along the pike region: there are undeniable trends of lower impact... (0z -->12z) Euro + (0z --> 6z --> 12z --> 18z) 12kNAM + (0z --> 6z --> 12z --> 18z) GFS... that's a multi-model and multi-run trend, and I'm inclined to give that more weight. But then 18z RGEM / 18z 3kNAM buck the trend and give me pause. I haven't had time to do any realtime verification analysis. So based only on the above... for the pike region into Boston metro specifically, my current thinking is 4-8", but I'm not confident at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: 18z GFS doubles the 12z output here from .30" to .71" qpf................ 80/20 Euro blend with all the others. Ride that horse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just now, MaineJayhawk said: 80/20 Euro blend with all the others. Ride that horse What a mess, I was expecting 2" or less here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just released at 6 p.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Id like to see deform over ct valley Thanks brother! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 No idea what schools will do, especially tomorrow. maybe early dismissal?Our district just called for an early dismissal tomorrow. I have a feeling they probably didn't have to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
henry1978 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, BrianW said: Just released at 6 p.m. Louis Uccellini: Clean-up on aisle 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 4 minutes ago, BrianW said: Just released at 6 p.m. I’m literally on the line of 8-12/12-18. I’ll go 10-14 lol like Berg said! I like where I’m at for this one at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 It's like model whack a mole. Not one has had the same solution for more than a few runs..if that. They are all jockeying for position. It's 2018 for crying out loud. You'd think the modelling would be improved, especially inside 36hrs. I mean come on. I know EC was touting their new super computer acquisition last summer. If it's in operation, they need a refund...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 I don't think anybody sees 18" down there. I think 12" maybe 13" in a couple or so favored spots at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 I have no idea what to expect with this storm. The EPS and Euro is just so atrociously snowless but other signs are so big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: What a mess, I was expecting 2" or less here. Still could easily get that ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just now, CT Rain said: I have no idea what to expect with this storm. The EPS and Euro is just so atrociously snowless but other signs are so big. Is it possible that the Euro is just overzealous with the degree of dry air aloft or is that a product of it being just further south with everything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just now, Hazey said: It's like model whack a mole. Not one has had the same solution for more than a few runs..if that. They are all jockeying for position. It's 2018 for crying out loud. You'd think the modelling would be improved, especially inside 36hrs. I mean come on. I know EC was touting their new super computer acquisition last summer. If it's in operation, they need a refund...lol. But are you really surprised? I mentioned this the other day that all the storms this year have come down to the wire on the models and this one would be no different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Connecticut Appleman Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 I wish this was occurring while we were still in Standard Time as I would be very interested in watching the 0Z GFS come in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nianticct Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 reminds me when I called the automated number for weather as a kid! they were in the dark back then! Good luck my man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Hi res rgem is rather nuts here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Still could easily get that ha. I would rather see it in Jackman, But no dice, Gassed up and ready to go Saturday morning.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 7 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I have no idea what to expect with this storm. The EPS and Euro is just so atrociously snowless but other signs are so big. My girlfriend says it will be fine, you'll know more in the morning. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
henry1978 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 3 minutes ago, nianticct said: reminds me when I called the automated number for weather as a kid! they were in the dark back then! Good luck my man! or listening to the regional nws offices on the weather radios before the nws taunton consolidation in the mid 90s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 9 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I have no idea what to expect with this storm. The EPS and Euro is just so atrociously snowless but other signs are so big. Definitely haven't envied you the last few weeks. Some rough, rough forecasting scenarios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Hi res rgem is rather nuts here.HRDPS would have local Mets driven out of town with pitchforks and torches. Would be a disaster . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 5 minutes ago, JC-CT said: My girlfriend says it will be fine, you'll know more in the morning. lol Dump her. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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