SlamSlam Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Why is LWX not issuing warnings? They want to see 06Z GFS? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: SO I was sleep...was jolted to sleep for some reason and decided to check the board for the Euro info. Now I wish I hadn't. I can't go back to sleep. What has gotten into this model?? It's math and stuff. Every single little thing that could go wrong all winter did. But we ran out of wrong stuff in the bag so all the right stuff barfed all at once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, SlamSlam said: Why is LWX not issuing warnings? They want to see 06Z GFS? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Wait for the 330/400 morning issuance of things... that's when LWX issues their first products of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: SO I was sleep...was jolted to sleep for some reason and decided to check the board for the Euro info. Now I wish I hadn't. I can't go back to sleep. What has gotten into this model?? Same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Fwiw, I couldnt find a Northeast snowstorm book/Kocin storm like this one in March/April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlamSlam Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Wait for the 330/400 morning issuance of things... that's when LWX issues their first products of the dayWhy not now. What more do they need to see? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Ok, Im literally crosseyed and need lots of sleep. See ya at 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Yeah. I may just be up now. When does precip start? Midday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just now, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: Fwiw, I couldnt find a classic Northeast snowstorm/Kocin storm like this one in March/April Wait till Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: SO I was sleep...was jolted to sleep for some reason and decided to check the board for the Euro info. Now I wish I hadn't. I can't go back to sleep. What has gotten into this model?? It does feel like a higher potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just now, SlamSlam said: Why not now. What more do they need to see? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Relax. There are protocols to their decision making process and it takes time to decide on their forecast and messaging. It’s a hugely important job and they are pros who want get it right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just now, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: Fwiw, I couldnt find a classic Northeast snowstorm/Kocin storm like this one in March/April March 1958 and 3/21/1998. 3/21/1998 was a close synaptic setup, but it may not have given us much snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 20, 2018 Author Share Posted March 20, 2018 5 minutes ago, SlamSlam said: Why is LWX not issuing warnings? They want to see 06Z GFS? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Dude, calm down. It's one model showing something of this magnitude. Why would you all of a sudden switch something because of it. You wait for confirmation with other data. If they go to Warning now, its not going to be just because of the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: SO I was sleep...was jolted to sleep for some reason and decided to check the board for the Euro info. Now I wish I hadn't. I can't go back to sleep. What has gotten into this model?? A giant HECS climbed into this model. Euro never really misses the big ones (especially at this range). May be a bit overdone, but likely has the right idea at this point. In other news, where the heck is Ji? MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just now, stormtracker said: Dude, calm down. It's one model showing something of this magnitude. Why would you all of a sudden switch something because of it. You wait for confirmation with other data. If they go to Warning now, its not going to be just because of the Euro. Awake at 2:40am AND having to scold someone lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Lwx new map should be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Wait for the EPS to see if it matches the Euro Op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCWeatherGuy Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 So what's the key difference here between the Euro and other models? Quicker changeover or just way more QPF? Or both? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 4 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Wait for the EPS to see if it matches the Euro Op. Eps isn’t going to be real useful this close in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlamSlam Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Dude, calm down. It's one model showing something of this magnitude. Why would you all of a sudden switch something because of it. You wait for confirmation with other data. If they go to Warning now, its not going to be just because of the Euro.Seems likely to me that WSW criteria will be reached and has now been forecast well in advance. It is just a warning and does not mean it happens. Why can't it be issued now? Many people, like me, leave for the DC area at 3 - 4AM. If a WSW was in place I would not need to travel 125+ miles today. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 3 minutes ago, SlamSlam said: Seems likely to me that WSW criteria will be reached and has now been forecast well in advance. It is just a warning and does not mean it happens. Why can't it be issued now? Many people, like me, leave for the DC area at 3 - 4AM. If a WSW was in place I would not need to travel 125+ miles today. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk They issue everything at once usually between 3-4am. Also takes a while to make the maps and get all the info updated. Not like they wave a magic wand and there it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlamSlam Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 They issue everything at once usually between 3-4am. Also takes a while to make the maps and get all the info updated. Not like they wave a magic wand and there it is. Roger that. My employer goes by the WSW. If there is one, no work. If not, i need to be there at 5am. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, SlamSlam said: Roger that. My employer goes by the WSW. If there is one, no work. If not, i need to be there at 5am. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk wow that sucks. better get ready :)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlamSlam Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 wow that sucks. better get ready !Just left. No WSW. Will be there 5 - 5. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 36 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Wait for the EPS to see if it matches the Euro Op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Meanwhile, NAM is much wetter at 9hr. Where is everyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Nam is nasty. Super moist and colder. Sleet bullets. Probably thunder sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 4 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: Meanwhile, NAM is much wetter at 9hr. Where is everyone? It's noticeably colder than 00z.. today's afternoon commute is going to be a mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 20, 2018 Author Share Posted March 20, 2018 Yup 6z NAM colder and sleet early as 11 am into the cities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Yup 6z NAM colder and sleet early as 11 am into the cities It’s super heavy sleet too. Could be TSIP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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