Hoth Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:33 PM, CoastalWx said: Hi res rgem is rather nuts here. Expand Sure is. Nice pivot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:36 PM, Hoth said: Definitely haven't envied you the last few weeks. Some rough, rough forecasting scenarios. Expand He had a very very rough gfs pbp yesterday so I knew then this will be tough on him. Even the greats can be thrown for a loop....weather forecasting is humbling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:40 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: He had a very very rough gfs pbp yesterday so I knew then this will be tough on him. Even the greats can be thrown for a loop....weather forecasting is humbling. Expand Sure is. Even if you had some yottaflop supercomputer sampling the atmosphere down to the centimeter, you'd still have forecast errors as random quantum fluctuations manifest at the classical level. Simply isn't possible to model the atmosphere exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 coastal CT is going to get crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:44 PM, weatherwiz said: coastal CT is going to get crushed Expand Sick. What about dxr homie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:44 PM, weatherwiz said: coastal CT is going to get crushed Expand Don't get my hopes up. I'm fragile. So fragile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:46 PM, Hoth said: Don't get my hopes up. I'm fragile. So fragile. Expand ha...Completely different setup and airmass. You bang hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:46 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Sick. What about dxr homie? Expand Can't get anything for DXR but I sort of really like where we sit. I think we should get smoked pretty good. I just hope if there is thundersnow this time it happens here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:44 PM, weatherwiz said: coastal CT is going to get crushed Expand My advice to you and all mets is to toss Euro data and take em up. 18z stuff definitely ingested some new data..and it's likely due to the convection off the SE coast..which is helping to pump heights and bring it north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
henry1978 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:49 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: ha...Completely different setup and airmass. You bang hard. Expand Harder than a Connecticut river valley girl's weenie on February 8th 2013? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:33 PM, CoastalWx said: Hi res rgem is rather nuts here. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:49 PM, Damage In Tolland said: My advice to you and all mets is to toss Euro data and take em up. 18z stuff definitely ingested some new data..and it's likely due to the convection off the SE coast..which is helping to pump heights and bring it north Expand I don't know if I can take totals up any more than I already have them lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:10 PM, JC-CT said: No idea what schools will do, especially tomorrow. maybe early dismissal? Expand West Hartford regular dismissal on Wednesdays is 1:30 anyway so I don’t think they’ll call early dismissal.....especially since we’ve had 7 days cancelled already and they will be under tremendous pressure not to cancel two days in a row....I believe Thursday will be cancelled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:51 PM, weatherwiz said: I don't know if I can take totals up any more than I already have them lol. Expand Is your map the same as yesterday? I’ll take that HRDPS MAP please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:51 PM, henry1978 said: Harder than a Connecticut river valley girl's weenie on February 8th 2013? Expand Not THAT hard but....hard enough you’ll feel it in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:51 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Expand Lock it in. Been a while since we've had a DC to BOS hit, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:44 PM, weatherwiz said: coastal CT is going to get crushed Expand Is that a black hole sucking up all the snow in the CT river valley? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:49 PM, Damage In Tolland said: My advice to you and all mets is to toss Euro data and take em up. 18z stuff definitely ingested some new data..and it's likely due to the convection off the SE coast..which is helping to pump heights and bring it north Expand That's the card I'm playing. Lots of convection hopefully translates to more tucked and juicier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:51 PM, weatherwiz said: I don't know if I can take totals up any more than I already have them lol. Expand Oh I didn’t see your map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Yeah, I'm riding the hires rgem. 20" or bust! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:56 PM, Sn0waddict said: Is that a black hole sucking up all the snow in the CT river valley? Expand Wha? Thats a crapload of omega in the dgz pretty high up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:57 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Oh I didn’t see your map Expand I think he had 8-14 across center of state from west to east..??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 I'm riding the HRDPS, 3k NAM and RGEM for my hood. 12". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:49 PM, weatherwiz said: Can't get anything for DXR but I sort of really like where we sit. I think we should get smoked pretty good. I just hope if there is thundersnow this time it happens here. Expand I'm still worried about the 1" in New Milford and 15" in Westport deal with 84 getting a few inches.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Going to be one of the more interesting final calls I have had...I may write it up after the GFS and hold it until the EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:57 PM, Hoth said: That's the card I'm playing. Lots of convection hopefully translates to more tucked and juicier. Expand If there was no convection we’d be looking at flurries around the pike with 2-4 in CT which is what the Euro missed. The Mesos have the convection as does the goofus which is why they roared everything way up. 00z Euro will have a massive uptick for the queens tonight and it’ll be the usual..what’s wrong with that model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:58 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Wha? Thats a crapload of omega in the dgz pretty high up. Expand Ha yes I know pardon my sarcasm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 11:00 PM, Damage In Tolland said: If there was no convection we’d be looking at flurries around the pike with 2-4 in CT which is what the Euro missed. The Mesos have the convection as does the goofus which is why they roared everything way up. 00z Euro will have a massive uptick for the queens tonight and it’ll be the usual..what’s wrong with that model Expand I agree with you. Tossing that EURO run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 10:54 PM, WinterWolf said: Is your map the same as yesterday? I’ll take that HRDPS MAP please. Expand On 3/20/2018 at 10:56 PM, Sn0waddict said: Is that a black hole sucking up all the snow in the CT river valley? Expand The NAM NST looked like it might have some subsidence between the two bands. On 3/20/2018 at 10:57 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Oh I didn’t see your map Expand This is the map I made around noon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 On 3/20/2018 at 11:00 PM, Sn0waddict said: Ha yes I know pardon my sarcasm. Expand Oh no, please continue then. Sarcasm is my friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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