RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’m not sure how the precip shield being slightly north of where the NAM has it down in NJ is relevant up here. I frankly dont care about se ma right about now. good luck though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 6-10 SW CT 3-6 rest of state. That gradient reminds me of 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I frankly dont care about se ma right about now. good luck though. Don’t expect you too. I just dont know how or why that would translate up here. the euro is hard to ignore. People can toss it at their own risk. SW Ct stands the best chance for something good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Hi res are wild for some reason except 12k NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Don’t expect you too. I just dont know how or why that would translate up here. the euro is hard to ignore. People can toss it at their own risk. It translates for peeps closer to nyc. not tossing euro, we discuss and analyze...and not throw our hands up in disgust because some models dont throw 1” qpf over us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Wow, RGEM is a huge hit looking at black and white...that's weenie band central for SNE. This threat is all over the place. Revolutions per minute? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Yeah euro all alone . And it’s realky all alone. Wouldn’t factor it in a bit folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Reggie and 3k absolute smoke shows Pike south . Hammertime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 If a model is 50 miles off with precip at initialization, I think it’s a pause in my book....Just me though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Reggie and 3k absolute smoke shows Pike south . Hammertime Yea, rgem def has a big deform signal in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Wow, RGEM is a huge hit looking at black and white...that's weenie band central for SNE. This threat is all over the place. I sold the 12z euro qpf today. The mid level low track should hug the coast up to NNE and we should see a lot more banding up here than the qpf being advertised on that run. This whole setup is anaomalous and the convective feedbacks are likely throwing the globals off. Being we are officially into spring it would be appropriate to begin giving more weight to the mesos. To my mind if the NAM has a wheelhouse—large Cut-off lows in the mid latitudes during met spring would be it... I’m not buying the suppression idea imby. Got up to the low 40’s today, and altostratus are already overhead and the low level CAD winds are nonexistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Ok soooooo....3"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 I'm going to play the weenie "strong convection is going to pump the heights" card down here. This gradient reminds me of Jan '16, which wound up edging north as the event arrived. Even Boston went from sniffing cirrus to a quick 6-8". Don't like seeing the Euro go the way it did, though. I just hope this doesn't end up like Feb '10. Also, some very impressive convection this afternoon down in SC, GA, FL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: Revolutions per minute? meh Destroys CT though....maybe next run that gets further northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Reggie GW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Everybody on the non-hydrostatic bus! Who's coming with? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: meh Destroys CT though....maybe next run that gets further northeast. Thanks Will. Last night it whiffed so maybe a trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Euro has be nervous but I’m riding H7 low into Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Finally was able to get the board to load and catching up. Glad it has been a no go up here from the get go. 18Z GFS will be interesting to see if it follows the Euro and 12KM NAM. Glad to hear the 3KM NAM is more robust for New England As far as the board overload goes there must be way in extreme weather situations to keep the board functioning smoothly. Some type of threshold the mods could inact? No guests. Limit to a certain amount of postings unless you have a Met tag or are a seasoned poster, no attachments etc. etc. There has to be a way to stay connected if the board goes down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 4 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Ok soooooo....3"? It is what it is. Franklin Co. doesn't even have a wwa posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, wxeyeNH said: Finally was able to get the board to load and catching up. Glad it has been a no go up here from the get go. 18Z GFS will be interesting to see if it follows the Euro and 12KM NAM. Glad to hear the 3KM NAM is more robust for New England Same here, even though there was a run or two of teases. Gives a peaceful easy feeling when you know you are out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Yeah 200 decibels. Jeff, just so you know, I wasn’t meaning today’s 12z cutback (cuz ya, that was 200 decibels). I was meaning the cutback from yesterday’s Euro 0z, to yesterday’s 12z here...which Was almost nothing here...that’s what I meant was noise, not today’s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
w1pf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 NWS took us from 4-10 to 1-2 .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Upton is going with 12-18 now for all of southern ct. No love for the euro it would appear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 24 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Wow, RGEM is a huge hit looking at black and white...that's weenie band central for SNE. This threat is all over the place. But a lot of them this year have been just like this right up to go time...why is that? literallly have one model giving my are 20 inches, and another giving me 2 inches. Bizarre! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just now, WinterWolf said: But a lot of them this year have been just like this right up to go time...why is that? literallly have one model giving my are 20 inches, and another giving me 2 inches. Bizarre! This one feels worse than the others. We'll see if some consolidation at 00z happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 2 hours ago, phildbs said: Winter Storm Warning cancelled in Hampden County. Advisory posted. Went from expected snowfall of 10 inches to 3-5 inches. thats how we do it in the valley lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Storm is a bit of a hot mess. Too many cooks in the kitchen robbing each other of dough. The most southern lows blows its load in the mid Atlantic region. The northern extent is an elongated low pressure. Hard to get much out of this setup unless A: it's wrong. Or B: the storm congeals itself into one entity in short order. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 4 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: thats how we do it in the valley lol Still on effect here, with 4-8" expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 6 minutes ago, w1pf said: NWS took us from 4-10 to 1-2 .. Hopefully they take us to zero... then it'll be all upside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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