SlamSlam Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 If only... over a foot of snow with probably another 2 to 3 hours of snow to go if we were to accept the 00z HRDPS Is the HRDPS the best model out there for 00Z?Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, SlamSlam said: Is the HRDPS the best model out there for 00Z? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk See Bob Chill post right above your post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlamSlam Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 For the record, hdrps is a legit meso model. It was tested in beta and feedback from Mets was very positive so it was made operational. It's not some random product. It's a high res version of the rgem and has proven to have real value as a meso. I won't blindly say its right but seeing that solution combined with what ive been thinking does makes sense and fits. Could easily be over done with precip but it's hard to ignore how pretty the banded structure is. I would accept 1/2 the QPF it shows and run with it. Lock it up, throw the key away, etc. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlamSlam Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 See Bob Chill post right above your post I was being sarcastic as I figured it was not to be taken seriously. Like Bob's post though. Hopefully it is on to something. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlamSlam Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 This has just been a downright INCREDIBLE winter for the Delmarva region! Seems they do just fine in neutral ENSO winters.Are you on crack? This winter has been atrocious! Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, SlamSlam said: I was being sarcastic as I figured it was not to be taken seriously. Like Bob's post though. Hopefully it is on to something. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk We're 12-24 hours away from feeling pretty good how things break with the ull pass. Banded structure and upper level support are inherently hard to nail down with location until close in. Trends have no red flags except the nams but I'd much prefer those 2 being outliers than anything else. They can (and probably will) change on a dime next run...and the run after...and....heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlamSlam Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Are you on crack? This winter has been atrocious! Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using TapatalkAssume you were bring sarcastic and I initially failed to catch it because just too snow-starven.Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 17 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: Turning my neck and all, seems about 15-25mm precip from the CCB on the UKMET? Glad I'm not the only one who is slightly bothered by how it's maps are oriented, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 It really is amazing to watch this stall right at the benchmark... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlamSlam Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Glad I'm not the only one who is slightly bothered by how it's maps are oriented, lolCan you post it? Is it somewhere above? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 9 minutes ago, SlamSlam said: Assume you were bring sarcastic and I initially failed to catch it because just too snow-starven. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk No he was being serious, and he’s right. Most of Delmarva has had a great winter. Salisbury has 16.4” so far this winter. Average is 9.9”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 3 minutes ago, SlamSlam said: Can you post it? Is it somewhere above? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-panel.php?mod=ukmet&run=00&stn=PNMPR&mode=latest&map=na&lang=en&hh=000 I'm no expert at reading these, but here's the site! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlamSlam Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 No he was being serious, and he’s right. Most of Delmarva has had a great winter. Salisbury has 16.4” so far this winter. Average is 9.9”. Fair enough. That is a number I somehow hope the people to the West of you can achieve.Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 How bout that Euro... I hope I didn't stay up for nothing. Nothing on WxBell yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlamSlam Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 How bout that Euro... I hope I didn't stay up for nothing. Nothing on WxBell yet... I thought it does not initiate for 11 more mins? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 UKMET looks pretty much in line with other guidance....maybe a little bump from 12z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Euro changes over faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Colder with wave 1 tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Just now, psuhoffman said: Colder with wave 1 tomorrow. Ya and another decent frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Euro is a crush job. DC still ripping at 00z Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Winchester crew is going to love the euro through 18z tomorrow. They already have warning criteria on the ground. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlamSlam Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Euro changes over faster. Heavy snow fairly far south into Central Virginia. Freezing rain/slop in PGCO/MOCO/HOCO/Baltimore County.Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Perhaps the most weenie euro run of all time. Beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 This euro run is just wow. Massive hit massive. Hi res rgem here we go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Omg MoCo hoco balmo crew is going to love the euro through 0z. Wave 1 is a big hit of the white stuff. Some mixing I'm sure but still....woah.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 hr 42! Better than 12z...tucked low and ripping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Euro is a lot colder to the south and west and thus way more impact here from wave 1. I am a teacher in Augusta County and my daughter has a field trip tomorrow, so I hope this doesn't catch decision makers off guard if it goes down verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Omg MoCo hoco balmo crew is going to love the euro through 0z. Wave 1 is a big hit of the white stuff. Some mixing I'm sure but still....woah.... Balmo as in Baltimore? (or county, lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 I think we just got Euro'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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