weathafella Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 How about waiting for other guidance before declaring 0z trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 I had a high of 36 and a dewpoint of -2 this morning. This airmass means business, I wonder if that is a harbinger of "bad" things to come... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 5 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: I had a high of 36 and a dewpoint of -2 this morning. This airmass means business, I wonder if that is a harbinger of "bad" things to come... My high was 30. Very impressive for 3/18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 LOL, 00z NAM'd. Jacked but tossed violently into the dumpster. 8-12" verbatim. Beautiful MLs look there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just realized that I have already set my new March snowfall record before the month was halfway through. 43" and counting...look to add. First call: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/03/mid-week-spring-snows-threaten-local.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: My high was 30. Very impressive for 3/18. 34. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: My high was 30. Very impressive for 3/18. My 16 inch snowpack from last week is still 4-5 inches deep in areas that get little to no sun which is impressive for this date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s coming. along the immediate coast, be fearful of precip type as the confluence in se canada can be very easily shattered if the multiple vorts consolidate ala nam. Plus the block is transitioning from - to +. This could hug. You have thought like every storm could hug Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 47 minutes ago, Hoth said: Kocin/Uccellini storm. Literally wrote the book on east coast snowstorms. This one has a great shot at being a KU because it will have more impact in the MID ATL, but not sold on HUGE amounts for sne.....significant, sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 48 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: The confluence is much stronger to the NE than it was at 18z, will probably end up further south this run.... I mentioned in tonight's blog that this one may have a sharper NW cut off owed to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Ray what do you think the ceiling is in snowfall amounts for Cape Cod? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You have thought like every storm could hug The se ma hits are like an inflated batting avg due to a unsustainablly high babip....the regression begins now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I mentioned in tonight's blog that this one may have a sharper NW cut off owed to that. That 2nd wave needs to slow up and allow everything to shift to the north east. It doesn't seem like it would take much... .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 8-12" right now is the ceiling I believe for Cape Cod, with a bit of a mix of rain/snow as it makes the closest approach, but keep in mind that the GFS remains colder and all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The se ma hits are like an inflated batting avg due to a unsustainablly high babip....the regression begins now. Haha I think the confluence and the 50/50 low may be helping this to congeal a bit more up agains the RNA backdrop....kind of like that system before the blizzard last week. I still wouldn't be surprised to see a reduced impact in mid atl relative to current guidance....probably more n and w of the DC/Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Way to early James to be worrying about snow amounts....this thing could still miss for God’s sakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: 8-12" right now is the ceiling I believe for Cape Cod, with a bit of a mix of rain/snow as it makes the closest approach, but keep in mind that the GFS remains colder and all snow I actually think that is pretty reasonable...I went 3-6" there on first call bc it may trend a bit more nw, but if it doesn't, then sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, WinterWolf said: Way to early James to be worrying about snow amounts....this thing could still miss for God’s sakes. Its less than 72 hours away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Exactly, but we still don’t know where or how it all comes together...or if it even does ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 We are less than 72 hours away Wolf, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, WinterWolf said: Exactly, but we still don’t know where or how it all comes together...or if it even does ?? Yea, why don't we wait until it starts snowing...should have a good idea once the final bands roll off shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Whatever Ray...you know it all.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: We are less than 72 hours away Wolf, Wolfie never knows until the storm is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, WinterWolf said: Whatever Ray...you know it all.. lol not the point. This is a discussion forum to talk about scenarios and once in a while, stick your neck out...be a weenie...and make a got dam call, for a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 00z NAM is more snow than rain this go around for the Cape, with a Quebec high I think this should go colder and probably more amped down the line. 3km NAM is also getting in range now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Whatever Ray...you know it all.. I'm joking with you. I don't know it all....have had some bad busts. In fact, I think believing one knows it all and knowing a great deal are mutually exclusive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Ray, I just saw your early first call map, you really think the snow will reach into Central NH and southern VT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 I already saw the 00z RGEM/GGEM QPF output for the region, it has the most QPF over the Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Ray, I just saw your early first call map, you really think the snow will reach into Central NH and southern VT? Maybe not....just a first guess. Hedging. Will reassess Tues. night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Maybe not....just a first guess. Hedging. Will reassess Tues. night. Good enough, the snow map looks good honestly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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