JC-CT Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Bring southwest of Hartford...feel a little better for a bit more here...but 10-14 seems too high in my opinion??? I hereby declare that you will get 6-12". Live long and prosper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Bring southwest of Hartford...feel a little better for a bit more here...but 10-14 seems too high in my opinion??? I think this occludes a tick later so the ccb gets going from phil to hfd enough that 6-8hrs of solid snow growth gets us there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: This is now the 4th Winter Storm Warning in March for Litchfield County. The 3rd Winter Storm Warning in March for S CT in OKX area, and BOX as well. That's impressive. But only one has really materialized so far for some(the 2nd storm was a good one with 13” here), last eeek was s joke here and we didn’t reach WSW Criteria. Lets see if this one verifies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I think this occludes a tick later so the ccb gets going from phil to hfd enough that 6-8hrs of solid snow growth gets us there. Hope you’re right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 8 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: box better deliver on that snow forecast, i have extended them mega benefit of the doubt over and over again and i am about done they get paid to make forecasts, figure it out and get it right or don't be so bold over the past 2 winters BOX has busted high on their W MA forecasts about 75% of the time. It's a little odd actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Here's your deep thruster morning dose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: Here's your deep thruster morning dose. WTF is that lol?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: Here's your deep thruster morning dose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 I’ll let a bearly man deep thunder me if that verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Did that come out of Kevin’s basement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Make that iceberg’s rec room. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I’ll let a bearly man deep thunder me if that verifies. I'll remember you said that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 well the sharp gradient is everywhere on guidance so its just a matter of the forecasters figuring out the +/- 100 miles where it sets up also as dashing as that map is for ct, there is a similarity to show the snowfall distribution in that kind of stripe so that is prob real too million dollar question is does it set up 50-75 miles farther south? i think farther north is safely out of the question Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Make that iceberg’s rec room. Actually it came out of my bedroom and on another subject I'm out of tissues and hand lotion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Looks like the deep thruster doesnt shutoff the ccb, that’s the difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Ray really knows how to stoke the fire for a moderate snow event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Actually it came out of my bedroom and on another subject I'm out of tissues and hand lotion. The deep thruster has that effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just anecdotally, that's usually a good look for a last minute western bump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Should be a great airmass for you guys down south for this storm... fourth day below zero up here and averaging -25 departures for 3 days now, a 4th coming today. if you want a coastal snowstorm this time of year, get NNE below zero and you're good to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 16 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Here's your deep thruster morning dose. You issue a map yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Deep mistake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Guidance is a mess. All over the place. I'm also seeing a lot of QPF in areas where the DGZ is not optimal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 39 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: WTF is that lol?? Nailed Jan 4 blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Deep mistake. Actually it hasn't done bad this winter This storm has big potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Guidance is a mess. All over the place. I'm also seeing a lot of QPF in areas where the DGZ is not optimal. Where are you seeing that? Just getting up so haven’t really jumped into things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Deep mistake. Walk of shame? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 For the EURO followers, this model always seems to a. Be too far SE with precip and b. Dry. Last storm EURO had me at 4 inches and I received 9.5 Jan 5th was barely supposed to reach me and received 10.5 I have heard it has a se bias too. So NW CT, Hartford etc. I would not put too much weight into the EURO solution, or just bump the precip NW by a few miles. NWS and TWC have to be doing this given their forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 29 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Should be a great airmass for you guys down south for this storm... fourth day below zero up here and averaging -25 departures for 3 days now, a 4th coming today. if you want a coastal snowstorm this time of year, get NNE below zero and you're good to go. Interesting what 200 miles to the northwest is seeing...I was about to make a comment on this but to the opposite opinion. I think I easily hit 40 today, and today is the first day out of the last three where it feels like there's no confluence overhead...Already rising into the mid 20's... I guess this goes to show us where UL heights will be rising going forward... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Nailed Jan 4 blizzard We can always count on you to find a storm that any particular weenie model did well with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shawnmov Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 NWS Boston site, in their snow products, has a 6-hour snowfall forecast for the storm tomorrow. It's odd. If you toggle through, it would lead you to believe that Boston will get 23" of snow. 1.0" from 5am -11am Wed 4.4" from 11am - 5pm Wed 9.3" from 5pm - 11pm Wed 7.0" from 11pm to 5am Thursday 1.4" from 5am - 11am Thursday This matches with no current forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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